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Michigan Fantasy 5 Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Michigan Fantasy 5. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 3,968 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.007 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
16 1 0.007 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
17 2 0.014 1 in 287,879 0 Never Never
18 3 0.021 1 in 191,919 0 Never Never
19 5 0.034 1 in 115,151 0 Never Never
20 7 0.048 1 in 82,251 0 Never Never
21 10 0.069 1 in 57,576 0 Never Never
22 13 0.090 1 in 44,289 0 Never Never
23 18 0.124 1 in 31,987 0 Never Never
24 23 0.159 1 in 25,033 0 Never Never
25 30 0.207 1 in 19,192 0 Never Never
26 37 0.255 1 in 15,561 0 Never Never
27 47 0.324 1 in 12,250 1 9/19/2016 1,621
28 57 0.393 1 in 10,101 0 Never Never
29 70 0.482 1 in 8,225 0 Never Never
30 84 0.579 1 in 6,854 0 Never Never
31 101 0.696 1 in 5,701 0 Never Never
32 119 0.820 1 in 4,838 1 8/16/2019 560
33 141 0.972 1 in 4,083 0 Never Never
34 164 1.130 1 in 3,511 1 6/14/2016 1,718
35 192 1.323 1 in 2,999 1 2/12/2015 2,205
36 221 1.523 1 in 2,605 0 Never Never
37 255 1.757 1 in 2,258 4 2/13/2021 13
38 291 2.006 1 in 1,979 2 6/9/2020 262
39 333 2.295 1 in 1,729 3 10/18/2020 131
40 377 2.598 1 in 1,527 0 Never Never Overdue
41 427 2.943 1 in 1,348 3 8/22/2019 554
42 480 3.308 1 in 1,199 5 11/22/2019 462
43 540 3.722 1 in 1,066 6 7/5/2018 967
44 603 4.156 1 in 955 7 11/5/2020 113
45 674 4.645 1 in 854 5 12/12/2018 807
46 748 5.155 1 in 770 3 10/25/2019 490
47 831 5.727 1 in 693 5 10/23/2020 126
48 918 6.327 1 in 627 3 4/13/2020 319
49 1,014 6.988 1 in 568 8 11/1/2020 117
50 1,114 7.677 1 in 517 6 7/14/2017 1,323 Overdue
51 1,224 8.436 1 in 470 9 1/11/2021 46
52 1,338 9.221 1 in 430 10 12/17/2020 71
53 1,462 10.076 1 in 394 11 12/7/2018 812 Overdue
54 1,590 10.958 1 in 362 12 12/24/2020 64
55 1,729 11.916 1 in 333 9 8/7/2017 1,299 Overdue
56 1,871 12.895 1 in 308 16 5/18/2020 284
57 2,024 13.949 1 in 284 24 8/2/2020 208
58 2,180 15.024 1 in 264 15 5/17/2020 285
59 2,347 16.175 1 in 245 20 7/12/2020 229
60 2,517 17.347 1 in 229 16 12/9/2020 79
61 2,697 18.587 1 in 213 17 11/29/2020 89
62 2,879 19.841 1 in 200 22 2/23/2021 3
63 3,072 21.172 1 in 187 19 2/25/2021 1
64 3,266 22.509 1 in 176 23 8/23/2020 187
65 3,470 23.915 1 in 166 26 4/29/2020 303
66 3,674 25.320 1 in 157 31 8/26/2020 184
67 3,888 26.795 1 in 148 24 11/18/2020 100
68 4,101 28.263 1 in 140 29 2/21/2021 5
69 4,323 29.793 1 in 133 37 11/20/2020 98
70 4,543 31.309 1 in 127 28 1/3/2021 54
71 4,771 32.881 1 in 121 42 12/4/2020 84
72 4,996 34.431 1 in 115 38 10/7/2020 142
73 5,228 36.030 1 in 110 48 1/29/2021 28
74 5,455 37.595 1 in 106 36 10/17/2020 132
75 5,689 39.207 1 in 101 29 9/28/2020 151
76 5,916 40.772 1 in 97.3 35 9/15/2020 164
77 6,148 42.371 1 in 93.6 47 9/3/2020 176
78 6,372 43.915 1 in 90.4 44 10/3/2020 146
79 6,600 45.486 1 in 87.2 39 12/30/2020 58
80 6,818 46.988 1 in 84.4 36 1/18/2021 39
81 7,038 48.504 1 in 81.8 54 12/26/2020 62
82 7,246 49.938 1 in 79.5 46 8/30/2020 180 Overdue
83 7,455 51.378 1 in 77.2 53 2/1/2021 25
84 7,650 52.722 1 in 75.3 42 1/20/2021 37
85 7,844 54.059 1 in 73.4 50 10/9/2020 140
86 8,022 55.286 1 in 71.8 50 2/6/2021 20
87 8,198 56.499 1 in 70.2 71 2/11/2021 15
88 8,357 57.595 1 in 68.9 56 1/25/2021 32
89 8,512 58.663 1 in 67.6 62 2/15/2021 11
90 8,649 59.607 1 in 66.6 57 9/24/2020 155 Overdue
91 8,781 60.517 1 in 65.6 47 2/16/2021 10
92 8,894 61.296 1 in 64.7 69 10/22/2020 127
93 9,001 62.033 1 in 64.0 56 12/29/2020 59
94 9,088 62.633 1 in 63.4 59 1/21/2021 36
95 9,169 63.191 1 in 62.8 67 2/4/2021 22
96 9,229 63.604 1 in 62.4 58 1/27/2021 30
97 9,282 63.970 1 in 62.0 67 11/4/2020 114
98 9,314 64.190 1 in 61.8 54 12/25/2020 63
99 9,339 64.362 1 in 61.7 52 11/6/2020 112
100 9,343 64.390 1 in 61.6 58 5/20/2020 282 Overdue
101 9,339 64.362 1 in 61.7 83 2/2/2021 24
102 9,314 64.190 1 in 61.8 67 12/28/2020 60
103 9,282 63.970 1 in 62.0 59 11/28/2020 90
104 9,229 63.604 1 in 62.4 62 1/8/2021 49
105 9,169 63.191 1 in 62.8 64 6/18/2020 253 Overdue
106 9,088 62.633 1 in 63.4 71 12/27/2020 61
107 9,001 62.033 1 in 64.0 54 1/5/2021 52
108 8,894 61.296 1 in 64.7 58 1/17/2021 40
109 8,781 60.517 1 in 65.6 65 2/19/2021 7
110 8,649 59.607 1 in 66.6 65 12/15/2020 73
111 8,512 58.663 1 in 67.6 71 2/14/2021 12
112 8,357 57.595 1 in 68.9 50 11/16/2020 102
113 8,198 56.499 1 in 70.2 58 1/30/2021 27
114 8,022 55.286 1 in 71.8 57 2/18/2021 8
115 7,844 54.059 1 in 73.4 67 11/21/2020 97
116 7,650 52.722 1 in 75.3 48 1/13/2021 44
117 7,455 51.378 1 in 77.2 48 1/26/2021 31
118 7,246 49.938 1 in 79.5 45 9/9/2020 170 Overdue
119 7,038 48.504 1 in 81.8 39 1/24/2021 33
120 6,818 46.988 1 in 84.4 45 2/5/2021 21
121 6,600 45.486 1 in 87.2 53 1/14/2021 43
122 6,372 43.915 1 in 90.4 36 2/10/2021 16
123 6,148 42.371 1 in 93.6 51 10/11/2020 138
124 5,916 40.772 1 in 97.3 35 2/9/2021 17
125 5,689 39.207 1 in 101 44 1/12/2021 45
126 5,455 37.595 1 in 106 38 10/6/2020 143
127 5,228 36.030 1 in 110 34 2/20/2021 6
128 4,996 34.431 1 in 115 29 1/28/2021 29
129 4,771 32.881 1 in 121 33 2/24/2021 2
130 4,543 31.309 1 in 127 26 5/16/2020 286 Overdue
131 4,323 29.793 1 in 133 30 2/3/2021 23
132 4,101 28.263 1 in 140 33 2/17/2021 9
133 3,888 26.795 1 in 148 29 2/7/2021 19
134 3,674 25.320 1 in 157 24 11/8/2020 110
135 3,470 23.915 1 in 166 26 2/22/2021 4
136 3,266 22.509 1 in 176 21 3/13/2020 350
137 3,072 21.172 1 in 187 16 1/10/2021 47
138 2,879 19.841 1 in 200 23 10/24/2019 491 Overdue
139 2,697 18.587 1 in 213 23 11/23/2020 95
140 2,517 17.347 1 in 229 30 11/15/2020 103
141 2,347 16.175 1 in 245 14 9/22/2019 523 Overdue
142 2,180 15.024 1 in 264 15 11/3/2019 481
143 2,024 13.949 1 in 284 12 4/2/2020 330
144 1,871 12.895 1 in 308 19 9/26/2020 153
145 1,729 11.916 1 in 333 12 10/28/2020 121
146 1,590 10.958 1 in 362 11 8/27/2019 549
147 1,462 10.076 1 in 394 15 10/29/2019 486
148 1,338 9.221 1 in 430 8 1/26/2019 762
149 1,224 8.436 1 in 470 9 8/23/2019 553
150 1,114 7.677 1 in 517 5 8/11/2020 199
151 1,014 6.988 1 in 568 9 1/19/2021 38
152 918 6.327 1 in 627 7 12/5/2018 814
153 831 5.727 1 in 693 0 Never Never Overdue
154 748 5.155 1 in 770 1 4/28/2017 1,400
155 674 4.645 1 in 854 4 11/25/2018 824
156 603 4.156 1 in 955 0 Never Never Overdue
157 540 3.722 1 in 1,066 3 7/31/2018 941
158 480 3.308 1 in 1,199 7 9/25/2019 520
159 427 2.943 1 in 1,348 6 9/20/2020 159
160 377 2.598 1 in 1,527 2 3/2/2017 1,457
161 333 2.295 1 in 1,729 0 Never Never Overdue
162 291 2.006 1 in 1,979 3 5/14/2019 654
163 255 1.757 1 in 2,258 1 5/5/2016 1,758
164 221 1.523 1 in 2,605 2 2/27/2019 730
165 192 1.323 1 in 2,999 1 9/16/2013 2,719
166 164 1.130 1 in 3,511 1 3/20/2018 1,074
167 141 0.972 1 in 4,083 0 Never Never
168 119 0.820 1 in 4,838 0 Never Never
169 101 0.696 1 in 5,701 3 11/13/2019 471
170 84 0.579 1 in 6,854 1 4/9/2012 3,240
171 70 0.482 1 in 8,225 1 12/30/2010 3,702
172 57 0.393 1 in 10,101 1 6/22/2018 980
173 47 0.324 1 in 12,250 0 Never Never
174 37 0.255 1 in 15,561 1 1/3/2016 1,881
175 30 0.207 1 in 19,192 0 Never Never
176 23 0.159 1 in 25,033 0 Never Never
177 18 0.124 1 in 31,987 0 Never Never
178 13 0.090 1 in 44,289 0 Never Never
179 10 0.069 1 in 57,576 0 Never Never
180 7 0.048 1 in 82,251 0 Never Never
181 5 0.034 1 in 115,151 0 Never Never
182 3 0.021 1 in 191,919 0 Never Never
183 2 0.014 1 in 287,879 0 Never Never
184 1 0.007 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
185 1 0.007 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Friday, 26 February 2021 02:03 AM