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Mega Sena Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Sena. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 2,636 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
21 1 0.000 1 in 50,063,860 0 Never Never
22 1 0.000 1 in 50,063,860 0 Never Never
23 2 0.000 1 in 25,031,930 0 Never Never
24 3 0.000 1 in 16,687,953 0 Never Never
25 5 0.000 1 in 10,012,772 0 Never Never
26 7 0.000 1 in 7,151,980 0 Never Never
27 11 0.001 1 in 4,551,260 0 Never Never
28 14 0.001 1 in 3,575,990 0 Never Never
29 20 0.001 1 in 2,503,193 0 Never Never
30 26 0.001 1 in 1,925,533 0 Never Never
31 35 0.002 1 in 1,430,396 0 Never Never
32 44 0.002 1 in 1,137,815 0 Never Never
33 58 0.003 1 in 863,170 0 Never Never
34 71 0.004 1 in 705,124 0 Never Never
35 90 0.005 1 in 556,265 0 Never Never
36 110 0.006 1 in 455,126 0 Never Never
37 136 0.007 1 in 368,116 0 Never Never
38 163 0.009 1 in 307,140 0 Never Never
39 199 0.010 1 in 251,577 0 Never Never
40 235 0.012 1 in 213,037 0 Never Never
41 282 0.015 1 in 177,531 0 Never Never
42 331 0.017 1 in 151,250 0 Never Never
43 391 0.021 1 in 128,040 0 Never Never
44 454 0.024 1 in 110,272 0 Never Never
45 532 0.028 1 in 94,105 0 Never Never
46 612 0.032 1 in 81,803 0 Never Never
47 709 0.037 1 in 70,611 0 Never Never
48 811 0.043 1 in 61,731 0 Never Never
49 931 0.049 1 in 53,774 0 Never Never
50 1,057 0.056 1 in 47,364 0 Never Never
51 1,206 0.063 1 in 41,512 0 Never Never
52 1,360 0.072 1 in 36,811 0 Never Never
53 1,540 0.081 1 in 32,509 0 Never Never
54 1,729 0.091 1 in 28,955 0 Never Never
55 1,945 0.102 1 in 25,739 0 Never Never
56 2,172 0.114 1 in 23,049 0 Never Never
57 2,432 0.128 1 in 20,585 0 Never Never
58 2,702 0.142 1 in 18,528 0 Never Never
59 3,009 0.158 1 in 16,638 0 Never Never
60 3,331 0.175 1 in 15,029 0 Never Never
61 3,692 0.194 1 in 13,560 0 Never Never
62 4,070 0.214 1 in 12,300 0 Never Never
63 4,494 0.237 1 in 11,140 0 Never Never
64 4,935 0.260 1 in 10,144 0 Never Never
65 5,427 0.286 1 in 9,224 0 Never Never
66 5,942 0.313 1 in 8,425 1 22/06/2013 1,131
67 6,510 0.343 1 in 7,690 0 Never Never
68 7,104 0.374 1 in 7,047 0 Never Never
69 7,760 0.409 1 in 6,451 1 18/01/2017 741
70 8,442 0.444 1 in 5,930 0 Never Never
71 9,192 0.484 1 in 5,446 0 Never Never
72 9,975 0.525 1 in 5,018 1 02/08/2008 1,644
73 10,829 0.570 1 in 4,623 1 11/06/2008 1,659
74 11,720 0.617 1 in 4,271 0 Never Never
75 12,692 0.668 1 in 3,944 0 Never Never
76 13,701 0.721 1 in 3,654 1 05/05/2020 378
77 14,798 0.779 1 in 3,383 2 06/03/2019 505
78 15,940 0.839 1 in 3,140 1 31/05/2017 701
79 17,173 0.904 1 in 2,915 2 12/01/2022 193
80 18,455 0.972 1 in 2,712 1 03/05/2014 1,040
81 19,839 1.045 1 in 2,523 1 24/01/2015 964
82 21,272 1.120 1 in 2,353 2 25/07/2023 22
83 22,814 1.201 1 in 2,194 1 11/02/2009 1,589
84 24,413 1.285 1 in 2,050 1 21/01/2017 740
85 26,124 1.376 1 in 1,916 1 14/12/2013 1,080
86 27,896 1.469 1 in 1,794 2 17/11/2010 1,404
87 29,791 1.569 1 in 1,680 1 28/04/2007 1,774
88 31,746 1.672 1 in 1,577 2 13/11/2013 1,089
89 33,831 1.781 1 in 1,479 2 08/09/2022 119
90 35,984 1.895 1 in 1,391 4 02/02/2022 186
91 38,269 2.015 1 in 1,308 1 03/02/2001 2,379
92 40,625 2.139 1 in 1,232 1 04/04/2012 1,259
93 43,124 2.271 1 in 1,160 2 01/11/2017 653
94 45,692 2.406 1 in 1,095 2 01/09/2010 1,426
95 48,409 2.549 1 in 1,034 0 Never Never
96 51,202 2.696 1 in 977 5 30/09/2021 222
97 54,145 2.851 1 in 924 3 21/01/2020 410
98 57,166 3.010 1 in 875 3 12/08/2023 16
99 60,347 3.177 1 in 829 1 04/02/2016 849
100 63,602 3.349 1 in 787 4 24/12/2009 1,498
101 67,022 3.529 1 in 746 1 17/03/2018 613
102 70,522 3.713 1 in 709 2 29/05/2021 260
103 74,186 3.906 1 in 674 4 31/12/2018 526
104 77,930 4.103 1 in 642 4 09/10/2021 219
105 81,847 4.309 1 in 611 4 01/08/2020 351
106 85,838 4.520 1 in 583 2 14/07/2020 357
107 90,005 4.739 1 in 556 8 23/03/2019 500
108 94,250 4.963 1 in 531 5 29/04/2023 49
109 98,668 5.195 1 in 507 5 27/03/2019 499
110 103,162 5.432 1 in 485 7 30/06/2018 582
111 107,836 5.678 1 in 464 5 28/10/2015 881
112 112,577 5.927 1 in 444 3 22/10/2022 104
113 117,499 6.187 1 in 426 4 28/07/2018 573
114 122,490 6.449 1 in 408 5 27/07/2011 1,332 Overdue
115 127,656 6.721 1 in 392 11 12/04/2023 54
116 132,886 6.997 1 in 376 8 30/03/2019 498
117 138,296 7.282 1 in 362 7 21/01/2023 79
118 143,758 7.569 1 in 348 9 07/05/2022 157
119 149,398 7.866 1 in 335 9 24/11/2018 536
120 155,089 8.166 1 in 322 7 05/09/2012 1,214 Overdue
121 160,949 8.474 1 in 311 12 11/03/2023 64
122 166,852 8.785 1 in 300 8 18/01/2023 80
123 172,926 9.105 1 in 289 13 11/05/2023 45
124 179,027 9.426 1 in 279 7 10/11/2018 540
125 185,294 9.756 1 in 270 10 06/05/2023 47
126 191,584 10.087 1 in 261 10 26/06/2021 252
127 198,027 10.427 1 in 252 5 08/09/2012 1,213 Overdue
128 204,481 10.766 1 in 244 8 05/04/2023 56
129 211,087 11.114 1 in 237 7 15/07/2023 25
130 217,684 11.462 1 in 229 9 14/05/2022 155
131 224,424 11.817 1 in 223 9 14/12/2022 88
132 231,148 12.171 1 in 216 11 20/06/2020 364
133 237,998 12.531 1 in 210 11 25/01/2023 78
134 244,817 12.890 1 in 204 19 16/08/2023 15
135 251,758 13.256 1 in 198 13 25/08/2021 233
136 258,645 13.618 1 in 193 8 04/12/2021 202
137 265,642 13.987 1 in 188 13 17/05/2023 43
138 272,576 14.352 1 in 183 18 28/01/2023 77
139 279,600 14.722 1 in 179 19 17/07/2021 245
140 286,544 15.087 1 in 174 12 26/08/2020 343
141 293,572 15.457 1 in 170 19 12/02/2022 183
142 300,495 15.822 1 in 166 18 05/07/2023 28
143 307,488 16.190 1 in 162 21 04/05/2021 268
144 314,366 16.552 1 in 159 24 04/08/2022 129
145 321,292 16.917 1 in 155 22 12/11/2022 98
146 328,085 17.275 1 in 152 19 11/02/2023 73
147 334,919 17.634 1 in 149 18 30/07/2022 131
148 341,594 17.986 1 in 146 14 21/09/2017 666 Overdue
149 348,295 18.339 1 in 143 26 09/09/2023 6
150 354,827 18.683 1 in 141 19 29/08/2023 10
151 361,362 19.027 1 in 138 22 18/10/2022 106
152 367,710 19.361 1 in 136 21 14/07/2021 246
153 374,054 19.695 1 in 133 15 17/11/2018 538 Overdue
154 380,185 20.018 1 in 131 13 29/06/2023 30
155 386,297 20.340 1 in 129 18 04/05/2022 158
156 392,187 20.650 1 in 127 16 24/09/2022 113
157 398,035 20.958 1 in 125 17 27/07/2023 21
158 403,644 21.253 1 in 124 25 01/04/2023 57
159 409,205 21.546 1 in 122 22 23/07/2022 133
160 414,502 21.825 1 in 120 18 21/06/2023 33
161 419,737 22.100 1 in 119 24 05/03/2022 176
162 424,701 22.362 1 in 117 23 19/04/2023 52
163 429,581 22.619 1 in 116 27 26/11/2022 93
164 434,175 22.861 1 in 115 20 30/10/2021 212
165 438,681 23.098 1 in 114 28 27/02/2021 288 Overdue
166 442,878 23.319 1 in 113 20 07/01/2023 84
167 446,975 23.534 1 in 112 24 29/07/2023 20
168 450,759 23.734 1 in 111 17 28/07/2021 242 Overdue
169 454,423 23.927 1 in 110 21 09/05/2023 46
170 457,762 24.102 1 in 109 29 18/03/2023 61
171 460,980 24.272 1 in 108 19 05/12/2020 312 Overdue
172 463,853 24.423 1 in 107 30 03/11/2022 101
173 466,596 24.568 1 in 107 19 07/08/2021 239 Overdue
174 468,994 24.694 1 in 106 24 07/12/2022 90
175 471,245 24.812 1 in 106 24 27/08/2022 122
176 473,143 24.912 1 in 105 23 22/08/2023 13
177 474,897 25.005 1 in 105 24 27/06/2023 31
178 476,282 25.078 1 in 105 21 08/07/2023 27
179 477,518 25.143 1 in 104 20 13/08/2022 126
180 478,390 25.189 1 in 104 35 05/08/2023 18
181 479,100 25.226 1 in 104 28 13/04/2022 165
182 479,443 25.244 1 in 104 39 16/09/2023 3
183 479,632 25.254 1 in 104 17 22/09/2021 225 Overdue
184 479,443 25.244 1 in 104 32 19/08/2023 14
185 479,100 25.226 1 in 104 25 14/03/2023 63
186 478,390 25.189 1 in 104 32 16/02/2023 71
187 477,518 25.143 1 in 104 21 29/01/2022 187
188 476,282 25.078 1 in 105 24 02/07/2022 139
189 474,897 25.005 1 in 105 18 24/05/2023 41
190 473,143 24.912 1 in 105 34 03/05/2023 48
191 471,245 24.812 1 in 106 24 23/02/2023 69
192 468,994 24.694 1 in 106 28 23/09/2023 0
193 466,596 24.568 1 in 107 19 14/09/2023 4
194 463,853 24.423 1 in 107 20 28/05/2022 151
195 460,980 24.272 1 in 108 16 20/07/2022 134
196 457,762 24.102 1 in 109 25 28/08/2021 232 Overdue
197 454,423 23.927 1 in 110 25 21/09/2023 1
198 450,759 23.734 1 in 111 21 02/09/2023 8
199 446,975 23.534 1 in 112 22 19/09/2023 2
200 442,878 23.319 1 in 113 29 15/09/2022 116
201 438,681 23.098 1 in 114 26 11/09/2021 228
202 434,175 22.861 1 in 115 26 08/02/2023 74
203 429,581 22.619 1 in 116 17 10/06/2023 36
204 424,701 22.362 1 in 117 26 20/05/2023 42
205 419,737 22.100 1 in 119 35 10/09/2022 118
206 414,502 21.825 1 in 120 23 30/06/2022 140
207 409,205 21.546 1 in 122 17 05/09/2023 7
208 403,644 21.253 1 in 124 17 06/04/2022 167
209 398,035 20.958 1 in 125 26 26/05/2021 261 Overdue
210 392,187 20.650 1 in 127 20 22/03/2023 60
211 386,297 20.340 1 in 129 26 26/08/2023 11
212 380,185 20.018 1 in 131 14 22/04/2023 51
213 374,054 19.695 1 in 133 21 08/09/2021 229
214 367,710 19.361 1 in 136 20 18/05/2022 154
215 361,362 19.027 1 in 138 27 09/08/2023 17
216 354,827 18.683 1 in 141 16 03/06/2023 38
217 348,295 18.339 1 in 143 17 08/05/2021 266
218 341,594 17.986 1 in 146 18 12/09/2023 5
219 334,919 17.634 1 in 149 18 08/05/2019 487 Overdue
220 328,085 17.275 1 in 152 19 22/07/2023 23
221 321,292 16.917 1 in 155 16 24/02/2022 179
222 314,366 16.552 1 in 159 17 09/04/2022 166
223 307,488 16.190 1 in 162 15 25/05/2019 482 Overdue
224 300,495 15.822 1 in 166 23 16/03/2023 62
225 293,572 15.457 1 in 170 3 13/03/2019 503 Overdue
226 286,544 15.087 1 in 174 12 19/05/2021 263
227 279,600 14.722 1 in 179 19 31/08/2023 9
228 272,576 14.352 1 in 183 9 12/01/2023 82
229 265,642 13.987 1 in 188 21 19/07/2023 24
230 258,645 13.618 1 in 193 21 24/08/2023 12
231 251,758 13.256 1 in 198 17 14/01/2023 81
232 244,817 12.890 1 in 204 11 12/07/2023 26
233 237,998 12.531 1 in 210 15 15/06/2022 145
234 231,148 12.171 1 in 216 8 23/04/2022 162
235 224,424 11.817 1 in 223 15 07/06/2023 37
236 217,684 11.462 1 in 229 5 17/09/2022 115
237 211,087 11.114 1 in 237 13 24/03/2018 611 Overdue
238 204,481 10.766 1 in 244 9 06/04/2021 277
239 198,027 10.427 1 in 252 6 05/01/2022 195
240 191,584 10.087 1 in 261 3 09/02/2022 184
241 185,294 9.756 1 in 270 10 10/10/2020 329
242 179,027 9.426 1 in 279 11 31/05/2023 39
243 172,926 9.105 1 in 289 12 14/02/2018 622 Overdue
244 166,852 8.785 1 in 300 8 09/07/2019 469
245 160,949 8.474 1 in 311 9 02/12/2015 870 Overdue
246 155,089 8.166 1 in 322 10 22/11/2022 95
247 149,398 7.866 1 in 335 9 08/07/2017 689 Overdue
248 143,758 7.569 1 in 348 11 18/02/2023 70
249 138,296 7.282 1 in 362 5 18/05/2019 484
250 132,886 6.997 1 in 376 11 02/04/2022 168
251 127,656 6.721 1 in 392 5 12/08/2021 237
252 122,490 6.449 1 in 408 3 21/07/2018 575
253 117,499 6.187 1 in 426 6 10/08/2022 127
254 112,577 5.927 1 in 444 9 16/09/2017 668
255 107,836 5.678 1 in 464 6 16/07/2020 356
256 103,162 5.432 1 in 485 7 07/05/2020 377
257 98,668 5.195 1 in 507 4 09/11/2017 650
258 94,250 4.963 1 in 531 4 31/08/2019 452
259 90,005 4.739 1 in 556 4 18/11/2015 874
260 85,838 4.520 1 in 583 3 11/01/2014 1,072
261 81,847 4.309 1 in 611 3 02/06/2022 149
262 77,930 4.103 1 in 642 5 27/05/2023 40
263 74,186 3.906 1 in 674 4 29/10/2022 102
264 70,522 3.713 1 in 709 2 16/04/2005 1,980 Overdue
265 67,022 3.529 1 in 746 1 16/02/2008 1,692 Overdue
266 63,602 3.349 1 in 787 4 08/04/2020 386
267 60,347 3.177 1 in 829 1 16/01/1999 2,486 Overdue
268 57,166 3.010 1 in 875 2 01/09/2021 231
269 54,145 2.851 1 in 924 0 Never Never
270 51,202 2.696 1 in 977 1 17/08/2002 2,248 Overdue
271 48,409 2.549 1 in 1,034 1 29/06/1997 2,567 Overdue
272 45,692 2.406 1 in 1,095 2 30/11/2022 92
273 43,124 2.271 1 in 1,160 0 Never Never
274 40,625 2.139 1 in 1,232 3 21/02/2017 731
275 38,269 2.015 1 in 1,308 4 03/03/2018 617
276 35,984 1.895 1 in 1,391 3 31/10/2009 1,514
277 33,831 1.781 1 in 1,479 1 19/02/2022 181
278 31,746 1.672 1 in 1,577 1 24/03/2004 2,088
279 29,791 1.569 1 in 1,680 1 29/06/2013 1,129
280 27,896 1.469 1 in 1,794 4 21/09/2011 1,315
281 26,124 1.376 1 in 1,916 2 12/12/2020 309
282 24,413 1.285 1 in 2,050 2 02/03/2016 841
283 22,814 1.201 1 in 2,194 1 23/05/2018 593
284 21,272 1.120 1 in 2,353 0 Never Never
285 19,839 1.045 1 in 2,523 0 Never Never
286 18,455 0.972 1 in 2,712 0 Never Never
287 17,173 0.904 1 in 2,915 2 22/09/2007 1,732
288 15,940 0.839 1 in 3,140 0 Never Never
289 14,798 0.779 1 in 3,383 1 20/06/2012 1,237
290 13,701 0.721 1 in 3,654 2 05/08/2014 1,013
291 12,692 0.668 1 in 3,944 0 Never Never
292 11,720 0.617 1 in 4,271 1 29/03/2023 58
293 10,829 0.570 1 in 4,623 0 Never Never
294 9,975 0.525 1 in 5,018 2 14/07/2016 799
295 9,192 0.484 1 in 5,446 0 Never Never
296 8,442 0.444 1 in 5,930 3 06/08/2022 128
297 7,760 0.409 1 in 6,451 0 Never Never
298 7,104 0.374 1 in 7,047 0 Never Never
299 6,510 0.343 1 in 7,690 1 13/07/2011 1,336
300 5,942 0.313 1 in 8,425 0 Never Never
301 5,427 0.286 1 in 9,224 0 Never Never
302 4,935 0.260 1 in 10,144 0 Never Never
303 4,494 0.237 1 in 11,140 0 Never Never
304 4,070 0.214 1 in 12,300 0 Never Never
305 3,692 0.194 1 in 13,560 0 Never Never
306 3,331 0.175 1 in 15,029 0 Never Never
307 3,009 0.158 1 in 16,638 0 Never Never
308 2,702 0.142 1 in 18,528 0 Never Never
309 2,432 0.128 1 in 20,585 0 Never Never
310 2,172 0.114 1 in 23,049 0 Never Never
311 1,945 0.102 1 in 25,739 0 Never Never
312 1,729 0.091 1 in 28,955 0 Never Never
313 1,540 0.081 1 in 32,509 0 Never Never
314 1,360 0.072 1 in 36,811 1 29/03/2008 1,680
315 1,206 0.063 1 in 41,512 0 Never Never
316 1,057 0.056 1 in 47,364 0 Never Never
317 931 0.049 1 in 53,774 0 Never Never
318 811 0.043 1 in 61,731 0 Never Never
319 709 0.037 1 in 70,611 0 Never Never
320 612 0.032 1 in 81,803 0 Never Never
321 532 0.028 1 in 94,105 0 Never Never
322 454 0.024 1 in 110,272 0 Never Never
323 391 0.021 1 in 128,040 0 Never Never
324 331 0.017 1 in 151,250 0 Never Never
325 282 0.015 1 in 177,531 0 Never Never
326 235 0.012 1 in 213,037 0 Never Never
327 199 0.010 1 in 251,577 0 Never Never
328 163 0.009 1 in 307,140 0 Never Never
329 136 0.007 1 in 368,116 0 Never Never
330 110 0.006 1 in 455,126 0 Never Never
331 90 0.005 1 in 556,265 1 23/06/2018 584
332 71 0.004 1 in 705,124 0 Never Never
333 58 0.003 1 in 863,170 0 Never Never
334 44 0.002 1 in 1,137,815 0 Never Never
335 35 0.002 1 in 1,430,396 0 Never Never
336 26 0.001 1 in 1,925,533 0 Never Never
337 20 0.001 1 in 2,503,193 0 Never Never
338 14 0.001 1 in 3,575,990 0 Never Never
339 11 0.001 1 in 4,551,260 0 Never Never
340 7 0.000 1 in 7,151,980 0 Never Never
341 5 0.000 1 in 10,012,772 0 Never Never
342 3 0.000 1 in 16,687,953 0 Never Never
343 2 0.000 1 in 25,031,930 0 Never Never
344 1 0.000 1 in 50,063,860 0 Never Never
345 1 0.000 1 in 50,063,860 0 Never Never


Page Last Updated: Sunday, 24th September 2023 8:06 am

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