Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 219 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0011 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0021 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0031 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0041 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0051 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0061 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0071 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0081 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0091 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0101 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0111 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0121 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0141 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0151 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0171 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0181 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 166
501,1150.0201 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0221 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0241 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0271 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0291 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0321 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 143
561,8980.0341 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0371 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0401 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0441 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0471 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0511 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0551 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0591 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0631 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0681 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0731 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0781 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0841 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0891 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0951 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.1011 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.1081 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.1151 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.1221 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.1301 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.1381 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 192
778,0560.1461 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.1541 in 1,4192 10/22/2019 13
799,0270.1631 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1731 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 138
8110,0820.1821 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1931 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.2031 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.2141 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.2251 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.2371 in 9231 11/14/2017 215
8713,7840.2491 in 8782 8/24/2018 134
8814,4800.2621 in 8361 10/8/2019 17
8915,2040.2751 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.2891 in 7591 6/22/2018 152
9116,7200.3031 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.3171 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.3321 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.3471 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.3631 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.3791 in 5782 10/29/2019 11
9721,8450.3951 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.4121 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.4301 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.4471 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.4661 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.4841 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.5031 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.5231 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.5431 in 4031 3/6/2018 183
10631,1140.5631 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.5841 in 3751 12/12/2017 207
10833,4160.6051 in 3621 2/23/2018 186
10934,5990.6261 in 3501 11/21/2017 213
11035,7980.6481 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.6701 in 3271 4/20/2018 170
11238,2560.6921 in 3161 7/26/2019 38
11339,5140.7151 in 3063 7/23/2019 39
11440,7850.7381 in 2972 11/8/2019 8
11542,0770.7611 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.7851 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.8091 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.8331 in 2631 10/2/2018 123
11947,3840.8571 in 2551 12/28/2018 98
12048,7420.8821 in 2482 6/18/2019 49
12150,1150.9071 in 2421 12/26/2017 203
12251,4950.9321 in 2351 12/29/2017 202
12352,8890.9571 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.9821 in 2232 12/7/2018 104
12555,6971.0081 in 2174 8/27/2019 29
12657,1091.0331 in 2122 2/20/2018 187
12758,5311.0591 in 2071 2/13/2018 189
12859,9531.0851 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3821.1111 in 1971 2/27/2018 185
13062,8091.1371 in 1931 9/21/2018 126
13164,2411.1621 in 1882 8/31/2018 132
13265,6681.1881 in 1841 9/24/2019 21
13367,0971.2141 in 1802 7/30/2019 37
13468,5191.2401 in 1771 1/26/2018 194
13569,9411.2661 in 1731 10/15/2019 15
13671,3521.2911 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7601.3171 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1551.3421 in 1633 11/22/2019 4
13975,5441.3671 in 1601 11/23/2018 108
14076,9171.3921 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2801.4161 in 1551 3/26/2019 73
14279,6241.4411 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9561.4651 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2651.4891 in 1472 3/12/2019 77
14583,5581.5121 in 1455 11/26/2019 3
14684,8251.5351 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0731.5571 in 1412 6/15/2018 154
14887,2921.5801 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4881.6011 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.6221 in 1352 8/13/2019 33
15190,7921.6431 in 1332 9/27/2019 20
15291,8971.6631 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.6821 in 1302 1/25/2019 90
15494,0131.7011 in 1292 5/1/2018 167
15595,0221.7191 in 1271 7/16/2019 41
15695,9921.7371 in 1263 5/28/2019 55
15796,9281.7541 in 1251 8/6/2019 35
15897,8241.7701 in 1241 1/19/2018 196
15998,6841.7861 in 1231 2/8/2019 86
16099,5021.8001 in 1225 11/29/2019 2
161100,2811.8151 in 1211 8/20/2019 31
162101,0171.8281 in 1205 7/19/2019 40
163101,7131.8401 in 1192 10/11/2019 16
164102,3641.8521 in 1181 7/6/2018 148
165102,9731.8631 in 1182 11/20/2018 109
166103,5361.8731 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.8831 in 1163 10/1/2019 19
168104,5291.8911 in 1161 11/15/2019 6
169104,9571.8991 in 1151 4/9/2019 69
170105,3381.9061 in 1153 1/8/2019 95
171105,6731.9121 in 1152 6/7/2019 52
172105,9601.9171 in 1144 9/17/2019 23
173106,2001.9221 in 1142 5/31/2019 54
174106,3921.9251 in 1141 1/12/2018 198
175106,5371.9281 in 1143 8/2/2019 36
176106,6331.9291 in 1143 4/23/2019 65
177106,6811.9301 in 1132 10/25/2019 12
178106,6811.9301 in 1131 12/1/2017 210
179106,6331.9291 in 1141 1/22/2019 91
180106,5371.9281 in 1142 9/13/2019 24
181106,3921.9251 in 1142 9/7/2018 130
182106,2001.9221 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.9171 in 1141 9/3/2019 27
184105,6731.9121 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.9061 in 1154 8/23/2019 30
186104,9571.8991 in 1152 7/12/2019 42
187104,5291.8911 in 1162 4/19/2019 66
188104,0561.8831 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.8731 in 1171 6/21/2019 48
190102,9731.8631 in 1183 9/20/2019 22
191102,3641.8521 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.8401 in 1191 12/4/2018 105
193101,0171.8281 in 1203 6/11/2019 51
194100,2811.8151 in 1211 12/11/2018 103
19599,5021.8001 in 1222 10/9/2018 121
19698,6841.7861 in 1235 2/19/2019 83
19797,8241.7701 in 1241 10/5/2018 122
19896,9281.7541 in 1253 2/5/2019 87
19995,9921.7371 in 1262 1/4/2019 96
20095,0221.7191 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.7011 in 1291 2/12/2019 85
20292,9731.6821 in 1303 6/28/2019 46
20391,8971.6631 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.6431 in 1332 12/19/2017 205
20589,6531.6221 in 1351 10/12/2018 120
20688,4881.6011 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2921.5801 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0731.5571 in 1412 5/25/2018 160
20984,8251.5351 in 1433 7/13/2018 146
21083,5581.5121 in 1452 6/25/2019 47
21182,2651.4891 in 1473 10/4/2019 18
21280,9561.4651 in 1502 1/29/2019 89
21379,6241.4411 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2801.4161 in 1552 11/12/2019 7
21576,9171.3921 in 1573 10/26/2018 116
21675,5441.3671 in 1601 12/21/2018 100
21774,1551.3421 in 1631 5/24/2019 56
21872,7601.3171 in 1663 5/18/2018 162
21971,3521.2911 in 1702 1/18/2019 92
22069,9411.2661 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5191.2401 in 1772 2/1/2019 88
22267,0971.2141 in 1801 11/19/2019 5
22365,6681.1881 in 1841 3/22/2019 74
22464,2411.1621 in 1883 6/4/2019 53
22562,8091.1371 in 1931 9/11/2018 129
22661,3821.1111 in 1972 10/19/2018 118
22759,9531.0851 in 2022 3/1/2019 80
22858,5311.0591 in 2071 6/14/2019 50
22957,1091.0331 in 2121 5/21/2019 57
23055,6971.0081 in 2171 10/23/2018 117
23154,2870.9821 in 2231 11/24/2017 212
23252,8890.9571 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.9321 in 2351 4/30/2019 63
23450,1150.9071 in 2421 9/10/2019 25
23548,7420.8821 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.8571 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.8331 in 2632 9/18/2018 127
23844,7020.8091 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.7851 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.7611 in 2881 3/19/2019 75
24140,7850.7381 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.7151 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.6921 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.6701 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.6481 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.6261 in 3501 8/9/2019 34
24733,4160.6051 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.5841 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.5631 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.5431 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.5231 in 4191 9/28/2018 124
25227,8230.5031 in 4351 11/7/2017 217
25326,7670.4841 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.4661 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.4471 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.4301 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.4121 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.3951 in 5541 12/3/2019 1
25920,9290.3791 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.3631 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.3471 in 6312 4/2/2019 71
26218,3320.3321 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.3171 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.3031 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.2891 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.2751 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.2621 in 8361 1/1/2019 97
26813,7840.2491 in 8781 10/18/2019 14
26913,1070.2371 in 9231 11/16/2018 110
27012,4580.2251 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.2141 in 1,0232 5/14/2019 59
27211,2250.2031 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1931 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1821 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1731 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 145
2769,0270.1631 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.1541 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.1461 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.1381 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.1301 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.1221 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.1151 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.1081 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.1011 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0951 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0891 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0841 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0781 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0731 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0681 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0631 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0591 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0551 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0511 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0471 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0441 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0401 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0371 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0341 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0321 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0291 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0271 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0241 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0221 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0201 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0181 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0171 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0151 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0141 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0121 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0111 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0101 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0091 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0081 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0071 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0061 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0051 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0041 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0031 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0021 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0011 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 4 December 2019 05:36 AM