Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 476 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
17 2 0.000 1 in 6,051,507 0 Never Never
18 3 0.000 1 in 4,034,338 0 Never Never
19 5 0.000 1 in 2,420,602 0 Never Never
20 7 0.000 1 in 1,729,002 0 Never Never
21 10 0.000 1 in 1,210,301 0 Never Never
22 13 0.001 1 in 931,001 0 Never Never
23 18 0.001 1 in 672,389 0 Never Never
24 23 0.001 1 in 526,218 0 Never Never
25 30 0.001 1 in 403,433 0 Never Never
26 37 0.001 1 in 327,108 0 Never Never
27 47 0.002 1 in 257,510 0 Never Never
28 57 0.002 1 in 212,333 0 Never Never
29 70 0.003 1 in 172,900 0 Never Never
30 84 0.003 1 in 144,083 0 Never Never
31 101 0.004 1 in 119,831 0 Never Never
32 119 0.005 1 in 101,706 0 Never Never
33 141 0.006 1 in 85,836 0 Never Never
34 164 0.006 1 in 73,798 0 Never Never
35 192 0.008 1 in 63,036 0 Never Never
36 221 0.009 1 in 54,764 0 Never Never
37 255 0.010 1 in 47,462 0 Never Never
38 291 0.011 1 in 41,591 0 Never Never
39 333 0.013 1 in 36,345 0 Never Never
40 377 0.015 1 in 32,103 0 Never Never
41 427 0.017 1 in 28,344 0 Never Never
42 480 0.019 1 in 25,214 0 Never Never
43 540 0.021 1 in 22,412 0 Never Never
44 603 0.024 1 in 20,071 0 Never Never
45 674 0.027 1 in 17,956 0 Never Never
46 748 0.029 1 in 16,180 0 Never Never
47 831 0.033 1 in 14,564 0 Never Never
48 918 0.036 1 in 13,184 1 09/06/2020 203
49 1,014 0.040 1 in 11,935 1 04/05/2018 422
50 1,115 0.044 1 in 10,854 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.048 1 in 9,871 0 Never Never
52 1,342 0.053 1 in 9,018 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.058 1 in 8,238 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.063 1 in 7,554 0 Never Never
55 1,747 0.069 1 in 6,927 1 24/07/2018 399
56 1,898 0.075 1 in 6,376 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.081 1 in 5,869 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.088 1 in 5,420 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.095 1 in 5,005 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.103 1 in 4,635 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.111 1 in 4,294 0 Never Never
62 3,034 0.119 1 in 3,989 0 Never Never
63 3,266 0.128 1 in 3,705 0 Never Never
64 3,507 0.138 1 in 3,451 0 Never Never
65 3,765 0.148 1 in 3,214 0 Never Never
66 4,033 0.159 1 in 3,000 0 Never Never
67 4,319 0.170 1 in 2,802 0 Never Never
68 4,616 0.182 1 in 2,621 0 Never Never
69 4,932 0.194 1 in 2,453 1 04/01/2022 39
70 5,260 0.207 1 in 2,300 0 Never Never
71 5,608 0.221 1 in 2,158 0 Never Never
72 5,969 0.235 1 in 2,027 0 Never Never
73 6,351 0.250 1 in 1,905 0 Never Never
74 6,747 0.265 1 in 1,793 0 Never Never
75 7,166 0.282 1 in 1,688 2 12/04/2022 11
76 7,599 0.299 1 in 1,592 1 02/02/2018 448
77 8,056 0.317 1 in 1,502 0 Never Never
78 8,529 0.335 1 in 1,419 2 22/10/2019 269
79 9,027 0.355 1 in 1,340 0 Never Never
80 9,542 0.375 1 in 1,268 1 10/08/2018 394
81 10,082 0.397 1 in 1,200 0 Never Never
82 10,640 0.418 1 in 1,137 0 Never Never
83 11,225 0.441 1 in 1,078 0 Never Never
84 11,828 0.465 1 in 1,023 0 Never Never
85 12,458 0.490 1 in 971 1 28/12/2021 41
86 13,107 0.515 1 in 923 2 24/01/2020 242
87 13,784 0.542 1 in 878 2 24/08/2018 390
88 14,480 0.569 1 in 835 2 03/08/2021 83
89 15,204 0.598 1 in 796 0 Never Never
90 15,948 0.627 1 in 758 1 22/06/2018 408
91 16,720 0.658 1 in 723 0 Never Never
92 17,512 0.689 1 in 691 0 Never Never
93 18,332 0.721 1 in 660 0 Never Never
94 19,172 0.754 1 in 631 0 Never Never
95 20,041 0.788 1 in 603 2 12/02/2021 132
96 20,929 0.823 1 in 578 3 14/01/2022 36
97 21,845 0.859 1 in 554 0 Never Never
98 22,781 0.896 1 in 531 2 21/05/2021 104
99 23,745 0.934 1 in 509 1 19/10/2021 61
100 24,728 0.973 1 in 489 1 21/02/2020 234
101 25,738 1.012 1 in 470 1 08/01/2021 142
102 26,767 1.053 1 in 452 1 05/10/2021 65
103 27,823 1.094 1 in 435 1 05/05/2020 213
104 28,897 1.136 1 in 418 1 11/02/2022 28
105 29,997 1.180 1 in 403 3 15/02/2022 27
106 31,114 1.224 1 in 388 0 Never Never
107 32,257 1.269 1 in 375 4 15/01/2021 140
108 33,416 1.314 1 in 362 1 23/02/2018 442
109 34,599 1.361 1 in 349 1 21/11/2017 469
110 35,798 1.408 1 in 338 2 30/11/2021 49
111 37,020 1.456 1 in 326 3 13/07/2021 89
112 38,256 1.505 1 in 316 1 26/07/2019 294
113 39,514 1.554 1 in 306 4 12/01/2021 141
114 40,785 1.604 1 in 296 5 09/11/2021 55
115 42,077 1.655 1 in 287 0 Never Never
116 43,380 1.706 1 in 278 0 Never Never
117 44,702 1.758 1 in 270 1 09/02/2021 133
118 46,034 1.810 1 in 262 2 18/03/2022 18
119 47,384 1.864 1 in 255 3 17/08/2021 79
120 48,742 1.917 1 in 248 4 08/04/2022 12
121 50,115 1.971 1 in 241 1 26/12/2017 459
122 51,495 2.025 1 in 235 1 29/12/2017 458
123 52,889 2.080 1 in 228 1 02/03/2021 127
124 54,287 2.135 1 in 222 3 28/02/2020 232
125 55,697 2.191 1 in 217 4 27/08/2019 285
126 57,109 2.246 1 in 211 2 20/02/2018 443 Overdue
127 58,531 2.302 1 in 206 1 13/02/2018 445 Overdue
128 59,953 2.358 1 in 201 1 22/05/2020 208
129 61,382 2.414 1 in 197 2 28/07/2020 189
130 62,809 2.470 1 in 192 1 21/09/2018 382
131 64,241 2.527 1 in 188 4 24/12/2021 42
132 65,668 2.583 1 in 184 4 22/03/2022 17
133 67,097 2.639 1 in 180 4 19/01/2021 139
134 68,519 2.695 1 in 176 4 11/01/2022 37
135 69,941 2.751 1 in 173 1 15/10/2019 271
136 71,352 2.806 1 in 169 0 Never Never
137 72,760 2.862 1 in 166 0 Never Never
138 74,155 2.916 1 in 163 4 07/02/2020 238
139 75,544 2.971 1 in 160 2 15/05/2020 210
140 76,917 3.025 1 in 157 1 04/12/2020 152
141 78,280 3.079 1 in 154 2 20/12/2019 252
142 79,624 3.132 1 in 152 1 07/09/2021 73
143 80,956 3.184 1 in 149 1 28/01/2022 32
144 82,265 3.235 1 in 147 7 19/04/2022 9
145 83,558 3.286 1 in 144 6 14/08/2020 184
146 84,825 3.336 1 in 142 3 26/04/2022 7
147 86,073 3.385 1 in 140 6 12/03/2021 124
148 87,292 3.433 1 in 138 0 Never Never
149 88,488 3.480 1 in 136 3 29/10/2021 58
150 89,653 3.526 1 in 134 5 02/07/2021 92
151 90,792 3.571 1 in 133 8 15/04/2022 10
152 91,897 3.614 1 in 131 0 Never Never
153 92,973 3.657 1 in 130 5 03/05/2022 5
154 94,013 3.697 1 in 128 5 25/05/2021 103
155 95,022 3.737 1 in 127 2 03/09/2021 74
156 95,992 3.775 1 in 126 4 18/01/2022 35
157 96,928 3.812 1 in 124 5 29/03/2022 15
158 97,824 3.847 1 in 123 8 17/05/2022 1
159 98,684 3.881 1 in 122 2 07/12/2021 47
160 99,502 3.913 1 in 121 5 29/11/2019 258 Overdue
161 100,281 3.944 1 in 120 3 28/05/2021 102
162 101,017 3.973 1 in 119 8 04/02/2022 30
163 101,713 4.000 1 in 118 5 14/09/2021 71
164 102,364 4.026 1 in 118 6 22/02/2022 25
165 102,973 4.050 1 in 117 4 08/06/2021 99
166 103,536 4.072 1 in 116 3 13/08/2021 80
167 104,056 4.092 1 in 116 5 25/03/2022 16
168 104,529 4.111 1 in 115 1 15/11/2019 262 Overdue
169 104,957 4.128 1 in 115 3 29/04/2022 6
170 105,338 4.143 1 in 114 5 15/03/2022 19
171 105,673 4.156 1 in 114 2 07/06/2019 308 Overdue
172 105,960 4.167 1 in 114 6 26/11/2021 50
173 106,200 4.177 1 in 113 5 04/06/2021 100
174 106,392 4.184 1 in 113 3 14/05/2021 106
175 106,537 4.190 1 in 113 4 20/07/2021 87
176 106,633 4.194 1 in 113 3 23/04/2019 321 Overdue
177 106,681 4.196 1 in 113 4 16/04/2021 114
178 106,681 4.196 1 in 113 2 08/05/2020 212
179 106,633 4.194 1 in 113 5 05/11/2021 56
180 106,537 4.190 1 in 113 3 24/08/2021 77
181 106,392 4.184 1 in 113 3 22/04/2022 8
182 106,200 4.177 1 in 113 4 06/08/2021 82
183 105,960 4.167 1 in 114 3 04/05/2021 109
184 105,673 4.156 1 in 114 0 Never Never
185 105,338 4.143 1 in 114 7 10/05/2022 3
186 104,957 4.128 1 in 115 2 12/07/2019 298 Overdue
187 104,529 4.111 1 in 115 3 24/04/2020 216
188 104,056 4.092 1 in 116 2 17/04/2020 218
189 103,536 4.072 1 in 116 4 25/06/2021 94
190 102,973 4.050 1 in 117 7 10/12/2021 46
191 102,364 4.026 1 in 118 3 08/10/2021 64
192 101,713 4.000 1 in 118 6 06/05/2022 4
193 101,017 3.973 1 in 119 4 18/06/2021 96
194 100,281 3.944 1 in 120 2 10/03/2020 229
195 99,502 3.913 1 in 121 3 02/02/2021 135
196 98,684 3.881 1 in 122 6 30/07/2021 84
197 97,824 3.847 1 in 123 1 05/10/2018 378 Overdue
198 96,928 3.812 1 in 124 7 18/02/2022 26
199 95,992 3.775 1 in 126 6 09/04/2021 116
200 95,022 3.737 1 in 127 1 23/11/2021 51
201 94,013 3.697 1 in 128 5 11/03/2022 20
202 92,973 3.657 1 in 130 5 26/06/2020 198
203 91,897 3.614 1 in 131 1 31/03/2020 223
204 90,792 3.571 1 in 133 4 13/05/2022 2
205 89,653 3.526 1 in 134 2 16/07/2021 88
206 88,488 3.480 1 in 136 2 09/03/2021 125
207 87,292 3.433 1 in 138 3 01/10/2021 66
208 86,073 3.385 1 in 140 4 25/02/2022 24
209 84,825 3.336 1 in 142 7 17/09/2021 70
210 83,558 3.286 1 in 144 5 31/07/2020 188
211 82,265 3.235 1 in 147 5 02/10/2020 170
212 80,956 3.184 1 in 149 4 18/09/2020 174
213 79,624 3.132 1 in 152 1 28/01/2020 241
214 78,280 3.079 1 in 154 3 07/01/2020 247
215 76,917 3.025 1 in 157 5 02/04/2021 118
216 75,544 2.971 1 in 160 4 29/06/2021 93
217 74,155 2.916 1 in 163 2 12/06/2020 202
218 72,760 2.862 1 in 166 6 16/03/2021 123
219 71,352 2.806 1 in 169 3 01/12/2020 153
220 69,941 2.751 1 in 173 1 07/04/2020 221
221 68,519 2.695 1 in 176 3 03/04/2020 222
222 67,097 2.639 1 in 180 2 01/01/2021 144
223 65,668 2.583 1 in 184 1 22/03/2019 330
224 64,241 2.527 1 in 188 3 04/06/2019 309
225 62,809 2.470 1 in 192 2 23/10/2020 164
226 61,382 2.414 1 in 197 4 01/04/2022 14
227 59,953 2.358 1 in 201 2 01/03/2019 336
228 58,531 2.302 1 in 206 2 28/09/2021 67
229 57,109 2.246 1 in 211 3 12/10/2021 63
230 55,697 2.191 1 in 217 1 23/10/2018 373
231 54,287 2.135 1 in 222 1 24/11/2017 468 Overdue
232 52,889 2.080 1 in 228 1 31/12/2019 249
233 51,495 2.025 1 in 235 2 20/11/2020 156
234 50,115 1.971 1 in 241 3 03/12/2021 48
235 48,742 1.917 1 in 248 2 29/01/2021 136
236 47,384 1.864 1 in 255 2 14/12/2021 45
237 46,034 1.810 1 in 262 2 18/09/2018 383
238 44,702 1.758 1 in 270 0 Never Never
239 43,380 1.706 1 in 278 0 Never Never
240 42,077 1.655 1 in 287 1 19/03/2019 331
241 40,785 1.604 1 in 296 2 10/11/2020 159
242 39,514 1.554 1 in 306 0 Never Never
243 38,256 1.505 1 in 316 0 Never Never
244 37,020 1.456 1 in 326 0 Never Never
245 35,798 1.408 1 in 338 3 21/12/2021 43
246 34,599 1.361 1 in 349 2 22/09/2020 173
247 33,416 1.314 1 in 362 1 06/03/2020 230
248 32,257 1.269 1 in 375 0 Never Never
249 31,114 1.224 1 in 388 0 Never Never
250 29,997 1.180 1 in 403 0 Never Never
251 28,897 1.136 1 in 418 2 21/01/2022 34
252 27,823 1.094 1 in 435 2 05/04/2022 13
253 26,767 1.053 1 in 452 0 Never Never
254 25,738 1.012 1 in 470 0 Never Never
255 24,728 0.973 1 in 489 0 Never Never
256 23,745 0.934 1 in 509 0 Never Never
257 22,781 0.896 1 in 531 0 Never Never
258 21,845 0.859 1 in 554 1 03/12/2019 257
259 20,929 0.823 1 in 578 0 Never Never
260 20,041 0.788 1 in 603 0 Never Never
261 19,172 0.754 1 in 631 3 20/05/2022 0
262 18,332 0.721 1 in 660 1 20/08/2021 78
263 17,512 0.689 1 in 691 0 Never Never
264 16,720 0.658 1 in 723 1 22/12/2020 147
265 15,948 0.627 1 in 758 2 06/07/2021 91
266 15,204 0.598 1 in 796 0 Never Never
267 14,480 0.569 1 in 835 2 26/01/2021 137
268 13,784 0.542 1 in 878 1 18/10/2019 270
269 13,107 0.515 1 in 923 1 16/11/2018 366
270 12,458 0.490 1 in 971 0 Never Never
271 11,828 0.465 1 in 1,023 2 14/05/2019 315
272 11,225 0.441 1 in 1,078 0 Never Never
273 10,640 0.418 1 in 1,137 0 Never Never
274 10,082 0.397 1 in 1,200 0 Never Never
275 9,542 0.375 1 in 1,268 1 17/07/2018 401
276 9,027 0.355 1 in 1,340 0 Never Never
277 8,529 0.335 1 in 1,419 0 Never Never
278 8,056 0.317 1 in 1,502 0 Never Never
279 7,599 0.299 1 in 1,592 0 Never Never
280 7,166 0.282 1 in 1,688 1 14/04/2020 219
281 6,747 0.265 1 in 1,793 1 20/10/2020 165
282 6,351 0.250 1 in 1,905 0 Never Never
283 5,969 0.235 1 in 2,027 0 Never Never
284 5,608 0.221 1 in 2,158 0 Never Never
285 5,260 0.207 1 in 2,300 0 Never Never
286 4,932 0.194 1 in 2,453 0 Never Never
287 4,616 0.182 1 in 2,621 0 Never Never
288 4,319 0.170 1 in 2,802 0 Never Never
289 4,033 0.159 1 in 3,000 0 Never Never
290 3,765 0.148 1 in 3,214 0 Never Never
291 3,507 0.138 1 in 3,451 0 Never Never
292 3,266 0.128 1 in 3,705 0 Never Never
293 3,034 0.119 1 in 3,989 0 Never Never
294 2,818 0.111 1 in 4,294 0 Never Never
295 2,611 0.103 1 in 4,635 0 Never Never
296 2,418 0.095 1 in 5,005 0 Never Never
297 2,233 0.088 1 in 5,420 0 Never Never
298 2,062 0.081 1 in 5,869 0 Never Never
299 1,898 0.075 1 in 6,376 0 Never Never
300 1,747 0.069 1 in 6,927 0 Never Never
301 1,602 0.063 1 in 7,554 0 Never Never
302 1,469 0.058 1 in 8,238 0 Never Never
303 1,342 0.053 1 in 9,018 0 Never Never
304 1,226 0.048 1 in 9,871 0 Never Never
305 1,115 0.044 1 in 10,854 0 Never Never
306 1,014 0.040 1 in 11,935 0 Never Never
307 918 0.036 1 in 13,184 0 Never Never
308 831 0.033 1 in 14,564 0 Never Never
309 748 0.029 1 in 16,180 0 Never Never
310 674 0.027 1 in 17,956 0 Never Never
311 603 0.024 1 in 20,071 0 Never Never
312 540 0.021 1 in 22,412 0 Never Never
313 480 0.019 1 in 25,214 0 Never Never
314 427 0.017 1 in 28,344 0 Never Never
315 377 0.015 1 in 32,103 0 Never Never
316 333 0.013 1 in 36,345 0 Never Never
317 291 0.011 1 in 41,591 0 Never Never
318 255 0.010 1 in 47,462 0 Never Never
319 221 0.009 1 in 54,764 0 Never Never
320 192 0.008 1 in 63,036 0 Never Never
321 164 0.006 1 in 73,798 0 Never Never
322 141 0.006 1 in 85,836 0 Never Never
323 119 0.005 1 in 101,706 0 Never Never
324 101 0.004 1 in 119,831 0 Never Never
325 84 0.003 1 in 144,083 0 Never Never
326 70 0.003 1 in 172,900 0 Never Never
327 57 0.002 1 in 212,333 0 Never Never
328 47 0.002 1 in 257,510 0 Never Never
329 37 0.001 1 in 327,108 0 Never Never
330 30 0.001 1 in 403,433 0 Never Never
331 23 0.001 1 in 526,218 0 Never Never
332 18 0.001 1 in 672,389 0 Never Never
333 13 0.001 1 in 931,001 0 Never Never
334 10 0.000 1 in 1,210,301 0 Never Never
335 7 0.000 1 in 1,729,002 0 Never Never
336 5 0.000 1 in 2,420,602 0 Never Never
337 3 0.000 1 in 4,034,338 0 Never Never
338 2 0.000 1 in 6,051,507 0 Never Never
339 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
340 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never


Page Last Updated: Saturday, 21st May 2022 5:29 am