Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

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$396 M

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0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

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Mins

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Secs

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The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 368 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,603	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,390	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.001	1 in 403,434	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.001	1 in 327,109	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.001	1 in 257,511	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.002	1 in 212,334	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.003	1 in 144,084	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.003	1 in 119,832	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.004	1 in 85,837	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.005	1 in 73,799	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.006	1 in 63,037	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.007	1 in 54,765	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.008	1 in 47,463	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.009	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.010	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.011	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.013	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.015	1 in 25,215	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.016	1 in 22,413	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.018	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.020	1 in 17,957	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.023	1 in 16,181	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.025	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.028	1 in 13,184	1	6/9/2020	96
49	1,014	0.031	1 in 11,936	1	5/4/2018	315
50	1,115	0.034	1 in 10,855	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.037	1 in 9,872	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.041	1 in 9,019	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.045	1 in 8,239	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.049	1 in 7,555	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.053	1 in 6,928	1	7/24/2018	292
56	1,898	0.058	1 in 6,377	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.063	1 in 5,870	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.068	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.074	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.079	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.086	1 in 4,295	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.092	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
63	3,266	0.099	1 in 3,706	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.107	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.114	1 in 3,215	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.123	1 in 3,001	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.131	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
68	4,616	0.140	1 in 2,622	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.150	1 in 2,454	0	Never	Never
70	5,260	0.160	1 in 2,301	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.171	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.181	1 in 2,028	0	Never	Never
73	6,351	0.193	1 in 1,906	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.205	1 in 1,794	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.218	1 in 1,689	1	3/24/2020	118
76	7,599	0.231	1 in 1,593	1	2/2/2018	341
77	8,056	0.245	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.259	1 in 1,419	2	10/22/2019	162
79	9,027	0.274	1 in 1,341	0	Never	Never
80	9,542	0.290	1 in 1,268	1	8/10/2018	287
81	10,082	0.307	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.324	1 in 1,138	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.341	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.360	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.379	1 in 972	0	Never	Never
86	13,107	0.399	1 in 923	2	1/24/2020	135
87	13,784	0.419	1 in 878	2	8/24/2018	283
88	14,480	0.440	1 in 836	1	10/8/2019	166
89	15,204	0.462	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.485	1 in 759	1	6/22/2018	301
91	16,720	0.508	1 in 724	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.532	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.557	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.583	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.609	1 in 604	2	2/12/2021	25
96	20,929	0.636	1 in 578	2	10/29/2019	160
97	21,845	0.664	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	0.693	1 in 531	1	2/23/2021	22
99	23,745	0.722	1 in 510	0	Never	Never
100	24,728	0.752	1 in 489	1	2/21/2020	127
101	25,738	0.783	1 in 470	1	1/8/2021	35
102	26,767	0.814	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
103	27,823	0.846	1 in 435	1	5/5/2020	106
104	28,897	0.879	1 in 419	0	Never	Never
105	29,997	0.912	1 in 403	2	5/7/2021	1
106	31,114	0.946	1 in 389	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	0.981	1 in 375	4	1/15/2021	33
108	33,416	1.016	1 in 362	1	2/23/2018	335
109	34,599	1.052	1 in 350	1	11/21/2017	362
110	35,798	1.088	1 in 338	0	Never	Never
111	37,020	1.126	1 in 327	2	1/14/2020	138
112	38,256	1.163	1 in 316	1	7/26/2019	187
113	39,514	1.201	1 in 306	4	1/12/2021	34
114	40,785	1.240	1 in 297	4	4/6/2021	10
115	42,077	1.279	1 in 288	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	1.319	1 in 279	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	1.359	1 in 271	1	2/9/2021	26
118	46,034	1.400	1 in 263	1	10/2/2018	272
119	47,384	1.441	1 in 255	2	3/5/2021	19
120	48,742	1.482	1 in 248	3	9/8/2020	70
121	50,115	1.524	1 in 242	1	12/26/2017	352
122	51,495	1.566	1 in 235	1	12/29/2017	351
123	52,889	1.608	1 in 229	1	3/2/2021	20
124	54,287	1.651	1 in 223	3	2/28/2020	125
125	55,697	1.694	1 in 217	4	8/27/2019	178
126	57,109	1.736	1 in 212	2	2/20/2018	336
127	58,531	1.780	1 in 207	1	2/13/2018	338
128	59,953	1.823	1 in 202	1	5/22/2020	101
129	61,382	1.866	1 in 197	2	7/28/2020	82
130	62,809	1.910	1 in 193	1	9/21/2018	275
131	64,241	1.953	1 in 188	3	1/21/2020	136
132	65,668	1.997	1 in 184	3	2/5/2021	27
133	67,097	2.040	1 in 180	4	1/19/2021	32
134	68,519	2.083	1 in 177	3	11/27/2020	47
135	69,941	2.127	1 in 173	1	10/15/2019	164
136	71,352	2.170	1 in 170	0	Never	Never	Overdue
137	72,760	2.212	1 in 166	0	Never	Never	Overdue
138	74,155	2.255	1 in 163	4	2/7/2020	131
139	75,544	2.297	1 in 160	2	5/15/2020	103
140	76,917	2.339	1 in 157	1	12/4/2020	45
141	78,280	2.380	1 in 155	2	12/20/2019	145
142	79,624	2.421	1 in 152	0	Never	Never	Overdue
143	80,956	2.462	1 in 150	0	Never	Never	Overdue
144	82,265	2.501	1 in 147	3	6/30/2020	90
145	83,558	2.541	1 in 145	6	8/14/2020	77
146	84,825	2.579	1 in 143	2	9/4/2020	71
147	86,073	2.617	1 in 141	6	3/12/2021	17
148	87,292	2.654	1 in 139	0	Never	Never	Overdue
149	88,488	2.691	1 in 137	2	7/21/2020	84
150	89,653	2.726	1 in 135	4	4/30/2021	3
151	90,792	2.761	1 in 133	6	4/23/2021	5
152	91,897	2.794	1 in 132	0	Never	Never	Overdue
153	92,973	2.827	1 in 130	3	3/13/2020	121
154	94,013	2.859	1 in 129	4	6/16/2020	94
155	95,022	2.889	1 in 127	1	7/16/2019	190
156	95,992	2.919	1 in 126	3	5/28/2019	204
157	96,928	2.947	1 in 125	2	4/13/2021	8
158	97,824	2.974	1 in 124	5	12/18/2020	41
159	98,684	3.001	1 in 123	1	2/8/2019	235
160	99,502	3.025	1 in 122	5	11/29/2019	151
161	100,281	3.049	1 in 121	2	10/27/2020	56
162	101,017	3.071	1 in 120	7	8/21/2020	75
163	101,713	3.093	1 in 119	4	3/23/2021	14
164	102,364	3.112	1 in 118	2	9/11/2020	69
165	102,973	3.131	1 in 118	3	10/30/2020	55
166	103,536	3.148	1 in 117	2	3/27/2020	117
167	104,056	3.164	1 in 116	3	10/1/2019	168
168	104,529	3.178	1 in 116	1	11/15/2019	155
169	104,957	3.191	1 in 115	1	4/9/2019	218
170	105,338	3.203	1 in 115	4	11/17/2020	50
171	105,673	3.213	1 in 115	2	6/7/2019	201
172	105,960	3.222	1 in 114	4	9/17/2019	172
173	106,200	3.229	1 in 114	4	4/20/2021	6
174	106,392	3.235	1 in 114	2	12/8/2020	44
175	106,537	3.239	1 in 114	3	8/2/2019	185
176	106,633	3.242	1 in 114	3	4/23/2019	214
177	106,681	3.244	1 in 113	4	4/16/2021	7
178	106,681	3.244	1 in 113	2	5/8/2020	105
179	106,633	3.242	1 in 114	3	3/26/2021	13
180	106,537	3.239	1 in 114	2	9/13/2019	173
181	106,392	3.235	1 in 114	2	9/7/2018	279	Overdue
182	106,200	3.229	1 in 114	3	1/22/2021	31
183	105,960	3.222	1 in 114	3	5/4/2021	2
184	105,673	3.213	1 in 115	0	Never	Never	Overdue
185	105,338	3.203	1 in 115	4	8/23/2019	179
186	104,957	3.191	1 in 115	2	7/12/2019	191
187	104,529	3.178	1 in 116	3	4/24/2020	109
188	104,056	3.164	1 in 116	2	4/17/2020	111
189	103,536	3.148	1 in 117	3	2/26/2021	21
190	102,973	3.131	1 in 118	5	3/19/2021	15
191	102,364	3.112	1 in 118	0	Never	Never	Overdue
192	101,713	3.093	1 in 119	3	7/24/2020	83
193	101,017	3.071	1 in 120	3	6/11/2019	200
194	100,281	3.049	1 in 121	2	3/10/2020	122
195	99,502	3.025	1 in 122	3	2/2/2021	28
196	98,684	3.001	1 in 123	5	2/19/2019	232
197	97,824	2.974	1 in 124	1	10/5/2018	271	Overdue
198	96,928	2.947	1 in 125	4	12/6/2019	149
199	95,992	2.919	1 in 126	6	4/9/2021	9
200	95,022	2.889	1 in 127	0	Never	Never	Overdue
201	94,013	2.859	1 in 129	2	2/16/2021	24
202	92,973	2.827	1 in 130	5	6/26/2020	91
203	91,897	2.794	1 in 132	1	3/31/2020	116
204	90,792	2.761	1 in 133	3	3/30/2021	12
205	89,653	2.726	1 in 135	1	10/12/2018	269
206	88,488	2.691	1 in 137	2	3/9/2021	18
207	87,292	2.654	1 in 139	2	9/29/2020	64
208	86,073	2.617	1 in 141	3	9/25/2020	65
209	84,825	2.579	1 in 143	6	2/19/2021	23
210	83,558	2.541	1 in 145	5	7/31/2020	81
211	82,265	2.501	1 in 147	5	10/2/2020	63
212	80,956	2.462	1 in 150	4	9/18/2020	67
213	79,624	2.421	1 in 152	1	1/28/2020	134
214	78,280	2.380	1 in 155	3	1/7/2020	140
215	76,917	2.339	1 in 157	5	4/2/2021	11
216	75,544	2.297	1 in 160	3	10/13/2020	60
217	74,155	2.255	1 in 163	2	6/12/2020	95
218	72,760	2.212	1 in 166	6	3/16/2021	16
219	71,352	2.170	1 in 170	3	12/1/2020	46
220	69,941	2.127	1 in 173	1	4/7/2020	114
221	68,519	2.083	1 in 177	3	4/3/2020	115
222	67,097	2.040	1 in 180	2	1/1/2021	37
223	65,668	1.997	1 in 184	1	3/22/2019	223
224	64,241	1.953	1 in 188	3	6/4/2019	202
225	62,809	1.910	1 in 193	2	10/23/2020	57
226	61,382	1.866	1 in 197	3	1/5/2021	36
227	59,953	1.823	1 in 202	2	3/1/2019	229
228	58,531	1.780	1 in 207	1	6/14/2019	199
229	57,109	1.736	1 in 212	1	5/21/2019	206
230	55,697	1.694	1 in 217	1	10/23/2018	266
231	54,287	1.651	1 in 223	1	11/24/2017	361
232	52,889	1.608	1 in 229	1	12/31/2019	142
233	51,495	1.566	1 in 235	2	11/20/2020	49
234	50,115	1.524	1 in 242	1	9/10/2019	174
235	48,742	1.482	1 in 248	2	1/29/2021	29
236	47,384	1.441	1 in 255	1	1/3/2020	141
237	46,034	1.400	1 in 263	2	9/18/2018	276
238	44,702	1.359	1 in 271	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	1.319	1 in 279	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	1.279	1 in 288	1	3/19/2019	224
241	40,785	1.240	1 in 297	2	11/10/2020	52
242	39,514	1.201	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.163	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.126	1 in 327	0	Never	Never
245	35,798	1.088	1 in 338	1	2/4/2020	132
246	34,599	1.052	1 in 350	2	9/22/2020	66
247	33,416	1.016	1 in 362	1	3/6/2020	123
248	32,257	0.981	1 in 375	0	Never	Never
249	31,114	0.946	1 in 389	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	0.912	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	0.879	1 in 419	1	9/28/2018	273
252	27,823	0.846	1 in 435	1	11/7/2017	366
253	26,767	0.814	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	0.783	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	0.752	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	0.722	1 in 510	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	0.693	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	0.664	1 in 554	1	12/3/2019	150
259	20,929	0.636	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.609	1 in 604	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.583	1 in 631	2	4/2/2019	220
262	18,332	0.557	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
263	17,512	0.532	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.508	1 in 724	1	12/22/2020	40
265	15,948	0.485	1 in 759	1	5/26/2020	100
266	15,204	0.462	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.440	1 in 836	2	1/26/2021	30
268	13,784	0.419	1 in 878	1	10/18/2019	163
269	13,107	0.399	1 in 923	1	11/16/2018	259
270	12,458	0.379	1 in 972	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.360	1 in 1,023	2	5/14/2019	208
272	11,225	0.341	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.324	1 in 1,138	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.307	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.290	1 in 1,268	1	7/17/2018	294
276	9,027	0.274	1 in 1,341	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.259	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.245	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.231	1 in 1,593	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.218	1 in 1,689	1	4/14/2020	112
281	6,747	0.205	1 in 1,794	1	10/20/2020	58
282	6,351	0.193	1 in 1,906	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.181	1 in 2,028	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.171	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.160	1 in 2,301	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.150	1 in 2,454	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.140	1 in 2,622	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.131	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.123	1 in 3,001	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.114	1 in 3,215	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.107	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.099	1 in 3,706	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.092	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.086	1 in 4,295	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.079	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.074	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.068	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.063	1 in 5,870	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.058	1 in 6,377	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.053	1 in 6,928	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.049	1 in 7,555	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.045	1 in 8,239	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.041	1 in 9,019	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.037	1 in 9,872	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.034	1 in 10,855	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.031	1 in 11,936	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.028	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.025	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.023	1 in 16,181	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.020	1 in 17,957	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.018	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.016	1 in 22,413	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.015	1 in 25,215	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.013	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.011	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.010	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.009	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.008	1 in 47,463	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.007	1 in 54,765	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.006	1 in 63,037	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.005	1 in 73,799	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.004	1 in 85,837	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.003	1 in 119,832	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.003	1 in 144,084	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.002	1 in 212,334	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.001	1 in 257,511	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.001	1 in 327,109	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.001	1 in 403,434	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,390	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,603	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 8 May 2021 05:26 AM