Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

Next Jackpot

$20 M

Time Left to Choose Numbers

0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

00 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Mins

00 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Secs

Choose Numbers

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 416 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.001	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.003	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.003	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.005	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.006	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.007	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.008	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.009	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.010	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.011	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.013	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.015	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.016	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.019	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.021	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.023	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.026	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.029	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.032	1 in 13,184	1	09/06/2020	143
49	1,014	0.035	1 in 11,935	1	04/05/2018	362
50	1,115	0.038	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.042	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.046	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.050	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.055	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.060	1 in 6,927	1	24/07/2018	339
56	1,898	0.065	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.071	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.077	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.083	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.090	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.097	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.104	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
63	3,266	0.112	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.121	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.129	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.139	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.148	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
68	4,616	0.159	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.170	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
70	5,260	0.181	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.193	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.205	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
73	6,351	0.218	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.232	1 in 1,793	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.246	1 in 1,688	1	24/03/2020	165
76	7,599	0.261	1 in 1,592	1	02/02/2018	388
77	8,056	0.277	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.293	1 in 1,419	2	22/10/2019	209
79	9,027	0.310	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
80	9,542	0.328	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	334
81	10,082	0.347	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.366	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.386	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.407	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.428	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
86	13,107	0.451	1 in 923	2	24/01/2020	182
87	13,784	0.474	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	330
88	14,480	0.498	1 in 835	2	03/08/2021	23
89	15,204	0.523	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.548	1 in 758	1	22/06/2018	348
91	16,720	0.575	1 in 723	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.602	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.630	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.659	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.689	1 in 603	2	12/02/2021	72
96	20,929	0.719	1 in 578	2	29/10/2019	207
97	21,845	0.751	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	0.783	1 in 531	2	21/05/2021	44
99	23,745	0.816	1 in 509	1	19/10/2021	1
100	24,728	0.850	1 in 489	1	21/02/2020	174
101	25,738	0.885	1 in 470	1	08/01/2021	82
102	26,767	0.920	1 in 452	1	05/10/2021	5
103	27,823	0.956	1 in 435	1	05/05/2020	153
104	28,897	0.993	1 in 418	0	Never	Never
105	29,997	1.031	1 in 403	2	07/05/2021	48
106	31,114	1.069	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	1.109	1 in 375	4	15/01/2021	80
108	33,416	1.149	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	382
109	34,599	1.189	1 in 349	1	21/11/2017	409
110	35,798	1.230	1 in 338	1	11/05/2021	47
111	37,020	1.272	1 in 326	3	13/07/2021	29
112	38,256	1.315	1 in 316	1	26/07/2019	234
113	39,514	1.358	1 in 306	4	12/01/2021	81
114	40,785	1.402	1 in 296	4	06/04/2021	57
115	42,077	1.446	1 in 287	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	1.491	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	1.536	1 in 270	1	09/02/2021	73
118	46,034	1.582	1 in 262	1	02/10/2018	319
119	47,384	1.629	1 in 255	3	17/08/2021	19
120	48,742	1.675	1 in 248	3	08/09/2020	117
121	50,115	1.723	1 in 241	1	26/12/2017	399
122	51,495	1.770	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	398
123	52,889	1.818	1 in 228	1	02/03/2021	67
124	54,287	1.866	1 in 222	3	28/02/2020	172
125	55,697	1.914	1 in 217	4	27/08/2019	225
126	57,109	1.963	1 in 211	2	20/02/2018	383
127	58,531	2.012	1 in 206	1	13/02/2018	385
128	59,953	2.061	1 in 201	1	22/05/2020	148
129	61,382	2.110	1 in 197	2	28/07/2020	129
130	62,809	2.159	1 in 192	1	21/09/2018	322
131	64,241	2.208	1 in 188	3	21/01/2020	183
132	65,668	2.257	1 in 184	3	05/02/2021	74
133	67,097	2.306	1 in 180	4	19/01/2021	79
134	68,519	2.355	1 in 176	3	27/11/2020	94
135	69,941	2.404	1 in 173	1	15/10/2019	211
136	71,352	2.452	1 in 169	0	Never	Never
137	72,760	2.501	1 in 166	0	Never	Never
138	74,155	2.549	1 in 163	4	07/02/2020	178
139	75,544	2.597	1 in 160	2	15/05/2020	150
140	76,917	2.644	1 in 157	1	04/12/2020	92
141	78,280	2.691	1 in 154	2	20/12/2019	192
142	79,624	2.737	1 in 152	1	07/09/2021	13
143	80,956	2.783	1 in 149	0	Never	Never
144	82,265	2.828	1 in 147	4	22/10/2021	0
145	83,558	2.872	1 in 144	6	14/08/2020	124
146	84,825	2.916	1 in 142	2	04/09/2020	118
147	86,073	2.958	1 in 140	6	12/03/2021	64
148	87,292	3.000	1 in 138	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	3.041	1 in 136	2	21/07/2020	131
150	89,653	3.082	1 in 134	5	02/07/2021	32
151	90,792	3.121	1 in 133	6	23/04/2021	52
152	91,897	3.159	1 in 131	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	3.196	1 in 130	4	15/10/2021	2
154	94,013	3.231	1 in 128	5	25/05/2021	43
155	95,022	3.266	1 in 127	2	03/09/2021	14
156	95,992	3.299	1 in 126	3	28/05/2019	251
157	96,928	3.332	1 in 124	3	15/06/2021	37
158	97,824	3.362	1 in 123	7	27/08/2021	16
159	98,684	3.392	1 in 122	1	08/02/2019	282	Overdue
160	99,502	3.420	1 in 121	5	29/11/2019	198
161	100,281	3.447	1 in 120	3	28/05/2021	42
162	101,017	3.472	1 in 119	7	21/08/2020	122
163	101,713	3.496	1 in 118	5	14/09/2021	11
164	102,364	3.518	1 in 118	3	24/09/2021	8
165	102,973	3.539	1 in 117	4	08/06/2021	39
166	103,536	3.559	1 in 116	3	13/08/2021	20
167	104,056	3.577	1 in 116	3	01/10/2019	215
168	104,529	3.593	1 in 115	1	15/11/2019	202
169	104,957	3.608	1 in 115	2	09/07/2021	30
170	105,338	3.621	1 in 114	4	17/11/2020	97
171	105,673	3.632	1 in 114	2	07/06/2019	248	Overdue
172	105,960	3.642	1 in 114	5	01/06/2021	41
173	106,200	3.650	1 in 113	5	04/06/2021	40
174	106,392	3.657	1 in 113	3	14/05/2021	46
175	106,537	3.662	1 in 113	4	20/07/2021	27
176	106,633	3.665	1 in 113	3	23/04/2019	261	Overdue
177	106,681	3.667	1 in 113	4	16/04/2021	54
178	106,681	3.667	1 in 113	2	08/05/2020	152
179	106,633	3.665	1 in 113	4	31/08/2021	15
180	106,537	3.662	1 in 113	3	24/08/2021	17
181	106,392	3.657	1 in 113	2	07/09/2018	326	Overdue
182	106,200	3.650	1 in 113	4	06/08/2021	22
183	105,960	3.642	1 in 114	3	04/05/2021	49
184	105,673	3.632	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
185	105,338	3.621	1 in 114	5	22/06/2021	35
186	104,957	3.608	1 in 115	2	12/07/2019	238	Overdue
187	104,529	3.593	1 in 115	3	24/04/2020	156
188	104,056	3.577	1 in 116	2	17/04/2020	158
189	103,536	3.559	1 in 116	4	25/06/2021	34
190	102,973	3.539	1 in 117	5	19/03/2021	62
191	102,364	3.518	1 in 118	3	08/10/2021	4
192	101,713	3.496	1 in 118	3	24/07/2020	130
193	101,017	3.472	1 in 119	4	18/06/2021	36
194	100,281	3.447	1 in 120	2	10/03/2020	169
195	99,502	3.420	1 in 121	3	02/02/2021	75
196	98,684	3.392	1 in 122	6	30/07/2021	24
197	97,824	3.362	1 in 123	1	05/10/2018	318	Overdue
198	96,928	3.332	1 in 124	5	10/09/2021	12
199	95,992	3.299	1 in 126	6	09/04/2021	56
200	95,022	3.266	1 in 127	0	Never	Never
201	94,013	3.231	1 in 128	2	16/02/2021	71
202	92,973	3.196	1 in 130	5	26/06/2020	138
203	91,897	3.159	1 in 131	1	31/03/2020	163
204	90,792	3.121	1 in 133	3	30/03/2021	59
205	89,653	3.082	1 in 134	2	16/07/2021	28
206	88,488	3.041	1 in 136	2	09/03/2021	65
207	87,292	3.000	1 in 138	3	01/10/2021	6
208	86,073	2.958	1 in 140	3	25/09/2020	112
209	84,825	2.916	1 in 142	7	17/09/2021	10
210	83,558	2.872	1 in 144	5	31/07/2020	128
211	82,265	2.828	1 in 147	5	02/10/2020	110
212	80,956	2.783	1 in 149	4	18/09/2020	114
213	79,624	2.737	1 in 152	1	28/01/2020	181
214	78,280	2.691	1 in 154	3	07/01/2020	187
215	76,917	2.644	1 in 157	5	02/04/2021	58
216	75,544	2.597	1 in 160	4	29/06/2021	33
217	74,155	2.549	1 in 163	2	12/06/2020	142
218	72,760	2.501	1 in 166	6	16/03/2021	63
219	71,352	2.452	1 in 169	3	01/12/2020	93
220	69,941	2.404	1 in 173	1	07/04/2020	161
221	68,519	2.355	1 in 176	3	03/04/2020	162
222	67,097	2.306	1 in 180	2	01/01/2021	84
223	65,668	2.257	1 in 184	1	22/03/2019	270
224	64,241	2.208	1 in 188	3	04/06/2019	249
225	62,809	2.159	1 in 192	2	23/10/2020	104
226	61,382	2.110	1 in 197	3	05/01/2021	83
227	59,953	2.061	1 in 201	2	01/03/2019	276
228	58,531	2.012	1 in 206	2	28/09/2021	7
229	57,109	1.963	1 in 211	3	12/10/2021	3
230	55,697	1.914	1 in 217	1	23/10/2018	313
231	54,287	1.866	1 in 222	1	24/11/2017	408
232	52,889	1.818	1 in 228	1	31/12/2019	189
233	51,495	1.770	1 in 235	2	20/11/2020	96
234	50,115	1.723	1 in 241	2	11/06/2021	38
235	48,742	1.675	1 in 248	2	29/01/2021	76
236	47,384	1.629	1 in 255	1	03/01/2020	188
237	46,034	1.582	1 in 262	2	18/09/2018	323
238	44,702	1.536	1 in 270	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	1.491	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	1.446	1 in 287	1	19/03/2019	271
241	40,785	1.402	1 in 296	2	10/11/2020	99
242	39,514	1.358	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.315	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.272	1 in 326	0	Never	Never
245	35,798	1.230	1 in 338	2	10/08/2021	21
246	34,599	1.189	1 in 349	2	22/09/2020	113
247	33,416	1.149	1 in 362	1	06/03/2020	170
248	32,257	1.109	1 in 375	0	Never	Never
249	31,114	1.069	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	1.031	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	0.993	1 in 418	1	28/09/2018	320
252	27,823	0.956	1 in 435	1	07/11/2017	413
253	26,767	0.920	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	0.885	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	0.850	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	0.816	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	0.783	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	0.751	1 in 554	1	03/12/2019	197
259	20,929	0.719	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.689	1 in 603	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.659	1 in 631	2	02/04/2019	267
262	18,332	0.630	1 in 660	1	20/08/2021	18
263	17,512	0.602	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.575	1 in 723	1	22/12/2020	87
265	15,948	0.548	1 in 758	2	06/07/2021	31
266	15,204	0.523	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.498	1 in 835	2	26/01/2021	77
268	13,784	0.474	1 in 878	1	18/10/2019	210
269	13,107	0.451	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	306
270	12,458	0.428	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.407	1 in 1,023	2	14/05/2019	255
272	11,225	0.386	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.366	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.347	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.328	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	341
276	9,027	0.310	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.293	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.277	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.261	1 in 1,592	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.246	1 in 1,688	1	14/04/2020	159
281	6,747	0.232	1 in 1,793	1	20/10/2020	105
282	6,351	0.218	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.205	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.193	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.181	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.170	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.159	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.148	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.139	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.129	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.121	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.112	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.104	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.097	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.090	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.083	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.077	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.071	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.065	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.060	1 in 6,927	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.055	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.050	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.046	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.042	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.038	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.035	1 in 11,935	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.032	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.029	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.026	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.023	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.021	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.019	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.016	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.015	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.013	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.011	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.010	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.009	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.008	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.007	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.006	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.005	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.003	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.003	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.001	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 23^rd October 2021 5:25 am