Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Ball Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 118 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,603	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.000	1 in 672,390	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.000	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.000	1 in 403,434	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.000	1 in 327,109	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.000	1 in 257,511	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.001	1 in 212,334	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.001	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.001	1 in 144,084	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.001	1 in 119,832	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.001	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.001	1 in 85,837	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.002	1 in 73,799	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.002	1 in 63,037	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.002	1 in 54,765	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.002	1 in 47,463	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.003	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.003	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.004	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.004	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.005	1 in 25,215	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.005	1 in 22,413	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.006	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.007	1 in 17,957	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.007	1 in 16,181	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.008	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.009	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
49	1,014	0.010	1 in 11,936	1	04/05/2018	65
50	1,115	0.011	1 in 10,855	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.012	1 in 9,872	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.013	1 in 9,019	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.014	1 in 8,239	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.016	1 in 7,555	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.017	1 in 6,928	1	24/07/2018	42
56	1,898	0.019	1 in 6,377	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.020	1 in 5,870	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.022	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.024	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.025	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.027	1 in 4,295	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.030	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
63	3,266	0.032	1 in 3,706	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.034	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.037	1 in 3,215	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.039	1 in 3,001	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.042	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
68	4,616	0.045	1 in 2,622	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.048	1 in 2,454	0	Never	Never
70	5,260	0.051	1 in 2,301	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.055	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.058	1 in 2,028	0	Never	Never
73	6,351	0.062	1 in 1,906	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.066	1 in 1,794	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.070	1 in 1,689	0	Never	Never
76	7,599	0.074	1 in 1,593	1	02/02/2018	91
77	8,056	0.079	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.083	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
79	9,027	0.088	1 in 1,341	0	Never	Never
80	9,542	0.093	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	37
81	10,082	0.098	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.104	1 in 1,138	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.109	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.115	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.121	1 in 972	0	Never	Never
86	13,107	0.128	1 in 923	1	14/11/2017	114
87	13,784	0.134	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	33
88	14,480	0.141	1 in 836	0	Never	Never
89	15,204	0.148	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.155	1 in 759	1	22/06/2018	51
91	16,720	0.163	1 in 724	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.171	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.179	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.187	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.195	1 in 604	0	Never	Never
96	20,929	0.204	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
97	21,845	0.213	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	0.222	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
99	23,745	0.232	1 in 510	0	Never	Never
100	24,728	0.241	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
101	25,738	0.251	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
102	26,767	0.261	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
103	27,823	0.271	1 in 435	0	Never	Never
104	28,897	0.282	1 in 419	0	Never	Never
105	29,997	0.292	1 in 403	1	06/03/2018	82
106	31,114	0.303	1 in 389	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	0.314	1 in 375	1	12/12/2017	106
108	33,416	0.326	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	85
109	34,599	0.337	1 in 350	1	21/11/2017	112
110	35,798	0.349	1 in 338	0	Never	Never
111	37,020	0.361	1 in 327	1	20/04/2018	69
112	38,256	0.373	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
113	39,514	0.385	1 in 306	2	04/09/2018	30
114	40,785	0.398	1 in 297	0	Never	Never
115	42,077	0.410	1 in 288	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	0.423	1 in 279	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	0.436	1 in 271	0	Never	Never
118	46,034	0.449	1 in 263	1	02/10/2018	22
119	47,384	0.462	1 in 255	0	Never	Never
120	48,742	0.475	1 in 248	0	Never	Never
121	50,115	0.489	1 in 242	1	26/12/2017	102
122	51,495	0.502	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	101
123	52,889	0.516	1 in 229	0	Never	Never
124	54,287	0.529	1 in 223	2	07/12/2018	3
125	55,697	0.543	1 in 217	2	16/03/2018	79
126	57,109	0.557	1 in 212	2	20/02/2018	86
127	58,531	0.571	1 in 207	1	13/02/2018	88
128	59,953	0.585	1 in 202	0	Never	Never
129	61,382	0.598	1 in 197	1	27/02/2018	84
130	62,809	0.612	1 in 193	1	21/09/2018	25
131	64,241	0.626	1 in 188	2	31/08/2018	31
132	65,668	0.640	1 in 184	0	Never	Never
133	67,097	0.654	1 in 180	1	24/04/2018	68
134	68,519	0.668	1 in 177	1	26/01/2018	93
135	69,941	0.682	1 in 173	0	Never	Never
136	71,352	0.696	1 in 170	0	Never	Never
137	72,760	0.709	1 in 166	0	Never	Never
138	74,155	0.723	1 in 163	1	22/05/2018	60
139	75,544	0.737	1 in 160	1	23/11/2018	7
140	76,917	0.750	1 in 157	0	Never	Never
141	78,280	0.763	1 in 155	0	Never	Never
142	79,624	0.776	1 in 152	0	Never	Never
143	80,956	0.789	1 in 150	0	Never	Never
144	82,265	0.802	1 in 147	1	21/08/2018	34
145	83,558	0.815	1 in 145	2	14/12/2018	1
146	84,825	0.827	1 in 143	0	Never	Never
147	86,073	0.839	1 in 141	2	15/06/2018	53
148	87,292	0.851	1 in 139	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	0.863	1 in 137	0	Never	Never
150	89,653	0.874	1 in 135	1	13/04/2018	71
151	90,792	0.885	1 in 133	1	20/07/2018	43
152	91,897	0.896	1 in 132	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	0.906	1 in 130	1	15/12/2017	105
154	94,013	0.917	1 in 129	2	01/05/2018	66
155	95,022	0.926	1 in 127	0	Never	Never
156	95,992	0.936	1 in 126	0	Never	Never
157	96,928	0.945	1 in 125	0	Never	Never
158	97,824	0.954	1 in 124	1	19/01/2018	95
159	98,684	0.962	1 in 123	0	Never	Never
160	99,502	0.970	1 in 122	0	Never	Never
161	100,281	0.978	1 in 121	0	Never	Never
162	101,017	0.985	1 in 120	2	02/11/2018	13
163	101,713	0.992	1 in 119	0	Never	Never
164	102,364	0.998	1 in 118	1	06/07/2018	47
165	102,973	1.004	1 in 118	2	20/11/2018	8
166	103,536	1.009	1 in 117	0	Never	Never
167	104,056	1.015	1 in 116	2	17/08/2018	35
168	104,529	1.019	1 in 116	0	Never	Never
169	104,957	1.023	1 in 115	0	Never	Never
170	105,338	1.027	1 in 115	2	26/06/2018	50
171	105,673	1.030	1 in 115	0	Never	Never
172	105,960	1.033	1 in 114	3	27/11/2018	6
173	106,200	1.035	1 in 114	1	09/11/2018	11
174	106,392	1.037	1 in 114	1	12/01/2018	97
175	106,537	1.039	1 in 114	2	30/03/2018	75
176	106,633	1.040	1 in 114	1	03/04/2018	74
177	106,681	1.040	1 in 113	1	08/06/2018	55
178	106,681	1.040	1 in 113	1	01/12/2017	109
179	106,633	1.040	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
180	106,537	1.039	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
181	106,392	1.037	1 in 114	2	07/09/2018	29
182	106,200	1.035	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
183	105,960	1.033	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
184	105,673	1.030	1 in 115	0	Never	Never
185	105,338	1.027	1 in 115	2	30/10/2018	14
186	104,957	1.023	1 in 115	1	28/11/2017	110
187	104,529	1.019	1 in 116	1	19/06/2018	52
188	104,056	1.015	1 in 116	0	Never	Never
189	103,536	1.009	1 in 117	0	Never	Never
190	102,973	1.004	1 in 118	1	27/03/2018	76
191	102,364	0.998	1 in 118	0	Never	Never
192	101,713	0.992	1 in 119	1	04/12/2018	4
193	101,017	0.985	1 in 120	2	29/05/2018	58
194	100,281	0.978	1 in 121	1	11/12/2018	2
195	99,502	0.970	1 in 122	2	09/10/2018	20
196	98,684	0.962	1 in 123	2	05/06/2018	56
197	97,824	0.954	1 in 124	1	05/10/2018	21
198	96,928	0.945	1 in 125	2	29/06/2018	49
199	95,992	0.936	1 in 126	1	30/11/2018	5
200	95,022	0.926	1 in 127	0	Never	Never
201	94,013	0.917	1 in 129	0	Never	Never
202	92,973	0.906	1 in 130	2	14/09/2018	27
203	91,897	0.896	1 in 132	0	Never	Never
204	90,792	0.885	1 in 133	2	19/12/2017	104
205	89,653	0.874	1 in 135	1	12/10/2018	19
206	88,488	0.863	1 in 137	0	Never	Never
207	87,292	0.851	1 in 139	0	Never	Never
208	86,073	0.839	1 in 141	2	25/05/2018	59
209	84,825	0.827	1 in 143	3	13/07/2018	45
210	83,558	0.815	1 in 145	1	03/07/2018	48
211	82,265	0.802	1 in 147	1	16/02/2018	87
212	80,956	0.789	1 in 150	1	17/11/2017	113
213	79,624	0.776	1 in 152	0	Never	Never
214	78,280	0.763	1 in 155	0	Never	Never
215	76,917	0.750	1 in 157	3	26/10/2018	15
216	75,544	0.737	1 in 160	0	Never	Never
217	74,155	0.723	1 in 163	0	Never	Never
218	72,760	0.709	1 in 166	3	18/05/2018	61
219	71,352	0.696	1 in 170	1	08/12/2017	107
220	69,941	0.682	1 in 173	0	Never	Never
221	68,519	0.668	1 in 177	1	06/04/2018	73
222	67,097	0.654	1 in 180	0	Never	Never
223	65,668	0.640	1 in 184	0	Never	Never
224	64,241	0.626	1 in 188	2	06/11/2018	12
225	62,809	0.612	1 in 193	1	11/09/2018	28
226	61,382	0.598	1 in 197	2	19/10/2018	17
227	59,953	0.585	1 in 202	1	16/10/2018	18
228	58,531	0.571	1 in 207	0	Never	Never
229	57,109	0.557	1 in 212	0	Never	Never
230	55,697	0.543	1 in 217	1	23/10/2018	16
231	54,287	0.529	1 in 223	1	24/11/2017	111
232	52,889	0.516	1 in 229	0	Never	Never
233	51,495	0.502	1 in 235	0	Never	Never
234	50,115	0.489	1 in 242	0	Never	Never
235	48,742	0.475	1 in 248	0	Never	Never
236	47,384	0.462	1 in 255	0	Never	Never
237	46,034	0.449	1 in 263	2	18/09/2018	26
238	44,702	0.436	1 in 271	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	0.423	1 in 279	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	0.410	1 in 288	0	Never	Never
241	40,785	0.398	1 in 297	0	Never	Never
242	39,514	0.385	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	0.373	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	0.361	1 in 327	0	Never	Never
245	35,798	0.349	1 in 338	0	Never	Never
246	34,599	0.337	1 in 350	0	Never	Never
247	33,416	0.326	1 in 362	0	Never	Never
248	32,257	0.314	1 in 375	0	Never	Never
249	31,114	0.303	1 in 389	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	0.292	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	0.282	1 in 419	1	28/09/2018	23
252	27,823	0.271	1 in 435	1	07/11/2017	116
253	26,767	0.261	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	0.251	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	0.241	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	0.232	1 in 510	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	0.222	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	0.213	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
259	20,929	0.204	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.195	1 in 604	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.187	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
262	18,332	0.179	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
263	17,512	0.171	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.163	1 in 724	0	Never	Never
265	15,948	0.155	1 in 759	0	Never	Never
266	15,204	0.148	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.141	1 in 836	0	Never	Never
268	13,784	0.134	1 in 878	0	Never	Never
269	13,107	0.128	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	9
270	12,458	0.121	1 in 972	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.115	1 in 1,023	1	13/11/2018	10
272	11,225	0.109	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.104	1 in 1,138	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.098	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.093	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	44
276	9,027	0.088	1 in 1,341	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.083	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.079	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.074	1 in 1,593	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.070	1 in 1,689	0	Never	Never
281	6,747	0.066	1 in 1,794	0	Never	Never
282	6,351	0.062	1 in 1,906	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.058	1 in 2,028	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.055	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.051	1 in 2,301	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.048	1 in 2,454	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.045	1 in 2,622	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.042	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.039	1 in 3,001	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.037	1 in 3,215	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.034	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.032	1 in 3,706	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.030	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.027	1 in 4,295	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.025	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.024	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.022	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.020	1 in 5,870	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.019	1 in 6,377	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.017	1 in 6,928	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.016	1 in 7,555	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.014	1 in 8,239	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.013	1 in 9,019	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.012	1 in 9,872	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.011	1 in 10,855	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.010	1 in 11,936	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.009	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.008	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.007	1 in 16,181	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.007	1 in 17,957	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.006	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.005	1 in 22,413	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.005	1 in 25,215	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.004	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.004	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.003	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.003	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.002	1 in 47,463	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.002	1 in 54,765	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.002	1 in 63,037	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.002	1 in 73,799	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.001	1 in 85,837	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.001	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.001	1 in 119,832	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.001	1 in 144,084	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.001	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.001	1 in 212,334	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.000	1 in 257,511	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.000	1 in 327,109	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.000	1 in 403,434	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.000	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.000	1 in 672,390	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,603	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,010	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Friday, 14 December 2018 12:00 AM