Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

Next Jackpot

$230 M

Time Left to Choose Numbers

0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

00 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Mins

00 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Secs

Choose Numbers

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 616 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.001	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.002	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.003	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.004	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.005	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.006	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.007	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.008	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.010	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.011	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.013	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.015	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.017	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.019	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.022	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.024	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.027	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.031	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.034	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.038	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.042	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.047	1 in 13,184	1	09/06/2020	343
49	1,014	0.052	1 in 11,935	1	04/05/2018	562
50	1,115	0.057	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.062	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.068	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.075	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.082	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.089	1 in 6,927	1	24/07/2018	539
56	1,898	0.097	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.105	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.114	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.123	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.133	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.143	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.154	1 in 3,989	1	01/11/2022	93
63	3,266	0.166	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.178	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.192	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.205	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.220	1 in 2,802	1	10/01/2023	73
68	4,616	0.235	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.251	1 in 2,453	1	04/01/2022	179
70	5,260	0.268	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.285	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.304	1 in 2,027	1	11/10/2022	99
73	6,351	0.323	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.343	1 in 1,793	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.365	1 in 1,688	3	18/04/2023	45
76	7,599	0.387	1 in 1,592	2	09/08/2022	117
77	8,056	0.410	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.434	1 in 1,419	2	22/10/2019	409
79	9,027	0.459	1 in 1,340	1	10/06/2022	134
80	9,542	0.486	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	534
81	10,082	0.513	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.542	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.571	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.602	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.634	1 in 971	1	28/12/2021	181
86	13,107	0.667	1 in 923	2	24/01/2020	382
87	13,784	0.702	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	530
88	14,480	0.737	1 in 835	2	03/08/2021	223
89	15,204	0.774	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.812	1 in 758	1	22/06/2018	548
91	16,720	0.851	1 in 723	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.891	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.933	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.976	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	1.020	1 in 603	3	17/01/2023	71
96	20,929	1.065	1 in 578	3	14/01/2022	176
97	21,845	1.112	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	1.159	1 in 531	2	21/05/2021	244
99	23,745	1.209	1 in 509	1	19/10/2021	201
100	24,728	1.259	1 in 489	2	24/06/2022	130
101	25,738	1.310	1 in 470	1	08/01/2021	282
102	26,767	1.362	1 in 452	2	31/01/2023	67
103	27,823	1.416	1 in 435	1	05/05/2020	353
104	28,897	1.471	1 in 418	1	11/02/2022	168
105	29,997	1.527	1 in 403	4	30/12/2022	76
106	31,114	1.584	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	1.642	1 in 375	5	02/05/2023	41
108	33,416	1.701	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	582
109	34,599	1.761	1 in 349	1	21/11/2017	609
110	35,798	1.822	1 in 338	2	30/11/2021	189
111	37,020	1.884	1 in 326	5	11/08/2023	12
112	38,256	1.947	1 in 316	1	26/07/2019	434
113	39,514	2.011	1 in 306	5	21/06/2022	131
114	40,785	2.076	1 in 296	6	21/03/2023	53
115	42,077	2.142	1 in 287	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	2.208	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	2.275	1 in 270	2	08/08/2023	13
118	46,034	2.343	1 in 262	2	18/03/2022	158
119	47,384	2.412	1 in 255	4	25/07/2023	17
120	48,742	2.481	1 in 248	4	08/04/2022	152
121	50,115	2.551	1 in 241	1	26/12/2017	599	Overdue
122	51,495	2.621	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	598	Overdue
123	52,889	2.692	1 in 228	3	19/09/2023	1
124	54,287	2.763	1 in 222	4	14/03/2023	55
125	55,697	2.835	1 in 217	6	22/08/2023	9
126	57,109	2.907	1 in 211	2	20/02/2018	583	Overdue
127	58,531	2.979	1 in 206	2	06/06/2023	31
128	59,953	3.051	1 in 201	4	13/06/2023	29
129	61,382	3.124	1 in 197	3	04/10/2022	101
130	62,809	3.197	1 in 192	4	25/08/2023	8
131	64,241	3.270	1 in 188	4	24/12/2021	182
132	65,668	3.342	1 in 184	4	22/03/2022	157
133	67,097	3.415	1 in 180	4	19/01/2021	279
134	68,519	3.487	1 in 176	5	02/06/2023	32
135	69,941	3.560	1 in 173	1	15/10/2019	411	Overdue
136	71,352	3.632	1 in 169	1	18/11/2022	88
137	72,760	3.703	1 in 166	1	07/10/2022	100
138	74,155	3.774	1 in 163	5	28/06/2022	129
139	75,544	3.845	1 in 160	2	15/05/2020	350	Overdue
140	76,917	3.915	1 in 157	3	27/09/2022	103
141	78,280	3.984	1 in 154	2	20/12/2019	392	Overdue
142	79,624	4.053	1 in 152	2	14/10/2022	98
143	80,956	4.120	1 in 149	1	28/01/2022	172
144	82,265	4.187	1 in 147	8	08/11/2022	91
145	83,558	4.253	1 in 144	8	08/09/2023	4
146	84,825	4.317	1 in 142	5	12/09/2023	3
147	86,073	4.381	1 in 140	8	05/05/2023	40
148	87,292	4.443	1 in 138	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	4.504	1 in 136	4	02/08/2022	119
150	89,653	4.563	1 in 134	6	15/09/2023	2
151	90,792	4.621	1 in 133	8	15/04/2022	150
152	91,897	4.677	1 in 131	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	4.732	1 in 130	5	03/05/2022	145
154	94,013	4.785	1 in 128	5	25/05/2021	243
155	95,022	4.836	1 in 127	2	03/09/2021	214
156	95,992	4.886	1 in 126	8	07/07/2023	22
157	96,928	4.933	1 in 124	6	01/07/2022	128
158	97,824	4.979	1 in 123	9	28/07/2023	16
159	98,684	5.023	1 in 122	3	07/03/2023	57
160	99,502	5.064	1 in 121	7	22/09/2023	0
161	100,281	5.104	1 in 120	3	28/05/2021	242	Overdue
162	101,017	5.141	1 in 119	9	21/04/2023	44
163	101,713	5.177	1 in 118	6	18/07/2023	19
164	102,364	5.210	1 in 118	8	16/06/2023	28
165	102,973	5.241	1 in 117	7	14/02/2023	63
166	103,536	5.270	1 in 116	4	23/05/2023	35
167	104,056	5.296	1 in 116	5	25/03/2022	156
168	104,529	5.320	1 in 115	4	01/08/2023	15
169	104,957	5.342	1 in 115	5	18/08/2023	10
170	105,338	5.361	1 in 114	8	27/06/2023	25
171	105,673	5.378	1 in 114	4	17/03/2023	54
172	105,960	5.393	1 in 114	11	31/03/2023	50
173	106,200	5.405	1 in 113	6	20/06/2023	27
174	106,392	5.415	1 in 113	4	26/05/2023	34
175	106,537	5.422	1 in 113	7	11/07/2023	21
176	106,633	5.427	1 in 113	3	23/04/2019	461	Overdue
177	106,681	5.430	1 in 113	4	16/04/2021	254	Overdue
178	106,681	5.430	1 in 113	5	25/04/2023	43
179	106,633	5.427	1 in 113	5	05/11/2021	196
180	106,537	5.422	1 in 113	3	24/08/2021	217
181	106,392	5.415	1 in 113	5	01/09/2023	6
182	106,200	5.405	1 in 113	5	07/02/2023	65
183	105,960	5.393	1 in 114	4	04/11/2022	92
184	105,673	5.378	1 in 114	1	16/09/2022	106
185	105,338	5.361	1 in 114	7	10/05/2022	143
186	104,957	5.342	1 in 115	3	09/05/2023	39
187	104,529	5.320	1 in 115	3	24/04/2020	356	Overdue
188	104,056	5.296	1 in 116	3	30/06/2023	24
189	103,536	5.270	1 in 116	6	10/02/2023	64
190	102,973	5.241	1 in 117	8	14/04/2023	46
191	102,364	5.210	1 in 118	4	06/01/2023	74
192	101,713	5.177	1 in 118	7	16/12/2022	80
193	101,017	5.141	1 in 119	4	18/06/2021	236
194	100,281	5.104	1 in 120	3	04/08/2023	14
195	99,502	5.064	1 in 121	3	02/02/2021	275	Overdue
196	98,684	5.023	1 in 122	7	06/09/2022	109
197	97,824	4.979	1 in 123	2	25/10/2022	95
198	96,928	4.933	1 in 124	7	18/02/2022	166
199	95,992	4.886	1 in 126	7	14/07/2023	20
200	95,022	4.836	1 in 127	3	17/02/2023	62
201	94,013	4.785	1 in 128	7	30/05/2023	33
202	92,973	4.732	1 in 130	5	26/06/2020	338	Overdue
203	91,897	4.677	1 in 131	2	09/06/2023	30
204	90,792	4.621	1 in 133	4	13/05/2022	142
205	89,653	4.563	1 in 134	5	24/02/2023	60
206	88,488	4.504	1 in 136	2	09/03/2021	265
207	87,292	4.443	1 in 138	3	01/10/2021	206
208	86,073	4.381	1 in 140	4	25/02/2022	164
209	84,825	4.317	1 in 142	8	04/04/2023	49
210	83,558	4.253	1 in 144	9	07/04/2023	48
211	82,265	4.187	1 in 147	6	10/03/2023	56
212	80,956	4.120	1 in 149	5	05/09/2023	5
213	79,624	4.053	1 in 152	1	28/01/2020	381	Overdue
214	78,280	3.984	1 in 154	3	07/01/2020	387	Overdue
215	76,917	3.915	1 in 157	7	09/09/2022	108
216	75,544	3.845	1 in 160	4	29/06/2021	233
217	74,155	3.774	1 in 163	3	30/08/2022	111
218	72,760	3.703	1 in 166	7	29/07/2022	120
219	71,352	3.632	1 in 169	4	15/08/2023	11
220	69,941	3.560	1 in 173	2	05/07/2022	127
221	68,519	3.487	1 in 176	3	03/04/2020	362	Overdue
222	67,097	3.415	1 in 180	2	01/01/2021	284
223	65,668	3.342	1 in 184	2	21/07/2023	18
224	64,241	3.270	1 in 188	5	29/08/2023	7
225	62,809	3.197	1 in 192	4	13/01/2023	72
226	61,382	3.124	1 in 197	5	21/10/2022	96
227	59,953	3.051	1 in 201	3	25/11/2022	86
228	58,531	2.979	1 in 206	3	11/04/2023	47
229	57,109	2.907	1 in 211	3	12/10/2021	203
230	55,697	2.835	1 in 217	2	23/09/2022	104
231	54,287	2.763	1 in 222	1	24/11/2017	608	Overdue
232	52,889	2.692	1 in 228	1	31/12/2019	389
233	51,495	2.621	1 in 235	3	24/01/2023	69
234	50,115	2.551	1 in 241	4	17/06/2022	132
235	48,742	2.481	1 in 248	3	28/04/2023	42
236	47,384	2.412	1 in 255	3	04/07/2023	23
237	46,034	2.343	1 in 262	2	18/09/2018	523
238	44,702	2.275	1 in 270	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	2.208	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	2.142	1 in 287	1	19/03/2019	471
241	40,785	2.076	1 in 296	2	10/11/2020	299
242	39,514	2.011	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.947	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.884	1 in 326	1	22/07/2022	122
245	35,798	1.822	1 in 338	3	21/12/2021	183
246	34,599	1.761	1 in 349	2	22/09/2020	313
247	33,416	1.701	1 in 362	1	06/03/2020	370
248	32,257	1.642	1 in 375	1	08/07/2022	126
249	31,114	1.584	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	1.527	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	1.471	1 in 418	2	21/01/2022	174
252	27,823	1.416	1 in 435	2	05/04/2022	153
253	26,767	1.362	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	1.310	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	1.259	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	1.209	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	1.159	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	1.112	1 in 554	2	02/09/2022	110
259	20,929	1.065	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	1.020	1 in 603	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.976	1 in 631	3	20/05/2022	140
262	18,332	0.933	1 in 660	1	20/08/2021	218
263	17,512	0.891	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.851	1 in 723	1	22/12/2020	287
265	15,948	0.812	1 in 758	2	06/07/2021	231
266	15,204	0.774	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.737	1 in 835	2	26/01/2021	277
268	13,784	0.702	1 in 878	1	18/10/2019	410
269	13,107	0.667	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	506
270	12,458	0.634	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.602	1 in 1,023	2	14/05/2019	455
272	11,225	0.571	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.542	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.513	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.486	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	541
276	9,027	0.459	1 in 1,340	1	23/06/2023	26
277	8,529	0.434	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.410	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.387	1 in 1,592	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.365	1 in 1,688	1	14/04/2020	359
281	6,747	0.343	1 in 1,793	1	20/10/2020	305
282	6,351	0.323	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.304	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.285	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.268	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.251	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.235	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.220	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.205	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.192	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.178	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.166	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.154	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.143	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.133	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.123	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.114	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.105	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.097	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.089	1 in 6,927	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.082	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.075	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.068	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.062	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.057	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.052	1 in 11,935	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.047	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.042	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.038	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.034	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.031	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.027	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.024	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.022	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.019	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.017	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.015	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.013	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.011	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.010	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.008	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.007	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.006	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.005	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.004	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.003	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.002	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.001	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 23^rd September 2023 5:32 am