Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

Next Jackpot

$355 M

Time Left to Choose Numbers

0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

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Mins

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Secs

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The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 565 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.003	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.003	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.005	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.006	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.007	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.008	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.009	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.010	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.012	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.014	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.016	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.018	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.020	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.022	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.025	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.028	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.031	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.035	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.039	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.043	1 in 13,184	1	09/06/2020	292
49	1,014	0.047	1 in 11,935	1	04/05/2018	511
50	1,115	0.052	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.057	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.063	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.069	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.075	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.082	1 in 6,927	1	24/07/2018	488
56	1,898	0.089	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.096	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.104	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.113	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.122	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.132	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.142	1 in 3,989	1	01/11/2022	42
63	3,266	0.152	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.164	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.176	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.188	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.202	1 in 2,802	1	10/01/2023	22
68	4,616	0.215	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.230	1 in 2,453	1	04/01/2022	128
70	5,260	0.246	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.262	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.279	1 in 2,027	1	11/10/2022	48
73	6,351	0.296	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.315	1 in 1,793	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.335	1 in 1,688	2	12/04/2022	100
76	7,599	0.355	1 in 1,592	2	09/08/2022	66
77	8,056	0.376	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.398	1 in 1,419	2	22/10/2019	358
79	9,027	0.421	1 in 1,340	1	10/06/2022	83
80	9,542	0.445	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	483
81	10,082	0.471	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.497	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.524	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.552	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.582	1 in 971	1	28/12/2021	130
86	13,107	0.612	1 in 923	2	24/01/2020	331
87	13,784	0.643	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	479
88	14,480	0.676	1 in 835	2	03/08/2021	172
89	15,204	0.710	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.744	1 in 758	1	22/06/2018	497
91	16,720	0.781	1 in 723	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.818	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.856	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.895	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.936	1 in 603	3	17/01/2023	20
96	20,929	0.977	1 in 578	3	14/01/2022	125
97	21,845	1.020	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	1.063	1 in 531	2	21/05/2021	193
99	23,745	1.108	1 in 509	1	19/10/2021	150
100	24,728	1.154	1 in 489	2	24/06/2022	79
101	25,738	1.202	1 in 470	1	08/01/2021	231
102	26,767	1.250	1 in 452	2	31/01/2023	16
103	27,823	1.299	1 in 435	1	05/05/2020	302
104	28,897	1.349	1 in 418	1	11/02/2022	117
105	29,997	1.400	1 in 403	4	30/12/2022	25
106	31,114	1.452	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	1.506	1 in 375	4	15/01/2021	229
108	33,416	1.560	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	531
109	34,599	1.615	1 in 349	1	21/11/2017	558
110	35,798	1.671	1 in 338	2	30/11/2021	138
111	37,020	1.728	1 in 326	3	13/07/2021	178
112	38,256	1.786	1 in 316	1	26/07/2019	383
113	39,514	1.845	1 in 306	5	21/06/2022	80
114	40,785	1.904	1 in 296	6	21/03/2023	2
115	42,077	1.964	1 in 287	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	2.025	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	2.087	1 in 270	1	09/02/2021	222
118	46,034	2.149	1 in 262	2	18/03/2022	107
119	47,384	2.212	1 in 255	3	17/08/2021	168
120	48,742	2.275	1 in 248	4	08/04/2022	101
121	50,115	2.339	1 in 241	1	26/12/2017	548	Overdue
122	51,495	2.404	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	547	Overdue
123	52,889	2.469	1 in 228	2	28/03/2023	0
124	54,287	2.534	1 in 222	4	14/03/2023	4
125	55,697	2.600	1 in 217	5	06/12/2022	32
126	57,109	2.666	1 in 211	2	20/02/2018	532	Overdue
127	58,531	2.732	1 in 206	1	13/02/2018	534	Overdue
128	59,953	2.799	1 in 201	3	20/12/2022	28
129	61,382	2.865	1 in 197	3	04/10/2022	50
130	62,809	2.932	1 in 192	3	11/11/2022	39
131	64,241	2.999	1 in 188	4	24/12/2021	131
132	65,668	3.066	1 in 184	4	22/03/2022	106
133	67,097	3.132	1 in 180	4	19/01/2021	228
134	68,519	3.199	1 in 176	4	11/01/2022	126
135	69,941	3.265	1 in 173	1	15/10/2019	360	Overdue
136	71,352	3.331	1 in 169	1	18/11/2022	37
137	72,760	3.397	1 in 166	1	07/10/2022	49
138	74,155	3.462	1 in 163	5	28/06/2022	78
139	75,544	3.527	1 in 160	2	15/05/2020	299
140	76,917	3.591	1 in 157	3	27/09/2022	52
141	78,280	3.654	1 in 154	2	20/12/2019	341	Overdue
142	79,624	3.717	1 in 152	2	14/10/2022	47
143	80,956	3.779	1 in 149	1	28/01/2022	121
144	82,265	3.840	1 in 147	8	08/11/2022	40
145	83,558	3.901	1 in 144	7	24/05/2022	88
146	84,825	3.960	1 in 142	4	21/02/2023	10
147	86,073	4.018	1 in 140	7	18/10/2022	46
148	87,292	4.075	1 in 138	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	4.131	1 in 136	4	02/08/2022	68
150	89,653	4.185	1 in 134	5	02/07/2021	181
151	90,792	4.238	1 in 133	8	15/04/2022	99
152	91,897	4.290	1 in 131	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	4.340	1 in 130	5	03/05/2022	94
154	94,013	4.389	1 in 128	5	25/05/2021	192
155	95,022	4.436	1 in 127	2	03/09/2021	163
156	95,992	4.481	1 in 126	6	02/12/2022	33
157	96,928	4.525	1 in 124	6	01/07/2022	77
158	97,824	4.567	1 in 123	8	17/05/2022	90
159	98,684	4.607	1 in 122	3	07/03/2023	6
160	99,502	4.645	1 in 121	6	15/11/2022	38
161	100,281	4.681	1 in 120	3	28/05/2021	191
162	101,017	4.716	1 in 119	8	04/02/2022	119
163	101,713	4.748	1 in 118	5	14/09/2021	160
164	102,364	4.779	1 in 118	7	27/05/2022	87
165	102,973	4.807	1 in 117	7	14/02/2023	12
166	103,536	4.833	1 in 116	3	13/08/2021	169
167	104,056	4.858	1 in 116	5	25/03/2022	105
168	104,529	4.880	1 in 115	3	03/02/2023	15
169	104,957	4.900	1 in 115	4	05/08/2022	67
170	105,338	4.917	1 in 114	7	30/09/2022	51
171	105,673	4.933	1 in 114	4	17/03/2023	3
172	105,960	4.946	1 in 114	10	24/03/2023	1
173	106,200	4.958	1 in 113	5	04/06/2021	189
174	106,392	4.967	1 in 113	3	14/05/2021	195
175	106,537	4.973	1 in 113	6	03/03/2023	7
176	106,633	4.978	1 in 113	3	23/04/2019	410	Overdue
177	106,681	4.980	1 in 113	4	16/04/2021	203
178	106,681	4.980	1 in 113	4	27/12/2022	26
179	106,633	4.978	1 in 113	5	05/11/2021	145
180	106,537	4.973	1 in 113	3	24/08/2021	166
181	106,392	4.967	1 in 113	4	28/02/2023	8
182	106,200	4.958	1 in 113	5	07/02/2023	14
183	105,960	4.946	1 in 114	4	04/11/2022	41
184	105,673	4.933	1 in 114	1	16/09/2022	55
185	105,338	4.917	1 in 114	7	10/05/2022	92
186	104,957	4.900	1 in 115	2	12/07/2019	387	Overdue
187	104,529	4.880	1 in 115	3	24/04/2020	305	Overdue
188	104,056	4.858	1 in 116	2	17/04/2020	307	Overdue
189	103,536	4.833	1 in 116	6	10/02/2023	13
190	102,973	4.807	1 in 117	7	10/12/2021	135
191	102,364	4.779	1 in 118	4	06/01/2023	23
192	101,713	4.748	1 in 118	7	16/12/2022	29
193	101,017	4.716	1 in 119	4	18/06/2021	185
194	100,281	4.681	1 in 120	2	10/03/2020	318	Overdue
195	99,502	4.645	1 in 121	3	02/02/2021	224
196	98,684	4.607	1 in 122	7	06/09/2022	58
197	97,824	4.567	1 in 123	2	25/10/2022	44
198	96,928	4.525	1 in 124	7	18/02/2022	115
199	95,992	4.481	1 in 126	6	09/04/2021	205
200	95,022	4.436	1 in 127	3	17/02/2023	11
201	94,013	4.389	1 in 128	6	27/01/2023	17
202	92,973	4.340	1 in 130	5	26/06/2020	287	Overdue
203	91,897	4.290	1 in 131	1	31/03/2020	312	Overdue
204	90,792	4.238	1 in 133	4	13/05/2022	91
205	89,653	4.185	1 in 134	5	24/02/2023	9
206	88,488	4.131	1 in 136	2	09/03/2021	214
207	87,292	4.075	1 in 138	3	01/10/2021	155
208	86,073	4.018	1 in 140	4	25/02/2022	113
209	84,825	3.960	1 in 142	7	17/09/2021	159
210	83,558	3.901	1 in 144	8	20/01/2023	19
211	82,265	3.840	1 in 147	6	10/03/2023	5
212	80,956	3.779	1 in 149	4	18/09/2020	263
213	79,624	3.717	1 in 152	1	28/01/2020	330	Overdue
214	78,280	3.654	1 in 154	3	07/01/2020	336	Overdue
215	76,917	3.591	1 in 157	7	09/09/2022	57
216	75,544	3.527	1 in 160	4	29/06/2021	182
217	74,155	3.462	1 in 163	3	30/08/2022	60
218	72,760	3.397	1 in 166	7	29/07/2022	69
219	71,352	3.331	1 in 169	3	01/12/2020	242
220	69,941	3.265	1 in 173	2	05/07/2022	76
221	68,519	3.199	1 in 176	3	03/04/2020	311
222	67,097	3.132	1 in 180	2	01/01/2021	233
223	65,668	3.066	1 in 184	1	22/03/2019	419	Overdue
224	64,241	2.999	1 in 188	3	04/06/2019	398	Overdue
225	62,809	2.932	1 in 192	4	13/01/2023	21
226	61,382	2.865	1 in 197	5	21/10/2022	45
227	59,953	2.799	1 in 201	3	25/11/2022	35
228	58,531	2.732	1 in 206	2	28/09/2021	156
229	57,109	2.666	1 in 211	3	12/10/2021	152
230	55,697	2.600	1 in 217	2	23/09/2022	53
231	54,287	2.534	1 in 222	1	24/11/2017	557	Overdue
232	52,889	2.469	1 in 228	1	31/12/2019	338
233	51,495	2.404	1 in 235	3	24/01/2023	18
234	50,115	2.339	1 in 241	4	17/06/2022	81
235	48,742	2.275	1 in 248	2	29/01/2021	225
236	47,384	2.212	1 in 255	2	14/12/2021	134
237	46,034	2.149	1 in 262	2	18/09/2018	472
238	44,702	2.087	1 in 270	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	2.025	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	1.964	1 in 287	1	19/03/2019	420
241	40,785	1.904	1 in 296	2	10/11/2020	248
242	39,514	1.845	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.786	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.728	1 in 326	1	22/07/2022	71
245	35,798	1.671	1 in 338	3	21/12/2021	132
246	34,599	1.615	1 in 349	2	22/09/2020	262
247	33,416	1.560	1 in 362	1	06/03/2020	319
248	32,257	1.506	1 in 375	1	08/07/2022	75
249	31,114	1.452	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	1.400	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	1.349	1 in 418	2	21/01/2022	123
252	27,823	1.299	1 in 435	2	05/04/2022	102
253	26,767	1.250	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	1.202	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	1.154	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	1.108	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	1.063	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	1.020	1 in 554	2	02/09/2022	59
259	20,929	0.977	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.936	1 in 603	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.895	1 in 631	3	20/05/2022	89
262	18,332	0.856	1 in 660	1	20/08/2021	167
263	17,512	0.818	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.781	1 in 723	1	22/12/2020	236
265	15,948	0.744	1 in 758	2	06/07/2021	180
266	15,204	0.710	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.676	1 in 835	2	26/01/2021	226
268	13,784	0.643	1 in 878	1	18/10/2019	359
269	13,107	0.612	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	455
270	12,458	0.582	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.552	1 in 1,023	2	14/05/2019	404
272	11,225	0.524	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.497	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.471	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.445	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	490
276	9,027	0.421	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.398	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.376	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.355	1 in 1,592	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.335	1 in 1,688	1	14/04/2020	308
281	6,747	0.315	1 in 1,793	1	20/10/2020	254
282	6,351	0.296	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.279	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.262	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.246	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.230	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.215	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.202	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.188	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.176	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.164	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.152	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.142	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.132	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.122	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.113	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.104	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.096	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.089	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.082	1 in 6,927	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.075	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.069	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.063	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.057	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.052	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.047	1 in 11,935	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.043	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.039	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.035	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.031	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.028	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.025	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.022	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.020	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.018	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.016	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.014	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.012	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.010	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.009	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.008	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.007	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.006	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.005	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.003	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.003	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 29^th March 2023 5:46 am