Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 189 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0051 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0061 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0071 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0071 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0081 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0091 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0111 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0121 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0131 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0141 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0161 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 136
501,1150.0171 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0191 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0211 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0231 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0251 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0271 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 113
561,8980.0301 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0321 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0351 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0381 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0411 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0441 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0471 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0511 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0551 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0591 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0631 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0671 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0721 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0771 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0821 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0881 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.0931 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.0991 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.1051 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.1121 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.1191 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 162
778,0560.1261 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.1331 in 1,4190 Never Never
799,0270.1411 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1491 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 108
8110,0820.1571 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1661 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1751 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.1851 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.1951 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.2051 in 9231 11/14/2017 185
8713,7840.2151 in 8782 8/24/2018 104
8814,4800.2261 in 8360 Never Never
8915,2040.2371 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.2491 in 7591 6/22/2018 122
9116,7200.2611 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.2731 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.2861 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.2991 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.3131 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.3271 in 5780 Never Never
9721,8450.3411 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.3561 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.3711 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.3861 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.4021 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.4181 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.4341 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.4511 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.4681 in 4031 3/6/2018 153
10631,1140.4861 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.5041 in 3751 12/12/2017 177
10833,4160.5221 in 3621 2/23/2018 156
10934,5990.5401 in 3501 11/21/2017 183
11035,7980.5591 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.5781 in 3271 4/20/2018 140
11238,2560.5971 in 3161 7/26/2019 8
11339,5140.6171 in 3063 7/23/2019 9
11440,7850.6371 in 2971 8/16/2019 2
11542,0770.6571 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.6771 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.6981 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.7191 in 2631 10/2/2018 93
11947,3840.7401 in 2551 12/28/2018 68
12048,7420.7611 in 2482 6/18/2019 19
12150,1150.7831 in 2421 12/26/2017 173
12251,4950.8041 in 2351 12/29/2017 172
12352,8890.8261 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.8481 in 2232 12/7/2018 74
12555,6970.8701 in 2173 4/26/2019 34
12657,1090.8921 in 2122 2/20/2018 157
12758,5310.9141 in 2071 2/13/2018 159
12859,9530.9361 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3820.9591 in 1971 2/27/2018 155
13062,8090.9811 in 1931 9/21/2018 96
13164,2411.0031 in 1882 8/31/2018 102
13265,6681.0251 in 1840 Never Never
13367,0971.0481 in 1802 7/30/2019 7
13468,5191.0701 in 1771 1/26/2018 164
13569,9411.0921 in 1730 Never Never
13671,3521.1141 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7601.1361 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1551.1581 in 1631 5/22/2018 131
13975,5441.1801 in 1601 11/23/2018 78
14076,9171.2011 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2801.2221 in 1551 3/26/2019 43
14279,6241.2431 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9561.2641 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2651.2851 in 1472 3/12/2019 47
14583,5581.3051 in 1454 5/17/2019 28
14684,8251.3251 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0731.3441 in 1412 6/15/2018 124
14887,2921.3631 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4881.3821 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.4001 in 1352 8/13/2019 3
15190,7921.4181 in 1331 7/20/2018 114
15291,8971.4351 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.4521 in 1302 1/25/2019 60
15494,0131.4681 in 1292 5/1/2018 137
15595,0221.4841 in 1271 7/16/2019 11
15695,9921.4991 in 1263 5/28/2019 25
15796,9281.5141 in 1251 8/6/2019 5
15897,8241.5281 in 1241 1/19/2018 166
15998,6841.5411 in 1231 2/8/2019 56
16099,5021.5541 in 1223 7/2/2019 15
161100,2811.5661 in 1211 8/20/2019 1
162101,0171.5771 in 1205 7/19/2019 10
163101,7131.5881 in 1191 5/10/2019 30
164102,3641.5991 in 1181 7/6/2018 118
165102,9731.6081 in 1182 11/20/2018 79
166103,5361.6171 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.6251 in 1162 8/17/2018 106
168104,5291.6321 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.6391 in 1151 4/9/2019 39
170105,3381.6451 in 1153 1/8/2019 65
171105,6731.6501 in 1152 6/7/2019 22
172105,9601.6551 in 1143 11/27/2018 77
173106,2001.6581 in 1142 5/31/2019 24
174106,3921.6611 in 1141 1/12/2018 168
175106,5371.6641 in 1143 8/2/2019 6
176106,6331.6651 in 1143 4/23/2019 35
177106,6811.6661 in 1131 6/8/2018 126
178106,6811.6661 in 1131 12/1/2017 180
179106,6331.6651 in 1141 1/22/2019 61
180106,5371.6641 in 1141 5/3/2019 32
181106,3921.6611 in 1142 9/7/2018 100
182106,2001.6581 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.6551 in 1140 Never Never
184105,6731.6501 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.6451 in 1153 3/8/2019 48
186104,9571.6391 in 1152 7/12/2019 12
187104,5291.6321 in 1162 4/19/2019 36
188104,0561.6251 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.6171 in 1171 6/21/2019 18
190102,9731.6081 in 1182 7/9/2019 13
191102,3641.5991 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.5881 in 1191 12/4/2018 75
193101,0171.5771 in 1203 6/11/2019 21
194100,2811.5661 in 1211 12/11/2018 73
19599,5021.5541 in 1222 10/9/2018 91
19698,6841.5411 in 1235 2/19/2019 53
19797,8241.5281 in 1241 10/5/2018 92
19896,9281.5141 in 1253 2/5/2019 57
19995,9921.4991 in 1262 1/4/2019 66
20095,0221.4841 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.4681 in 1291 2/12/2019 55
20292,9731.4521 in 1303 6/28/2019 16
20391,8971.4351 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.4181 in 1332 12/19/2017 175
20589,6531.4001 in 1351 10/12/2018 90
20688,4881.3821 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2921.3631 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0731.3441 in 1412 5/25/2018 130
20984,8251.3251 in 1433 7/13/2018 116
21083,5581.3051 in 1452 6/25/2019 17
21182,2651.2851 in 1472 7/5/2019 14
21280,9561.2641 in 1502 1/29/2019 59
21379,6241.2431 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2801.2221 in 1551 3/15/2019 46
21576,9171.2011 in 1573 10/26/2018 86
21675,5441.1801 in 1601 12/21/2018 70
21774,1551.1581 in 1631 5/24/2019 26
21872,7601.1361 in 1663 5/18/2018 132
21971,3521.1141 in 1702 1/18/2019 62
22069,9411.0921 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5191.0701 in 1772 2/1/2019 58
22267,0971.0481 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6681.0251 in 1841 3/22/2019 44
22464,2411.0031 in 1883 6/4/2019 23
22562,8090.9811 in 1931 9/11/2018 99
22661,3820.9591 in 1972 10/19/2018 88
22759,9530.9361 in 2022 3/1/2019 50
22858,5310.9141 in 2071 6/14/2019 20
22957,1090.8921 in 2121 5/21/2019 27
23055,6970.8701 in 2171 10/23/2018 87
23154,2870.8481 in 2231 11/24/2017 182
23252,8890.8261 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.8041 in 2351 4/30/2019 33
23450,1150.7831 in 2420 Never Never
23548,7420.7611 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.7401 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.7191 in 2632 9/18/2018 97
23844,7020.6981 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.6771 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.6571 in 2881 3/19/2019 45
24140,7850.6371 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.6171 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.5971 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.5781 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.5591 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.5401 in 3501 8/9/2019 4
24733,4160.5221 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.5041 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.4861 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.4681 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.4511 in 4191 9/28/2018 94
25227,8230.4341 in 4351 11/7/2017 187
25326,7670.4181 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.4021 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.3861 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.3711 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.3561 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.3411 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.3271 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.3131 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.2991 in 6312 4/2/2019 41
26218,3320.2861 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.2731 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.2611 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.2491 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.2371 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.2261 in 8361 1/1/2019 67
26813,7840.2151 in 8780 Never Never
26913,1070.2051 in 9231 11/16/2018 80
27012,4580.1951 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.1851 in 1,0232 5/14/2019 29
27211,2250.1751 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1661 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1571 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1491 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 115
2769,0270.1411 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.1331 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.1261 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.1191 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.1121 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.1051 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.0991 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.0931 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0881 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0821 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0771 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0721 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0671 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0631 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0591 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0551 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0511 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0471 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0441 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0411 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0381 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0351 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0321 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0301 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0271 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0251 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0231 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0211 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0191 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0171 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0161 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0141 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0131 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0121 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0111 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0091 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0081 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0071 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0071 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0061 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0051 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 21 August 2019 05:16 AM