Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 154 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0031 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0041 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0041 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0051 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0051 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0061 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0071 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0081 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0091 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0101 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0111 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0121 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0131 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 101
501,1150.0141 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0161 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0171 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0191 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0201 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0221 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 78
561,8980.0241 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0261 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0281 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0311 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0331 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0361 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0391 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0421 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0451 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0481 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0511 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0551 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0591 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0631 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0671 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0711 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.0761 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.0811 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.0861 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.0911 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.0971 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 127
778,0560.1031 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.1091 in 1,4190 Never Never
799,0270.1151 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1211 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 73
8110,0820.1281 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1351 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1431 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.1511 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.1591 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.1671 in 9231 11/14/2017 150
8713,7840.1751 in 8782 8/24/2018 69
8814,4800.1841 in 8360 Never Never
8915,2040.1931 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.2031 in 7591 6/22/2018 87
9116,7200.2131 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.2231 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.2331 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.2441 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.2551 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.2661 in 5780 Never Never
9721,8450.2781 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.2901 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.3021 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.3151 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.3271 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.3411 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.3541 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.3681 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.3821 in 4031 3/6/2018 118
10631,1140.3961 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.4101 in 3751 12/12/2017 142
10833,4160.4251 in 3621 2/23/2018 121
10934,5990.4401 in 3501 11/21/2017 148
11035,7980.4551 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.4711 in 3271 4/20/2018 105
11238,2560.4871 in 3160 Never Never
11339,5140.5031 in 3062 9/4/2018 66
11440,7850.5191 in 2970 Never Never
11542,0770.5351 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.5521 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.5691 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.5861 in 2631 10/2/2018 58
11947,3840.6031 in 2551 12/28/2018 33
12048,7420.6201 in 2481 2/26/2019 16
12150,1150.6381 in 2421 12/26/2017 138
12251,4950.6551 in 2351 12/29/2017 137
12352,8890.6731 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.6911 in 2232 12/7/2018 39
12555,6970.7091 in 2172 3/16/2018 115
12657,1090.7271 in 2122 2/20/2018 122
12758,5310.7451 in 2071 2/13/2018 124
12859,9530.7631 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3820.7811 in 1971 2/27/2018 120
13062,8090.7991 in 1931 9/21/2018 61
13164,2410.8171 in 1882 8/31/2018 67
13265,6680.8361 in 1840 Never Never
13367,0970.8541 in 1801 4/24/2018 104
13468,5190.8721 in 1771 1/26/2018 129
13569,9410.8901 in 1730 Never Never
13671,3520.9081 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7600.9261 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1550.9441 in 1631 5/22/2018 96
13975,5440.9611 in 1601 11/23/2018 43
14076,9170.9791 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2800.9961 in 1551 3/26/2019 8
14279,6241.0131 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9561.0301 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2651.0471 in 1472 3/12/2019 12
14583,5581.0631 in 1453 12/25/2018 34
14684,8251.0791 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0731.0951 in 1412 6/15/2018 89
14887,2921.1111 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4881.1261 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.1411 in 1351 4/13/2018 107
15190,7921.1551 in 1331 7/20/2018 79
15291,8971.1691 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.1831 in 1302 1/25/2019 25
15494,0131.1961 in 1292 5/1/2018 102
15595,0221.2091 in 1270 Never Never
15695,9921.2211 in 1262 4/5/2019 5
15796,9281.2331 in 1250 Never Never
15897,8241.2451 in 1241 1/19/2018 131
15998,6841.2561 in 1231 2/8/2019 21
16099,5021.2661 in 1221 4/12/2019 3
161100,2811.2761 in 1210 Never Never
162101,0171.2851 in 1204 3/29/2019 7
163101,7131.2941 in 1190 Never Never
164102,3641.3021 in 1181 7/6/2018 83
165102,9731.3101 in 1182 11/20/2018 44
166103,5361.3171 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.3241 in 1162 8/17/2018 71
168104,5291.3301 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.3351 in 1151 4/9/2019 4
170105,3381.3401 in 1153 1/8/2019 30
171105,6731.3451 in 1151 1/11/2019 29
172105,9601.3481 in 1143 11/27/2018 42
173106,2001.3511 in 1141 11/9/2018 47
174106,3921.3541 in 1141 1/12/2018 133
175106,5371.3561 in 1142 3/30/2018 111
176106,6331.3571 in 1142 4/16/2019 2
177106,6811.3571 in 1131 6/8/2018 91
178106,6811.3571 in 1131 12/1/2017 145
179106,6331.3571 in 1141 1/22/2019 26
180106,5371.3561 in 1140 Never Never
181106,3921.3541 in 1142 9/7/2018 65
182106,2001.3511 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.3481 in 1140 Never Never
184105,6731.3451 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.3401 in 1153 3/8/2019 13
186104,9571.3351 in 1151 11/28/2017 146
187104,5291.3301 in 1162 4/19/2019 1
188104,0561.3241 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.3171 in 1170 Never Never
190102,9731.3101 in 1181 3/27/2018 112
191102,3641.3021 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.2941 in 1191 12/4/2018 40
193101,0171.2851 in 1202 5/29/2018 94
194100,2811.2761 in 1211 12/11/2018 38
19599,5021.2661 in 1222 10/9/2018 56
19698,6841.2561 in 1235 2/19/2019 18
19797,8241.2451 in 1241 10/5/2018 57
19896,9281.2331 in 1253 2/5/2019 22
19995,9921.2211 in 1262 1/4/2019 31
20095,0221.2091 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.1961 in 1291 2/12/2019 20
20292,9731.1831 in 1302 9/14/2018 63
20391,8971.1691 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.1551 in 1332 12/19/2017 140
20589,6531.1411 in 1351 10/12/2018 55
20688,4881.1261 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2921.1111 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0731.0951 in 1412 5/25/2018 95
20984,8251.0791 in 1433 7/13/2018 81
21083,5581.0631 in 1451 7/3/2018 84
21182,2651.0471 in 1471 2/16/2018 123
21280,9561.0301 in 1502 1/29/2019 24
21379,6241.0131 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2800.9961 in 1551 3/15/2019 11
21576,9170.9791 in 1573 10/26/2018 51
21675,5440.9611 in 1601 12/21/2018 35
21774,1550.9441 in 1630 Never Never
21872,7600.9261 in 1663 5/18/2018 97
21971,3520.9081 in 1702 1/18/2019 27
22069,9410.8901 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5190.8721 in 1772 2/1/2019 23
22267,0970.8541 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6680.8361 in 1841 3/22/2019 9
22464,2410.8171 in 1882 11/6/2018 48
22562,8090.7991 in 1931 9/11/2018 64
22661,3820.7811 in 1972 10/19/2018 53
22759,9530.7631 in 2022 3/1/2019 15
22858,5310.7451 in 2070 Never Never
22957,1090.7271 in 2120 Never Never
23055,6970.7091 in 2171 10/23/2018 52
23154,2870.6911 in 2231 11/24/2017 147
23252,8890.6731 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.6551 in 2350 Never Never
23450,1150.6381 in 2420 Never Never
23548,7420.6201 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.6031 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.5861 in 2632 9/18/2018 62
23844,7020.5691 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.5521 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.5351 in 2881 3/19/2019 10
24140,7850.5191 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.5031 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.4871 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.4711 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.4551 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.4401 in 3500 Never Never
24733,4160.4251 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.4101 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.3961 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.3821 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.3681 in 4191 9/28/2018 59
25227,8230.3541 in 4351 11/7/2017 152
25326,7670.3411 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.3271 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.3151 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.3021 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.2901 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.2781 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.2661 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.2551 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.2441 in 6312 4/2/2019 6
26218,3320.2331 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.2231 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.2131 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.2031 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.1931 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.1841 in 8361 1/1/2019 32
26813,7840.1751 in 8780 Never Never
26913,1070.1671 in 9231 11/16/2018 45
27012,4580.1591 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.1511 in 1,0231 11/13/2018 46
27211,2250.1431 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1351 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1281 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1211 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 80
2769,0270.1151 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.1091 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.1031 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.0971 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.0911 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.0861 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.0811 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.0761 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0711 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0671 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0631 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0591 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0551 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0511 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0481 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0451 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0421 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0391 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0361 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0331 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0311 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0281 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0261 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0241 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0221 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0201 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0191 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0171 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0161 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0141 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0131 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0121 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0111 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0101 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0091 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0081 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0071 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0061 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0051 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0051 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0041 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0041 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0031 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 20 April 2019 05:34 AM