Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 206 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3020 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0011 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0041 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0061 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0061 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0071 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0081 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0091 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0101 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0111 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0131 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0141 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0161 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0171 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 153
501,1150.0191 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0211 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0231 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0251 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0271 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0301 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 130
561,8980.0321 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0351 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0381 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0411 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0441 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0481 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0521 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0561 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0601 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0641 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0691 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0741 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0791 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0841 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0901 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0951 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.1021 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.1081 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.1151 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.1221 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.1291 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 179
778,0560.1371 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.1451 in 1,4191 9/6/2019 13
799,0270.1541 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1621 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 125
8110,0820.1721 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1811 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1911 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.2011 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.2121 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.2231 in 9231 11/14/2017 202
8713,7840.2351 in 8782 8/24/2018 121
8814,4800.2461 in 8361 10/8/2019 4
8915,2040.2591 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.2711 in 7591 6/22/2018 139
9116,7200.2851 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.2981 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.3121 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.3261 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.3411 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.3561 in 5781 8/30/2019 15
9721,8450.3721 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.3881 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.4041 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.4211 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.4381 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.4561 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.4741 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.4921 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.5111 in 4031 3/6/2018 170
10631,1140.5301 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.5491 in 3751 12/12/2017 194
10833,4160.5691 in 3621 2/23/2018 173
10934,5990.5891 in 3501 11/21/2017 200
11035,7980.6091 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.6301 in 3271 4/20/2018 157
11238,2560.6511 in 3161 7/26/2019 25
11339,5140.6731 in 3063 7/23/2019 26
11440,7850.6941 in 2971 8/16/2019 19
11542,0770.7161 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.7381 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.7611 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.7841 in 2631 10/2/2018 110
11947,3840.8071 in 2551 12/28/2018 85
12048,7420.8301 in 2482 6/18/2019 36
12150,1150.8531 in 2421 12/26/2017 190
12251,4950.8761 in 2351 12/29/2017 189
12352,8890.9001 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.9241 in 2232 12/7/2018 91
12555,6970.9481 in 2174 8/27/2019 16
12657,1090.9721 in 2122 2/20/2018 174
12758,5310.9961 in 2071 2/13/2018 176
12859,9531.0201 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3821.0451 in 1971 2/27/2018 172
13062,8091.0691 in 1931 9/21/2018 113
13164,2411.0931 in 1882 8/31/2018 119
13265,6681.1181 in 1841 9/24/2019 8
13367,0971.1421 in 1802 7/30/2019 24
13468,5191.1661 in 1771 1/26/2018 181
13569,9411.1901 in 1731 10/15/2019 2
13671,3521.2141 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7601.2381 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1551.2621 in 1631 5/22/2018 148
13975,5441.2861 in 1601 11/23/2018 95
14076,9171.3091 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2801.3321 in 1551 3/26/2019 60
14279,6241.3551 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9561.3781 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2651.4001 in 1472 3/12/2019 64
14583,5581.4221 in 1454 5/17/2019 45
14684,8251.4441 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0731.4651 in 1412 6/15/2018 141
14887,2921.4861 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4881.5061 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.5261 in 1352 8/13/2019 20
15190,7921.5451 in 1332 9/27/2019 7
15291,8971.5641 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.5821 in 1302 1/25/2019 77
15494,0131.6001 in 1292 5/1/2018 154
15595,0221.6171 in 1271 7/16/2019 28
15695,9921.6341 in 1263 5/28/2019 42
15796,9281.6501 in 1251 8/6/2019 22
15897,8241.6651 in 1241 1/19/2018 183
15998,6841.6801 in 1231 2/8/2019 73
16099,5021.6941 in 1223 7/2/2019 32
161100,2811.7071 in 1211 8/20/2019 18
162101,0171.7191 in 1205 7/19/2019 27
163101,7131.7311 in 1192 10/11/2019 3
164102,3641.7421 in 1181 7/6/2018 135
165102,9731.7531 in 1182 11/20/2018 96
166103,5361.7621 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.7711 in 1163 10/1/2019 6
168104,5291.7791 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.7861 in 1151 4/9/2019 56
170105,3381.7931 in 1153 1/8/2019 82
171105,6731.7991 in 1152 6/7/2019 39
172105,9601.8031 in 1144 9/17/2019 10
173106,2001.8081 in 1142 5/31/2019 41
174106,3921.8111 in 1141 1/12/2018 185
175106,5371.8131 in 1143 8/2/2019 23
176106,6331.8151 in 1143 4/23/2019 52
177106,6811.8161 in 1131 6/8/2018 143
178106,6811.8161 in 1131 12/1/2017 197
179106,6331.8151 in 1141 1/22/2019 78
180106,5371.8131 in 1142 9/13/2019 11
181106,3921.8111 in 1142 9/7/2018 117
182106,2001.8081 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.8031 in 1141 9/3/2019 14
184105,6731.7991 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.7931 in 1154 8/23/2019 17
186104,9571.7861 in 1152 7/12/2019 29
187104,5291.7791 in 1162 4/19/2019 53
188104,0561.7711 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.7621 in 1171 6/21/2019 35
190102,9731.7531 in 1183 9/20/2019 9
191102,3641.7421 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.7311 in 1191 12/4/2018 92
193101,0171.7191 in 1203 6/11/2019 38
194100,2811.7071 in 1211 12/11/2018 90
19599,5021.6941 in 1222 10/9/2018 108
19698,6841.6801 in 1235 2/19/2019 70
19797,8241.6651 in 1241 10/5/2018 109
19896,9281.6501 in 1253 2/5/2019 74
19995,9921.6341 in 1262 1/4/2019 83
20095,0221.6171 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.6001 in 1291 2/12/2019 72
20292,9731.5821 in 1303 6/28/2019 33
20391,8971.5641 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.5451 in 1332 12/19/2017 192
20589,6531.5261 in 1351 10/12/2018 107
20688,4881.5061 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2921.4861 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0731.4651 in 1412 5/25/2018 147
20984,8251.4441 in 1433 7/13/2018 133
21083,5581.4221 in 1452 6/25/2019 34
21182,2651.4001 in 1473 10/4/2019 5
21280,9561.3781 in 1502 1/29/2019 76
21379,6241.3551 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2801.3321 in 1551 3/15/2019 63
21576,9171.3091 in 1573 10/26/2018 103
21675,5441.2861 in 1601 12/21/2018 87
21774,1551.2621 in 1631 5/24/2019 43
21872,7601.2381 in 1663 5/18/2018 149
21971,3521.2141 in 1702 1/18/2019 79
22069,9411.1901 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5191.1661 in 1772 2/1/2019 75
22267,0971.1421 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6681.1181 in 1841 3/22/2019 61
22464,2411.0931 in 1883 6/4/2019 40
22562,8091.0691 in 1931 9/11/2018 116
22661,3821.0451 in 1972 10/19/2018 105
22759,9531.0201 in 2022 3/1/2019 67
22858,5310.9961 in 2071 6/14/2019 37
22957,1090.9721 in 2121 5/21/2019 44
23055,6970.9481 in 2171 10/23/2018 104
23154,2870.9241 in 2231 11/24/2017 199
23252,8890.9001 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.8761 in 2351 4/30/2019 50
23450,1150.8531 in 2421 9/10/2019 12
23548,7420.8301 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.8071 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.7841 in 2632 9/18/2018 114
23844,7020.7611 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.7381 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.7161 in 2881 3/19/2019 62
24140,7850.6941 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.6731 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.6511 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.6301 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.6091 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.5891 in 3501 8/9/2019 21
24733,4160.5691 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.5491 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.5301 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.5111 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.4921 in 4191 9/28/2018 111
25227,8230.4741 in 4351 11/7/2017 204
25326,7670.4561 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.4381 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.4211 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.4041 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.3881 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.3721 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.3561 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.3411 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.3261 in 6312 4/2/2019 58
26218,3320.3121 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.2981 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.2851 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.2711 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.2591 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.2461 in 8361 1/1/2019 84
26813,7840.2351 in 8781 10/18/2019 1
26913,1070.2231 in 9231 11/16/2018 97
27012,4580.2121 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.2011 in 1,0232 5/14/2019 46
27211,2250.1911 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1811 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1721 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1621 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 132
2769,0270.1541 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.1451 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.1371 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.1291 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.1221 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.1151 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.1081 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.1021 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0951 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0901 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0841 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0791 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0741 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0691 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0641 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0601 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0561 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0521 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0481 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0441 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0411 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0381 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0351 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0321 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0301 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0271 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0251 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0231 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0211 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0191 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0171 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0161 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0141 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0131 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0111 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0101 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0091 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0081 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0071 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0061 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0061 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0051 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0041 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0031 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0021 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0011 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3020 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 19 October 2019 05:43 AM