Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

Next Jackpot

$166 M

Time Left to Choose Numbers

0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

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Mins

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Secs

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The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 391 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.001	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.003	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.003	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.005	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.005	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.006	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.007	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.008	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.009	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.011	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.012	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.014	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.016	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.017	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.019	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.022	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.024	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.027	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.030	1 in 13,184	1	09/06/2020	118
49	1,014	0.033	1 in 11,935	1	04/05/2018	337
50	1,115	0.036	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.040	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.043	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.047	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.052	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.056	1 in 6,927	1	24/07/2018	314
56	1,898	0.061	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.067	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.072	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.078	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.084	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.091	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.098	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
63	3,266	0.106	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.113	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.122	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.130	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.140	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
68	4,616	0.149	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.159	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
70	5,260	0.170	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.181	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.193	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
73	6,351	0.205	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.218	1 in 1,793	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.232	1 in 1,688	1	24/03/2020	140
76	7,599	0.245	1 in 1,592	1	02/02/2018	363
77	8,056	0.260	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.276	1 in 1,419	2	22/10/2019	184
79	9,027	0.292	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
80	9,542	0.308	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	309
81	10,082	0.326	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.344	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.363	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.382	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.402	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
86	13,107	0.423	1 in 923	2	24/01/2020	157
87	13,784	0.445	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	305
88	14,480	0.468	1 in 835	1	08/10/2019	188
89	15,204	0.491	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.515	1 in 758	1	22/06/2018	323
91	16,720	0.540	1 in 723	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.566	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.592	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.619	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.647	1 in 603	2	12/02/2021	47
96	20,929	0.676	1 in 578	2	29/10/2019	182
97	21,845	0.706	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	0.736	1 in 531	2	21/05/2021	19
99	23,745	0.767	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
100	24,728	0.799	1 in 489	1	21/02/2020	149
101	25,738	0.831	1 in 470	1	08/01/2021	57
102	26,767	0.865	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
103	27,823	0.899	1 in 435	1	05/05/2020	128
104	28,897	0.934	1 in 418	0	Never	Never
105	29,997	0.969	1 in 403	2	07/05/2021	23
106	31,114	1.005	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	1.042	1 in 375	4	15/01/2021	55
108	33,416	1.080	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	357
109	34,599	1.118	1 in 349	1	21/11/2017	384
110	35,798	1.156	1 in 338	1	11/05/2021	22
111	37,020	1.196	1 in 326	3	13/07/2021	4
112	38,256	1.236	1 in 316	1	26/07/2019	209
113	39,514	1.277	1 in 306	4	12/01/2021	56
114	40,785	1.318	1 in 296	4	06/04/2021	32
115	42,077	1.359	1 in 287	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	1.401	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	1.444	1 in 270	1	09/02/2021	48
118	46,034	1.487	1 in 262	1	02/10/2018	294
119	47,384	1.531	1 in 255	2	05/03/2021	41
120	48,742	1.575	1 in 248	3	08/09/2020	92
121	50,115	1.619	1 in 241	1	26/12/2017	374
122	51,495	1.664	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	373
123	52,889	1.709	1 in 228	1	02/03/2021	42
124	54,287	1.754	1 in 222	3	28/02/2020	147
125	55,697	1.799	1 in 217	4	27/08/2019	200
126	57,109	1.845	1 in 211	2	20/02/2018	358
127	58,531	1.891	1 in 206	1	13/02/2018	360
128	59,953	1.937	1 in 201	1	22/05/2020	123
129	61,382	1.983	1 in 197	2	28/07/2020	104
130	62,809	2.029	1 in 192	1	21/09/2018	297
131	64,241	2.075	1 in 188	3	21/01/2020	158
132	65,668	2.121	1 in 184	3	05/02/2021	49
133	67,097	2.168	1 in 180	4	19/01/2021	54
134	68,519	2.214	1 in 176	3	27/11/2020	69
135	69,941	2.260	1 in 173	1	15/10/2019	186
136	71,352	2.305	1 in 169	0	Never	Never
137	72,760	2.351	1 in 166	0	Never	Never
138	74,155	2.396	1 in 163	4	07/02/2020	153
139	75,544	2.441	1 in 160	2	15/05/2020	125
140	76,917	2.485	1 in 157	1	04/12/2020	67
141	78,280	2.529	1 in 154	2	20/12/2019	167
142	79,624	2.572	1 in 152	0	Never	Never
143	80,956	2.615	1 in 149	0	Never	Never
144	82,265	2.658	1 in 147	3	30/06/2020	112
145	83,558	2.699	1 in 144	6	14/08/2020	99
146	84,825	2.740	1 in 142	2	04/09/2020	93
147	86,073	2.781	1 in 140	6	12/03/2021	39
148	87,292	2.820	1 in 138	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	2.859	1 in 136	2	21/07/2020	106
150	89,653	2.896	1 in 134	5	02/07/2021	7
151	90,792	2.933	1 in 133	6	23/04/2021	27
152	91,897	2.969	1 in 131	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	3.004	1 in 130	3	13/03/2020	143
154	94,013	3.037	1 in 128	5	25/05/2021	18
155	95,022	3.070	1 in 127	1	16/07/2019	212
156	95,992	3.101	1 in 126	3	28/05/2019	226
157	96,928	3.131	1 in 124	3	15/06/2021	12
158	97,824	3.160	1 in 123	6	23/07/2021	1
159	98,684	3.188	1 in 122	1	08/02/2019	257	Overdue
160	99,502	3.215	1 in 121	5	29/11/2019	173
161	100,281	3.240	1 in 120	3	28/05/2021	17
162	101,017	3.263	1 in 119	7	21/08/2020	97
163	101,713	3.286	1 in 118	4	23/03/2021	36
164	102,364	3.307	1 in 118	2	11/09/2020	91
165	102,973	3.327	1 in 117	4	08/06/2021	14
166	103,536	3.345	1 in 116	2	27/03/2020	139
167	104,056	3.362	1 in 116	3	01/10/2019	190
168	104,529	3.377	1 in 115	1	15/11/2019	177
169	104,957	3.391	1 in 115	2	09/07/2021	5
170	105,338	3.403	1 in 114	4	17/11/2020	72
171	105,673	3.414	1 in 114	2	07/06/2019	223
172	105,960	3.423	1 in 114	5	01/06/2021	16
173	106,200	3.431	1 in 113	5	04/06/2021	15
174	106,392	3.437	1 in 113	3	14/05/2021	21
175	106,537	3.442	1 in 113	4	20/07/2021	2
176	106,633	3.445	1 in 113	3	23/04/2019	236	Overdue
177	106,681	3.446	1 in 113	4	16/04/2021	29
178	106,681	3.446	1 in 113	2	08/05/2020	127
179	106,633	3.445	1 in 113	3	26/03/2021	35
180	106,537	3.442	1 in 113	2	13/09/2019	195
181	106,392	3.437	1 in 113	2	07/09/2018	301	Overdue
182	106,200	3.431	1 in 113	3	22/01/2021	53
183	105,960	3.423	1 in 114	3	04/05/2021	24
184	105,673	3.414	1 in 114	0	Never	Never
185	105,338	3.403	1 in 114	5	22/06/2021	10
186	104,957	3.391	1 in 115	2	12/07/2019	213
187	104,529	3.377	1 in 115	3	24/04/2020	131
188	104,056	3.362	1 in 116	2	17/04/2020	133
189	103,536	3.345	1 in 116	4	25/06/2021	9
190	102,973	3.327	1 in 117	5	19/03/2021	37
191	102,364	3.307	1 in 118	2	27/07/2021	0
192	101,713	3.286	1 in 118	3	24/07/2020	105
193	101,017	3.263	1 in 119	4	18/06/2021	11
194	100,281	3.240	1 in 120	2	10/03/2020	144
195	99,502	3.215	1 in 121	3	02/02/2021	50
196	98,684	3.188	1 in 122	5	19/02/2019	254	Overdue
197	97,824	3.160	1 in 123	1	05/10/2018	293	Overdue
198	96,928	3.131	1 in 124	4	06/12/2019	171
199	95,992	3.101	1 in 126	6	09/04/2021	31
200	95,022	3.070	1 in 127	0	Never	Never
201	94,013	3.037	1 in 128	2	16/02/2021	46
202	92,973	3.004	1 in 130	5	26/06/2020	113
203	91,897	2.969	1 in 131	1	31/03/2020	138
204	90,792	2.933	1 in 133	3	30/03/2021	34
205	89,653	2.896	1 in 134	2	16/07/2021	3
206	88,488	2.859	1 in 136	2	09/03/2021	40
207	87,292	2.820	1 in 138	2	29/09/2020	86
208	86,073	2.781	1 in 140	3	25/09/2020	87
209	84,825	2.740	1 in 142	6	19/02/2021	45
210	83,558	2.699	1 in 144	5	31/07/2020	103
211	82,265	2.658	1 in 147	5	02/10/2020	85
212	80,956	2.615	1 in 149	4	18/09/2020	89
213	79,624	2.572	1 in 152	1	28/01/2020	156
214	78,280	2.529	1 in 154	3	07/01/2020	162
215	76,917	2.485	1 in 157	5	02/04/2021	33
216	75,544	2.441	1 in 160	4	29/06/2021	8
217	74,155	2.396	1 in 163	2	12/06/2020	117
218	72,760	2.351	1 in 166	6	16/03/2021	38
219	71,352	2.305	1 in 169	3	01/12/2020	68
220	69,941	2.260	1 in 173	1	07/04/2020	136
221	68,519	2.214	1 in 176	3	03/04/2020	137
222	67,097	2.168	1 in 180	2	01/01/2021	59
223	65,668	2.121	1 in 184	1	22/03/2019	245
224	64,241	2.075	1 in 188	3	04/06/2019	224
225	62,809	2.029	1 in 192	2	23/10/2020	79
226	61,382	1.983	1 in 197	3	05/01/2021	58
227	59,953	1.937	1 in 201	2	01/03/2019	251
228	58,531	1.891	1 in 206	1	14/06/2019	221
229	57,109	1.845	1 in 211	1	21/05/2019	228
230	55,697	1.799	1 in 217	1	23/10/2018	288
231	54,287	1.754	1 in 222	1	24/11/2017	383
232	52,889	1.709	1 in 228	1	31/12/2019	164
233	51,495	1.664	1 in 235	2	20/11/2020	71
234	50,115	1.619	1 in 241	2	11/06/2021	13
235	48,742	1.575	1 in 248	2	29/01/2021	51
236	47,384	1.531	1 in 255	1	03/01/2020	163
237	46,034	1.487	1 in 262	2	18/09/2018	298
238	44,702	1.444	1 in 270	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	1.401	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	1.359	1 in 287	1	19/03/2019	246
241	40,785	1.318	1 in 296	2	10/11/2020	74
242	39,514	1.277	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.236	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.196	1 in 326	0	Never	Never
245	35,798	1.156	1 in 338	1	04/02/2020	154
246	34,599	1.118	1 in 349	2	22/09/2020	88
247	33,416	1.080	1 in 362	1	06/03/2020	145
248	32,257	1.042	1 in 375	0	Never	Never
249	31,114	1.005	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	0.969	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	0.934	1 in 418	1	28/09/2018	295
252	27,823	0.899	1 in 435	1	07/11/2017	388
253	26,767	0.865	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	0.831	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	0.799	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	0.767	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	0.736	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	0.706	1 in 554	1	03/12/2019	172
259	20,929	0.676	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.647	1 in 603	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.619	1 in 631	2	02/04/2019	242
262	18,332	0.592	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
263	17,512	0.566	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.540	1 in 723	1	22/12/2020	62
265	15,948	0.515	1 in 758	2	06/07/2021	6
266	15,204	0.491	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.468	1 in 835	2	26/01/2021	52
268	13,784	0.445	1 in 878	1	18/10/2019	185
269	13,107	0.423	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	281
270	12,458	0.402	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.382	1 in 1,023	2	14/05/2019	230
272	11,225	0.363	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.344	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.326	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.308	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	316
276	9,027	0.292	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.276	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.260	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.245	1 in 1,592	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.232	1 in 1,688	1	14/04/2020	134
281	6,747	0.218	1 in 1,793	1	20/10/2020	80
282	6,351	0.205	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.193	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.181	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.170	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.159	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.149	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.140	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.130	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.122	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.113	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.106	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.098	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.091	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.084	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.078	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.072	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.067	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.061	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.056	1 in 6,927	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.052	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.047	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.043	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.040	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.036	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.033	1 in 11,935	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.030	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.027	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.024	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.022	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.019	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.017	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.016	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.014	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.012	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.011	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.009	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.008	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.007	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.006	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.005	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.005	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.004	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.003	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.003	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.002	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.001	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.000	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 28^th July 2021 5:49 am