Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

Next Jackpot

$355 M

Time Left to Choose Numbers

0 6 5 4 3 2 1

Days

00 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01

Hours

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Mins

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Secs

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The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Expectation		Actual Over 513 Draws
Number Sum Total	Possible Combinations	Count	Frequency	Count	Last Drawn	Draws Ago
15	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
16	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
17	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
18	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
19	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
20	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
21	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
22	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
23	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
24	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
25	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
26	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
27	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
28	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
29	70	0.003	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
30	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
31	101	0.004	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
32	119	0.005	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
33	141	0.006	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
34	164	0.007	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
35	192	0.008	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
36	221	0.009	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
37	255	0.011	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
38	291	0.012	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
39	333	0.014	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
40	377	0.016	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
41	427	0.018	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
42	480	0.020	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
43	540	0.023	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
44	603	0.026	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
45	674	0.029	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
46	748	0.032	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
47	831	0.035	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
48	918	0.039	1 in 13,184	1	09/06/2020	240
49	1,014	0.043	1 in 11,935	1	04/05/2018	459
50	1,115	0.047	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
51	1,226	0.052	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
52	1,342	0.057	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
53	1,469	0.062	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
54	1,602	0.068	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
55	1,747	0.074	1 in 6,927	1	24/07/2018	436
56	1,898	0.080	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
57	2,062	0.087	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
58	2,233	0.095	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
59	2,418	0.102	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
60	2,611	0.111	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
61	2,818	0.119	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
62	3,034	0.129	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
63	3,266	0.138	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
64	3,507	0.149	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
65	3,765	0.160	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
66	4,033	0.171	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
67	4,319	0.183	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
68	4,616	0.196	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
69	4,932	0.209	1 in 2,453	1	04/01/2022	76
70	5,260	0.223	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
71	5,608	0.238	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
72	5,969	0.253	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
73	6,351	0.269	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
74	6,747	0.286	1 in 1,793	0	Never	Never
75	7,166	0.304	1 in 1,688	2	12/04/2022	48
76	7,599	0.322	1 in 1,592	2	09/08/2022	14
77	8,056	0.341	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
78	8,529	0.362	1 in 1,419	2	22/10/2019	306
79	9,027	0.383	1 in 1,340	1	10/06/2022	31
80	9,542	0.404	1 in 1,268	1	10/08/2018	431
81	10,082	0.427	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
82	10,640	0.451	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
83	11,225	0.476	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
84	11,828	0.501	1 in 1,023	0	Never	Never
85	12,458	0.528	1 in 971	1	28/12/2021	78
86	13,107	0.556	1 in 923	2	24/01/2020	279
87	13,784	0.584	1 in 878	2	24/08/2018	427
88	14,480	0.614	1 in 835	2	03/08/2021	120
89	15,204	0.644	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
90	15,948	0.676	1 in 758	1	22/06/2018	445
91	16,720	0.709	1 in 723	0	Never	Never
92	17,512	0.742	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
93	18,332	0.777	1 in 660	0	Never	Never
94	19,172	0.813	1 in 631	0	Never	Never
95	20,041	0.849	1 in 603	2	12/02/2021	169
96	20,929	0.887	1 in 578	3	14/01/2022	73
97	21,845	0.926	1 in 554	0	Never	Never
98	22,781	0.966	1 in 531	2	21/05/2021	141
99	23,745	1.006	1 in 509	1	19/10/2021	98
100	24,728	1.048	1 in 489	2	24/06/2022	27
101	25,738	1.091	1 in 470	1	08/01/2021	179
102	26,767	1.135	1 in 452	1	05/10/2021	102
103	27,823	1.179	1 in 435	1	05/05/2020	250
104	28,897	1.225	1 in 418	1	11/02/2022	65
105	29,997	1.271	1 in 403	3	15/02/2022	64
106	31,114	1.319	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
107	32,257	1.367	1 in 375	4	15/01/2021	177
108	33,416	1.416	1 in 362	1	23/02/2018	479
109	34,599	1.467	1 in 349	1	21/11/2017	506
110	35,798	1.517	1 in 338	2	30/11/2021	86
111	37,020	1.569	1 in 326	3	13/07/2021	126
112	38,256	1.622	1 in 316	1	26/07/2019	331
113	39,514	1.675	1 in 306	5	21/06/2022	28
114	40,785	1.729	1 in 296	5	09/11/2021	92
115	42,077	1.783	1 in 287	0	Never	Never
116	43,380	1.839	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
117	44,702	1.895	1 in 270	1	09/02/2021	170
118	46,034	1.951	1 in 262	2	18/03/2022	55
119	47,384	2.008	1 in 255	3	17/08/2021	116
120	48,742	2.066	1 in 248	4	08/04/2022	49
121	50,115	2.124	1 in 241	1	26/12/2017	496	Overdue
122	51,495	2.183	1 in 235	1	29/12/2017	495	Overdue
123	52,889	2.242	1 in 228	1	02/03/2021	164
124	54,287	2.301	1 in 222	3	28/02/2020	269
125	55,697	2.361	1 in 217	4	27/08/2019	322
126	57,109	2.421	1 in 211	2	20/02/2018	480	Overdue
127	58,531	2.481	1 in 206	1	13/02/2018	482	Overdue
128	59,953	2.541	1 in 201	1	22/05/2020	245
129	61,382	2.602	1 in 197	2	28/07/2020	226
130	62,809	2.662	1 in 192	2	12/07/2022	22
131	64,241	2.723	1 in 188	4	24/12/2021	79
132	65,668	2.783	1 in 184	4	22/03/2022	54
133	67,097	2.844	1 in 180	4	19/01/2021	176
134	68,519	2.904	1 in 176	4	11/01/2022	74
135	69,941	2.965	1 in 173	1	15/10/2019	308
136	71,352	3.024	1 in 169	0	Never	Never
137	72,760	3.084	1 in 166	0	Never	Never
138	74,155	3.143	1 in 163	5	28/06/2022	26
139	75,544	3.202	1 in 160	2	15/05/2020	247
140	76,917	3.260	1 in 157	3	27/09/2022	0
141	78,280	3.318	1 in 154	2	20/12/2019	289
142	79,624	3.375	1 in 152	1	07/09/2021	110
143	80,956	3.431	1 in 149	1	28/01/2022	69
144	82,265	3.487	1 in 147	7	19/04/2022	46
145	83,558	3.542	1 in 144	7	24/05/2022	36
146	84,825	3.595	1 in 142	3	26/04/2022	44
147	86,073	3.648	1 in 140	6	12/03/2021	161
148	87,292	3.700	1 in 138	0	Never	Never
149	88,488	3.751	1 in 136	4	02/08/2022	16
150	89,653	3.800	1 in 134	5	02/07/2021	129
151	90,792	3.848	1 in 133	8	15/04/2022	47
152	91,897	3.895	1 in 131	0	Never	Never
153	92,973	3.941	1 in 130	5	03/05/2022	42
154	94,013	3.985	1 in 128	5	25/05/2021	140
155	95,022	4.028	1 in 127	2	03/09/2021	111
156	95,992	4.069	1 in 126	5	03/06/2022	33
157	96,928	4.108	1 in 124	6	01/07/2022	25
158	97,824	4.146	1 in 123	8	17/05/2022	38
159	98,684	4.183	1 in 122	2	07/12/2021	84
160	99,502	4.218	1 in 121	5	29/11/2019	295	Overdue
161	100,281	4.251	1 in 120	3	28/05/2021	139
162	101,017	4.282	1 in 119	8	04/02/2022	67
163	101,713	4.311	1 in 118	5	14/09/2021	108
164	102,364	4.339	1 in 118	7	27/05/2022	35
165	102,973	4.365	1 in 117	6	26/08/2022	9
166	103,536	4.388	1 in 116	3	13/08/2021	117
167	104,056	4.411	1 in 116	5	25/03/2022	53
168	104,529	4.431	1 in 115	1	15/11/2019	299	Overdue
169	104,957	4.449	1 in 115	4	05/08/2022	15
170	105,338	4.465	1 in 114	6	23/08/2022	10
171	105,673	4.479	1 in 114	3	15/07/2022	21
172	105,960	4.491	1 in 114	8	19/07/2022	20
173	106,200	4.501	1 in 113	5	04/06/2021	137
174	106,392	4.510	1 in 113	3	14/05/2021	143
175	106,537	4.516	1 in 113	4	20/07/2021	124
176	106,633	4.520	1 in 113	3	23/04/2019	358	Overdue
177	106,681	4.522	1 in 113	4	16/04/2021	151
178	106,681	4.522	1 in 113	2	08/05/2020	249	Overdue
179	106,633	4.520	1 in 113	5	05/11/2021	93
180	106,537	4.516	1 in 113	3	24/08/2021	114
181	106,392	4.510	1 in 113	3	22/04/2022	45
182	106,200	4.501	1 in 113	4	06/08/2021	119
183	105,960	4.491	1 in 114	3	04/05/2021	146
184	105,673	4.479	1 in 114	1	16/09/2022	3
185	105,338	4.465	1 in 114	7	10/05/2022	40
186	104,957	4.449	1 in 115	2	12/07/2019	335	Overdue
187	104,529	4.431	1 in 115	3	24/04/2020	253	Overdue
188	104,056	4.411	1 in 116	2	17/04/2020	255	Overdue
189	103,536	4.388	1 in 116	5	31/05/2022	34
190	102,973	4.365	1 in 117	7	10/12/2021	83
191	102,364	4.339	1 in 118	3	08/10/2021	101
192	101,713	4.311	1 in 118	6	06/05/2022	41
193	101,017	4.282	1 in 119	4	18/06/2021	133
194	100,281	4.251	1 in 120	2	10/03/2020	266	Overdue
195	99,502	4.218	1 in 121	3	02/02/2021	172
196	98,684	4.183	1 in 122	7	06/09/2022	6
197	97,824	4.146	1 in 123	1	05/10/2018	415	Overdue
198	96,928	4.108	1 in 124	7	18/02/2022	63
199	95,992	4.069	1 in 126	6	09/04/2021	153
200	95,022	4.028	1 in 127	2	13/09/2022	4
201	94,013	3.985	1 in 128	5	11/03/2022	57
202	92,973	3.941	1 in 130	5	26/06/2020	235
203	91,897	3.895	1 in 131	1	31/03/2020	260
204	90,792	3.848	1 in 133	4	13/05/2022	39
205	89,653	3.800	1 in 134	4	16/08/2022	12
206	88,488	3.751	1 in 136	2	09/03/2021	162
207	87,292	3.700	1 in 138	3	01/10/2021	103
208	86,073	3.648	1 in 140	4	25/02/2022	61
209	84,825	3.595	1 in 142	7	17/09/2021	107
210	83,558	3.542	1 in 144	5	31/07/2020	225
211	82,265	3.487	1 in 147	5	02/10/2020	207
212	80,956	3.431	1 in 149	4	18/09/2020	211
213	79,624	3.375	1 in 152	1	28/01/2020	278
214	78,280	3.318	1 in 154	3	07/01/2020	284
215	76,917	3.260	1 in 157	7	09/09/2022	5
216	75,544	3.202	1 in 160	4	29/06/2021	130
217	74,155	3.143	1 in 163	3	30/08/2022	8
218	72,760	3.084	1 in 166	7	29/07/2022	17
219	71,352	3.024	1 in 169	3	01/12/2020	190
220	69,941	2.965	1 in 173	2	05/07/2022	24
221	68,519	2.904	1 in 176	3	03/04/2020	259
222	67,097	2.844	1 in 180	2	01/01/2021	181
223	65,668	2.783	1 in 184	1	22/03/2019	367
224	64,241	2.723	1 in 188	3	04/06/2019	346
225	62,809	2.662	1 in 192	3	26/07/2022	18
226	61,382	2.602	1 in 197	4	01/04/2022	51
227	59,953	2.541	1 in 201	2	01/03/2019	373
228	58,531	2.481	1 in 206	2	28/09/2021	104
229	57,109	2.421	1 in 211	3	12/10/2021	100
230	55,697	2.361	1 in 217	2	23/09/2022	1
231	54,287	2.301	1 in 222	1	24/11/2017	505	Overdue
232	52,889	2.242	1 in 228	1	31/12/2019	286
233	51,495	2.183	1 in 235	2	20/11/2020	193
234	50,115	2.124	1 in 241	4	17/06/2022	29
235	48,742	2.066	1 in 248	2	29/01/2021	173
236	47,384	2.008	1 in 255	2	14/12/2021	82
237	46,034	1.951	1 in 262	2	18/09/2018	420
238	44,702	1.895	1 in 270	0	Never	Never
239	43,380	1.839	1 in 278	0	Never	Never
240	42,077	1.783	1 in 287	1	19/03/2019	368
241	40,785	1.729	1 in 296	2	10/11/2020	196
242	39,514	1.675	1 in 306	0	Never	Never
243	38,256	1.622	1 in 316	0	Never	Never
244	37,020	1.569	1 in 326	1	22/07/2022	19
245	35,798	1.517	1 in 338	3	21/12/2021	80
246	34,599	1.467	1 in 349	2	22/09/2020	210
247	33,416	1.416	1 in 362	1	06/03/2020	267
248	32,257	1.367	1 in 375	1	08/07/2022	23
249	31,114	1.319	1 in 388	0	Never	Never
250	29,997	1.271	1 in 403	0	Never	Never
251	28,897	1.225	1 in 418	2	21/01/2022	71
252	27,823	1.179	1 in 435	2	05/04/2022	50
253	26,767	1.135	1 in 452	0	Never	Never
254	25,738	1.091	1 in 470	0	Never	Never
255	24,728	1.048	1 in 489	0	Never	Never
256	23,745	1.006	1 in 509	0	Never	Never
257	22,781	0.966	1 in 531	0	Never	Never
258	21,845	0.926	1 in 554	2	02/09/2022	7
259	20,929	0.887	1 in 578	0	Never	Never
260	20,041	0.849	1 in 603	0	Never	Never
261	19,172	0.813	1 in 631	3	20/05/2022	37
262	18,332	0.777	1 in 660	1	20/08/2021	115
263	17,512	0.742	1 in 691	0	Never	Never
264	16,720	0.709	1 in 723	1	22/12/2020	184
265	15,948	0.676	1 in 758	2	06/07/2021	128
266	15,204	0.644	1 in 796	0	Never	Never
267	14,480	0.614	1 in 835	2	26/01/2021	174
268	13,784	0.584	1 in 878	1	18/10/2019	307
269	13,107	0.556	1 in 923	1	16/11/2018	403
270	12,458	0.528	1 in 971	0	Never	Never
271	11,828	0.501	1 in 1,023	2	14/05/2019	352
272	11,225	0.476	1 in 1,078	0	Never	Never
273	10,640	0.451	1 in 1,137	0	Never	Never
274	10,082	0.427	1 in 1,200	0	Never	Never
275	9,542	0.404	1 in 1,268	1	17/07/2018	438
276	9,027	0.383	1 in 1,340	0	Never	Never
277	8,529	0.362	1 in 1,419	0	Never	Never
278	8,056	0.341	1 in 1,502	0	Never	Never
279	7,599	0.322	1 in 1,592	0	Never	Never
280	7,166	0.304	1 in 1,688	1	14/04/2020	256
281	6,747	0.286	1 in 1,793	1	20/10/2020	202
282	6,351	0.269	1 in 1,905	0	Never	Never
283	5,969	0.253	1 in 2,027	0	Never	Never
284	5,608	0.238	1 in 2,158	0	Never	Never
285	5,260	0.223	1 in 2,300	0	Never	Never
286	4,932	0.209	1 in 2,453	0	Never	Never
287	4,616	0.196	1 in 2,621	0	Never	Never
288	4,319	0.183	1 in 2,802	0	Never	Never
289	4,033	0.171	1 in 3,000	0	Never	Never
290	3,765	0.160	1 in 3,214	0	Never	Never
291	3,507	0.149	1 in 3,451	0	Never	Never
292	3,266	0.138	1 in 3,705	0	Never	Never
293	3,034	0.129	1 in 3,989	0	Never	Never
294	2,818	0.119	1 in 4,294	0	Never	Never
295	2,611	0.111	1 in 4,635	0	Never	Never
296	2,418	0.102	1 in 5,005	0	Never	Never
297	2,233	0.095	1 in 5,420	0	Never	Never
298	2,062	0.087	1 in 5,869	0	Never	Never
299	1,898	0.080	1 in 6,376	0	Never	Never
300	1,747	0.074	1 in 6,927	0	Never	Never
301	1,602	0.068	1 in 7,554	0	Never	Never
302	1,469	0.062	1 in 8,238	0	Never	Never
303	1,342	0.057	1 in 9,018	0	Never	Never
304	1,226	0.052	1 in 9,871	0	Never	Never
305	1,115	0.047	1 in 10,854	0	Never	Never
306	1,014	0.043	1 in 11,935	0	Never	Never
307	918	0.039	1 in 13,184	0	Never	Never
308	831	0.035	1 in 14,564	0	Never	Never
309	748	0.032	1 in 16,180	0	Never	Never
310	674	0.029	1 in 17,956	0	Never	Never
311	603	0.026	1 in 20,071	0	Never	Never
312	540	0.023	1 in 22,412	0	Never	Never
313	480	0.020	1 in 25,214	0	Never	Never
314	427	0.018	1 in 28,344	0	Never	Never
315	377	0.016	1 in 32,103	0	Never	Never
316	333	0.014	1 in 36,345	0	Never	Never
317	291	0.012	1 in 41,591	0	Never	Never
318	255	0.011	1 in 47,462	0	Never	Never
319	221	0.009	1 in 54,764	0	Never	Never
320	192	0.008	1 in 63,036	0	Never	Never
321	164	0.007	1 in 73,798	0	Never	Never
322	141	0.006	1 in 85,836	0	Never	Never
323	119	0.005	1 in 101,706	0	Never	Never
324	101	0.004	1 in 119,831	0	Never	Never
325	84	0.004	1 in 144,083	0	Never	Never
326	70	0.003	1 in 172,900	0	Never	Never
327	57	0.002	1 in 212,333	0	Never	Never
328	47	0.002	1 in 257,510	0	Never	Never
329	37	0.002	1 in 327,108	0	Never	Never
330	30	0.001	1 in 403,433	0	Never	Never
331	23	0.001	1 in 526,218	0	Never	Never
332	18	0.001	1 in 672,389	0	Never	Never
333	13	0.001	1 in 931,001	0	Never	Never
334	10	0.000	1 in 1,210,301	0	Never	Never
335	7	0.000	1 in 1,729,002	0	Never	Never
336	5	0.000	1 in 2,420,602	0	Never	Never
337	3	0.000	1 in 4,034,338	0	Never	Never
338	2	0.000	1 in 6,051,507	0	Never	Never
339	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never
340	1	0.000	1 in 12,103,014	0	Never	Never

Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 28^th September 2022 6:15 am