Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 170 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0041 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0051 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0051 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0061 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0071 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0081 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0081 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0091 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0111 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0121 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0131 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0141 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 117
501,1150.0161 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0171 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0191 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0211 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0231 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0251 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 94
561,8980.0271 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0291 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0311 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0341 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0371 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0401 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0431 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0461 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0491 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0531 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0571 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0611 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0651 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0691 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0741 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0791 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.0841 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.0891 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.0951 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.1011 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.1071 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 143
778,0560.1131 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.1201 in 1,4190 Never Never
799,0270.1271 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1341 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 89
8110,0820.1421 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1491 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1581 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.1661 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.1751 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.1841 in 9231 11/14/2017 166
8713,7840.1941 in 8782 8/24/2018 85
8814,4800.2031 in 8360 Never Never
8915,2040.2141 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.2241 in 7591 6/22/2018 103
9116,7200.2351 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.2461 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.2571 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.2691 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.2811 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.2941 in 5780 Never Never
9721,8450.3071 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.3201 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.3341 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.3471 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.3621 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.3761 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.3911 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.4061 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.4211 in 4031 3/6/2018 134
10631,1140.4371 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.4531 in 3751 12/12/2017 158
10833,4160.4691 in 3621 2/23/2018 137
10934,5990.4861 in 3501 11/21/2017 164
11035,7980.5031 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.5201 in 3271 4/20/2018 121
11238,2560.5371 in 3160 Never Never
11339,5140.5551 in 3062 9/4/2018 82
11440,7850.5731 in 2970 Never Never
11542,0770.5911 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.6091 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.6281 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.6471 in 2631 10/2/2018 74
11947,3840.6661 in 2551 12/28/2018 49
12048,7420.6851 in 2481 2/26/2019 32
12150,1150.7041 in 2421 12/26/2017 154
12251,4950.7231 in 2351 12/29/2017 153
12352,8890.7431 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.7631 in 2232 12/7/2018 55
12555,6970.7821 in 2173 4/26/2019 15
12657,1090.8021 in 2122 2/20/2018 138
12758,5310.8221 in 2071 2/13/2018 140
12859,9530.8421 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3820.8621 in 1971 2/27/2018 136
13062,8090.8821 in 1931 9/21/2018 77
13164,2410.9021 in 1882 8/31/2018 83
13265,6680.9221 in 1840 Never Never
13367,0970.9421 in 1801 4/24/2018 120
13468,5190.9621 in 1771 1/26/2018 145
13569,9410.9821 in 1730 Never Never
13671,3521.0021 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7601.0221 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1551.0421 in 1631 5/22/2018 112
13975,5441.0611 in 1601 11/23/2018 59
14076,9171.0801 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2801.1001 in 1551 3/26/2019 24
14279,6241.1181 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9561.1371 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2651.1561 in 1472 3/12/2019 28
14583,5581.1741 in 1454 5/17/2019 9
14684,8251.1911 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0731.2091 in 1412 6/15/2018 105
14887,2921.2261 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4881.2431 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.2591 in 1351 4/13/2018 123
15190,7921.2751 in 1331 7/20/2018 95
15291,8971.2911 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.3061 in 1302 1/25/2019 41
15494,0131.3211 in 1292 5/1/2018 118
15595,0221.3351 in 1270 Never Never
15695,9921.3481 in 1263 5/28/2019 6
15796,9281.3611 in 1250 Never Never
15897,8241.3741 in 1241 1/19/2018 147
15998,6841.3861 in 1231 2/8/2019 37
16099,5021.3981 in 1222 5/7/2019 12
161100,2811.4091 in 1210 Never Never
162101,0171.4191 in 1204 3/29/2019 23
163101,7131.4291 in 1191 5/10/2019 11
164102,3641.4381 in 1181 7/6/2018 99
165102,9731.4461 in 1182 11/20/2018 60
166103,5361.4541 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.4621 in 1162 8/17/2018 87
168104,5291.4681 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.4741 in 1151 4/9/2019 20
170105,3381.4801 in 1153 1/8/2019 46
171105,6731.4841 in 1152 6/7/2019 3
172105,9601.4881 in 1143 11/27/2018 58
173106,2001.4921 in 1142 5/31/2019 5
174106,3921.4941 in 1141 1/12/2018 149
175106,5371.4961 in 1142 3/30/2018 127
176106,6331.4981 in 1143 4/23/2019 16
177106,6811.4981 in 1131 6/8/2018 107
178106,6811.4981 in 1131 12/1/2017 161
179106,6331.4981 in 1141 1/22/2019 42
180106,5371.4961 in 1141 5/3/2019 13
181106,3921.4941 in 1142 9/7/2018 81
182106,2001.4921 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.4881 in 1140 Never Never
184105,6731.4841 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.4801 in 1153 3/8/2019 29
186104,9571.4741 in 1151 11/28/2017 162
187104,5291.4681 in 1162 4/19/2019 17
188104,0561.4621 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.4541 in 1170 Never Never
190102,9731.4461 in 1181 3/27/2018 128
191102,3641.4381 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.4291 in 1191 12/4/2018 56
193101,0171.4191 in 1203 6/11/2019 2
194100,2811.4091 in 1211 12/11/2018 54
19599,5021.3981 in 1222 10/9/2018 72
19698,6841.3861 in 1235 2/19/2019 34
19797,8241.3741 in 1241 10/5/2018 73
19896,9281.3611 in 1253 2/5/2019 38
19995,9921.3481 in 1262 1/4/2019 47
20095,0221.3351 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.3211 in 1291 2/12/2019 36
20292,9731.3061 in 1302 9/14/2018 79
20391,8971.2911 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.2751 in 1332 12/19/2017 156
20589,6531.2591 in 1351 10/12/2018 71
20688,4881.2431 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2921.2261 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0731.2091 in 1412 5/25/2018 111
20984,8251.1911 in 1433 7/13/2018 97
21083,5581.1741 in 1451 7/3/2018 100
21182,2651.1561 in 1471 2/16/2018 139
21280,9561.1371 in 1502 1/29/2019 40
21379,6241.1181 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2801.1001 in 1551 3/15/2019 27
21576,9171.0801 in 1573 10/26/2018 67
21675,5441.0611 in 1601 12/21/2018 51
21774,1551.0421 in 1631 5/24/2019 7
21872,7601.0221 in 1663 5/18/2018 113
21971,3521.0021 in 1702 1/18/2019 43
22069,9410.9821 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5190.9621 in 1772 2/1/2019 39
22267,0970.9421 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6680.9221 in 1841 3/22/2019 25
22464,2410.9021 in 1883 6/4/2019 4
22562,8090.8821 in 1931 9/11/2018 80
22661,3820.8621 in 1972 10/19/2018 69
22759,9530.8421 in 2022 3/1/2019 31
22858,5310.8221 in 2071 6/14/2019 1
22957,1090.8021 in 2121 5/21/2019 8
23055,6970.7821 in 2171 10/23/2018 68
23154,2870.7631 in 2231 11/24/2017 163
23252,8890.7431 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.7231 in 2351 4/30/2019 14
23450,1150.7041 in 2420 Never Never
23548,7420.6851 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.6661 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.6471 in 2632 9/18/2018 78
23844,7020.6281 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.6091 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.5911 in 2881 3/19/2019 26
24140,7850.5731 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.5551 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.5371 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.5201 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.5031 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.4861 in 3500 Never Never
24733,4160.4691 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.4531 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.4371 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.4211 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.4061 in 4191 9/28/2018 75
25227,8230.3911 in 4351 11/7/2017 168
25326,7670.3761 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.3621 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.3471 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.3341 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.3201 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.3071 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.2941 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.2811 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.2691 in 6312 4/2/2019 22
26218,3320.2571 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.2461 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.2351 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.2241 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.2141 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.2031 in 8361 1/1/2019 48
26813,7840.1941 in 8780 Never Never
26913,1070.1841 in 9231 11/16/2018 61
27012,4580.1751 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.1661 in 1,0232 5/14/2019 10
27211,2250.1581 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1491 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1421 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1341 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 96
2769,0270.1271 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.1201 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.1131 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.1071 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.1011 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.0951 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.0891 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.0841 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0791 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0741 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0691 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0651 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0611 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0571 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0531 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0491 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0461 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0431 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0401 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0371 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0341 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0311 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0291 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0271 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0251 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0231 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0211 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0191 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0171 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0161 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0141 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0131 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0121 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0111 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0091 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0081 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0081 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0071 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0061 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0051 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0051 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0041 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0041 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0031 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0031 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0021 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0011 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 15 June 2019 05:25 AM