# Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 616 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
17 2 0.000 1 in 6,051,507 0 Never Never
18 3 0.000 1 in 4,034,338 0 Never Never
19 5 0.000 1 in 2,420,602 0 Never Never
20 7 0.000 1 in 1,729,002 0 Never Never
21 10 0.001 1 in 1,210,301 0 Never Never
22 13 0.001 1 in 931,001 0 Never Never
23 18 0.001 1 in 672,389 0 Never Never
24 23 0.001 1 in 526,218 0 Never Never
25 30 0.002 1 in 403,433 0 Never Never
26 37 0.002 1 in 327,108 0 Never Never
27 47 0.002 1 in 257,510 0 Never Never
28 57 0.003 1 in 212,333 0 Never Never
29 70 0.004 1 in 172,900 0 Never Never
30 84 0.004 1 in 144,083 0 Never Never
31 101 0.005 1 in 119,831 0 Never Never
32 119 0.006 1 in 101,706 0 Never Never
33 141 0.007 1 in 85,836 0 Never Never
34 164 0.008 1 in 73,798 0 Never Never
35 192 0.010 1 in 63,036 0 Never Never
36 221 0.011 1 in 54,764 0 Never Never
37 255 0.013 1 in 47,462 0 Never Never
38 291 0.015 1 in 41,591 0 Never Never
39 333 0.017 1 in 36,345 0 Never Never
40 377 0.019 1 in 32,103 0 Never Never
41 427 0.022 1 in 28,344 0 Never Never
42 480 0.024 1 in 25,214 0 Never Never
43 540 0.027 1 in 22,412 0 Never Never
44 603 0.031 1 in 20,071 0 Never Never
45 674 0.034 1 in 17,956 0 Never Never
46 748 0.038 1 in 16,180 0 Never Never
47 831 0.042 1 in 14,564 0 Never Never
48 918 0.047 1 in 13,184 1 09/06/2020 343
49 1,014 0.052 1 in 11,935 1 04/05/2018 562
50 1,115 0.057 1 in 10,854 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.062 1 in 9,871 0 Never Never
52 1,342 0.068 1 in 9,018 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.075 1 in 8,238 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.082 1 in 7,554 0 Never Never
55 1,747 0.089 1 in 6,927 1 24/07/2018 539
56 1,898 0.097 1 in 6,376 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.105 1 in 5,869 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.114 1 in 5,420 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.123 1 in 5,005 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.133 1 in 4,635 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.143 1 in 4,294 0 Never Never
62 3,034 0.154 1 in 3,989 1 01/11/2022 93
63 3,266 0.166 1 in 3,705 0 Never Never
64 3,507 0.178 1 in 3,451 0 Never Never
65 3,765 0.192 1 in 3,214 0 Never Never
66 4,033 0.205 1 in 3,000 0 Never Never
67 4,319 0.220 1 in 2,802 1 10/01/2023 73
68 4,616 0.235 1 in 2,621 0 Never Never
69 4,932 0.251 1 in 2,453 1 04/01/2022 179
70 5,260 0.268 1 in 2,300 0 Never Never
71 5,608 0.285 1 in 2,158 0 Never Never
72 5,969 0.304 1 in 2,027 1 11/10/2022 99
73 6,351 0.323 1 in 1,905 0 Never Never
74 6,747 0.343 1 in 1,793 0 Never Never
75 7,166 0.365 1 in 1,688 3 18/04/2023 45
76 7,599 0.387 1 in 1,592 2 09/08/2022 117
77 8,056 0.410 1 in 1,502 0 Never Never
78 8,529 0.434 1 in 1,419 2 22/10/2019 409
79 9,027 0.459 1 in 1,340 1 10/06/2022 134
80 9,542 0.486 1 in 1,268 1 10/08/2018 534
81 10,082 0.513 1 in 1,200 0 Never Never
82 10,640 0.542 1 in 1,137 0 Never Never
83 11,225 0.571 1 in 1,078 0 Never Never
84 11,828 0.602 1 in 1,023 0 Never Never
85 12,458 0.634 1 in 971 1 28/12/2021 181
86 13,107 0.667 1 in 923 2 24/01/2020 382
87 13,784 0.702 1 in 878 2 24/08/2018 530
88 14,480 0.737 1 in 835 2 03/08/2021 223
89 15,204 0.774 1 in 796 0 Never Never
90 15,948 0.812 1 in 758 1 22/06/2018 548
91 16,720 0.851 1 in 723 0 Never Never
92 17,512 0.891 1 in 691 0 Never Never
93 18,332 0.933 1 in 660 0 Never Never
94 19,172 0.976 1 in 631 0 Never Never
95 20,041 1.020 1 in 603 3 17/01/2023 71
96 20,929 1.065 1 in 578 3 14/01/2022 176
97 21,845 1.112 1 in 554 0 Never Never
98 22,781 1.159 1 in 531 2 21/05/2021 244
99 23,745 1.209 1 in 509 1 19/10/2021 201
100 24,728 1.259 1 in 489 2 24/06/2022 130
101 25,738 1.310 1 in 470 1 08/01/2021 282
102 26,767 1.362 1 in 452 2 31/01/2023 67
103 27,823 1.416 1 in 435 1 05/05/2020 353
104 28,897 1.471 1 in 418 1 11/02/2022 168
105 29,997 1.527 1 in 403 4 30/12/2022 76
106 31,114 1.584 1 in 388 0 Never Never
107 32,257 1.642 1 in 375 5 02/05/2023 41
108 33,416 1.701 1 in 362 1 23/02/2018 582
109 34,599 1.761 1 in 349 1 21/11/2017 609
110 35,798 1.822 1 in 338 2 30/11/2021 189
111 37,020 1.884 1 in 326 5 11/08/2023 12
112 38,256 1.947 1 in 316 1 26/07/2019 434
113 39,514 2.011 1 in 306 5 21/06/2022 131
114 40,785 2.076 1 in 296 6 21/03/2023 53
115 42,077 2.142 1 in 287 0 Never Never
116 43,380 2.208 1 in 278 0 Never Never
117 44,702 2.275 1 in 270 2 08/08/2023 13
118 46,034 2.343 1 in 262 2 18/03/2022 158
119 47,384 2.412 1 in 255 4 25/07/2023 17
120 48,742 2.481 1 in 248 4 08/04/2022 152
121 50,115 2.551 1 in 241 1 26/12/2017 599 Overdue
122 51,495 2.621 1 in 235 1 29/12/2017 598 Overdue
123 52,889 2.692 1 in 228 3 19/09/2023 1
124 54,287 2.763 1 in 222 4 14/03/2023 55
125 55,697 2.835 1 in 217 6 22/08/2023 9
126 57,109 2.907 1 in 211 2 20/02/2018 583 Overdue
127 58,531 2.979 1 in 206 2 06/06/2023 31
128 59,953 3.051 1 in 201 4 13/06/2023 29
129 61,382 3.124 1 in 197 3 04/10/2022 101
130 62,809 3.197 1 in 192 4 25/08/2023 8
131 64,241 3.270 1 in 188 4 24/12/2021 182
132 65,668 3.342 1 in 184 4 22/03/2022 157
133 67,097 3.415 1 in 180 4 19/01/2021 279
134 68,519 3.487 1 in 176 5 02/06/2023 32
135 69,941 3.560 1 in 173 1 15/10/2019 411 Overdue
136 71,352 3.632 1 in 169 1 18/11/2022 88
137 72,760 3.703 1 in 166 1 07/10/2022 100
138 74,155 3.774 1 in 163 5 28/06/2022 129
139 75,544 3.845 1 in 160 2 15/05/2020 350 Overdue
140 76,917 3.915 1 in 157 3 27/09/2022 103
141 78,280 3.984 1 in 154 2 20/12/2019 392 Overdue
142 79,624 4.053 1 in 152 2 14/10/2022 98
143 80,956 4.120 1 in 149 1 28/01/2022 172
144 82,265 4.187 1 in 147 8 08/11/2022 91
145 83,558 4.253 1 in 144 8 08/09/2023 4
146 84,825 4.317 1 in 142 5 12/09/2023 3
147 86,073 4.381 1 in 140 8 05/05/2023 40
148 87,292 4.443 1 in 138 0 Never Never
149 88,488 4.504 1 in 136 4 02/08/2022 119
150 89,653 4.563 1 in 134 6 15/09/2023 2
151 90,792 4.621 1 in 133 8 15/04/2022 150
152 91,897 4.677 1 in 131 0 Never Never
153 92,973 4.732 1 in 130 5 03/05/2022 145
154 94,013 4.785 1 in 128 5 25/05/2021 243
155 95,022 4.836 1 in 127 2 03/09/2021 214
156 95,992 4.886 1 in 126 8 07/07/2023 22
157 96,928 4.933 1 in 124 6 01/07/2022 128
158 97,824 4.979 1 in 123 9 28/07/2023 16
159 98,684 5.023 1 in 122 3 07/03/2023 57
160 99,502 5.064 1 in 121 7 22/09/2023 0
161 100,281 5.104 1 in 120 3 28/05/2021 242 Overdue
162 101,017 5.141 1 in 119 9 21/04/2023 44
163 101,713 5.177 1 in 118 6 18/07/2023 19
164 102,364 5.210 1 in 118 8 16/06/2023 28
165 102,973 5.241 1 in 117 7 14/02/2023 63
166 103,536 5.270 1 in 116 4 23/05/2023 35
167 104,056 5.296 1 in 116 5 25/03/2022 156
168 104,529 5.320 1 in 115 4 01/08/2023 15
169 104,957 5.342 1 in 115 5 18/08/2023 10
170 105,338 5.361 1 in 114 8 27/06/2023 25
171 105,673 5.378 1 in 114 4 17/03/2023 54
172 105,960 5.393 1 in 114 11 31/03/2023 50
173 106,200 5.405 1 in 113 6 20/06/2023 27
174 106,392 5.415 1 in 113 4 26/05/2023 34
175 106,537 5.422 1 in 113 7 11/07/2023 21
176 106,633 5.427 1 in 113 3 23/04/2019 461 Overdue
177 106,681 5.430 1 in 113 4 16/04/2021 254 Overdue
178 106,681 5.430 1 in 113 5 25/04/2023 43
179 106,633 5.427 1 in 113 5 05/11/2021 196
180 106,537 5.422 1 in 113 3 24/08/2021 217
181 106,392 5.415 1 in 113 5 01/09/2023 6
182 106,200 5.405 1 in 113 5 07/02/2023 65
183 105,960 5.393 1 in 114 4 04/11/2022 92
184 105,673 5.378 1 in 114 1 16/09/2022 106
185 105,338 5.361 1 in 114 7 10/05/2022 143
186 104,957 5.342 1 in 115 3 09/05/2023 39
187 104,529 5.320 1 in 115 3 24/04/2020 356 Overdue
188 104,056 5.296 1 in 116 3 30/06/2023 24
189 103,536 5.270 1 in 116 6 10/02/2023 64
190 102,973 5.241 1 in 117 8 14/04/2023 46
191 102,364 5.210 1 in 118 4 06/01/2023 74
192 101,713 5.177 1 in 118 7 16/12/2022 80
193 101,017 5.141 1 in 119 4 18/06/2021 236
194 100,281 5.104 1 in 120 3 04/08/2023 14
195 99,502 5.064 1 in 121 3 02/02/2021 275 Overdue
196 98,684 5.023 1 in 122 7 06/09/2022 109
197 97,824 4.979 1 in 123 2 25/10/2022 95
198 96,928 4.933 1 in 124 7 18/02/2022 166
199 95,992 4.886 1 in 126 7 14/07/2023 20
200 95,022 4.836 1 in 127 3 17/02/2023 62
201 94,013 4.785 1 in 128 7 30/05/2023 33
202 92,973 4.732 1 in 130 5 26/06/2020 338 Overdue
203 91,897 4.677 1 in 131 2 09/06/2023 30
204 90,792 4.621 1 in 133 4 13/05/2022 142
205 89,653 4.563 1 in 134 5 24/02/2023 60
206 88,488 4.504 1 in 136 2 09/03/2021 265
207 87,292 4.443 1 in 138 3 01/10/2021 206
208 86,073 4.381 1 in 140 4 25/02/2022 164
209 84,825 4.317 1 in 142 8 04/04/2023 49
210 83,558 4.253 1 in 144 9 07/04/2023 48
211 82,265 4.187 1 in 147 6 10/03/2023 56
212 80,956 4.120 1 in 149 5 05/09/2023 5
213 79,624 4.053 1 in 152 1 28/01/2020 381 Overdue
214 78,280 3.984 1 in 154 3 07/01/2020 387 Overdue
215 76,917 3.915 1 in 157 7 09/09/2022 108
216 75,544 3.845 1 in 160 4 29/06/2021 233
217 74,155 3.774 1 in 163 3 30/08/2022 111
218 72,760 3.703 1 in 166 7 29/07/2022 120
219 71,352 3.632 1 in 169 4 15/08/2023 11
220 69,941 3.560 1 in 173 2 05/07/2022 127
221 68,519 3.487 1 in 176 3 03/04/2020 362 Overdue
222 67,097 3.415 1 in 180 2 01/01/2021 284
223 65,668 3.342 1 in 184 2 21/07/2023 18
224 64,241 3.270 1 in 188 5 29/08/2023 7
225 62,809 3.197 1 in 192 4 13/01/2023 72
226 61,382 3.124 1 in 197 5 21/10/2022 96
227 59,953 3.051 1 in 201 3 25/11/2022 86
228 58,531 2.979 1 in 206 3 11/04/2023 47
229 57,109 2.907 1 in 211 3 12/10/2021 203
230 55,697 2.835 1 in 217 2 23/09/2022 104
231 54,287 2.763 1 in 222 1 24/11/2017 608 Overdue
232 52,889 2.692 1 in 228 1 31/12/2019 389
233 51,495 2.621 1 in 235 3 24/01/2023 69
234 50,115 2.551 1 in 241 4 17/06/2022 132
235 48,742 2.481 1 in 248 3 28/04/2023 42
236 47,384 2.412 1 in 255 3 04/07/2023 23
237 46,034 2.343 1 in 262 2 18/09/2018 523
238 44,702 2.275 1 in 270 0 Never Never
239 43,380 2.208 1 in 278 0 Never Never
240 42,077 2.142 1 in 287 1 19/03/2019 471
241 40,785 2.076 1 in 296 2 10/11/2020 299
242 39,514 2.011 1 in 306 0 Never Never
243 38,256 1.947 1 in 316 0 Never Never
244 37,020 1.884 1 in 326 1 22/07/2022 122
245 35,798 1.822 1 in 338 3 21/12/2021 183
246 34,599 1.761 1 in 349 2 22/09/2020 313
247 33,416 1.701 1 in 362 1 06/03/2020 370
248 32,257 1.642 1 in 375 1 08/07/2022 126
249 31,114 1.584 1 in 388 0 Never Never
250 29,997 1.527 1 in 403 0 Never Never
251 28,897 1.471 1 in 418 2 21/01/2022 174
252 27,823 1.416 1 in 435 2 05/04/2022 153
253 26,767 1.362 1 in 452 0 Never Never
254 25,738 1.310 1 in 470 0 Never Never
255 24,728 1.259 1 in 489 0 Never Never
256 23,745 1.209 1 in 509 0 Never Never
257 22,781 1.159 1 in 531 0 Never Never
258 21,845 1.112 1 in 554 2 02/09/2022 110
259 20,929 1.065 1 in 578 0 Never Never
260 20,041 1.020 1 in 603 0 Never Never
261 19,172 0.976 1 in 631 3 20/05/2022 140
262 18,332 0.933 1 in 660 1 20/08/2021 218
263 17,512 0.891 1 in 691 0 Never Never
264 16,720 0.851 1 in 723 1 22/12/2020 287
265 15,948 0.812 1 in 758 2 06/07/2021 231
266 15,204 0.774 1 in 796 0 Never Never
267 14,480 0.737 1 in 835 2 26/01/2021 277
268 13,784 0.702 1 in 878 1 18/10/2019 410
269 13,107 0.667 1 in 923 1 16/11/2018 506
270 12,458 0.634 1 in 971 0 Never Never
271 11,828 0.602 1 in 1,023 2 14/05/2019 455
272 11,225 0.571 1 in 1,078 0 Never Never
273 10,640 0.542 1 in 1,137 0 Never Never
274 10,082 0.513 1 in 1,200 0 Never Never
275 9,542 0.486 1 in 1,268 1 17/07/2018 541
276 9,027 0.459 1 in 1,340 1 23/06/2023 26
277 8,529 0.434 1 in 1,419 0 Never Never
278 8,056 0.410 1 in 1,502 0 Never Never
279 7,599 0.387 1 in 1,592 0 Never Never
280 7,166 0.365 1 in 1,688 1 14/04/2020 359
281 6,747 0.343 1 in 1,793 1 20/10/2020 305
282 6,351 0.323 1 in 1,905 0 Never Never
283 5,969 0.304 1 in 2,027 0 Never Never
284 5,608 0.285 1 in 2,158 0 Never Never
285 5,260 0.268 1 in 2,300 0 Never Never
286 4,932 0.251 1 in 2,453 0 Never Never
287 4,616 0.235 1 in 2,621 0 Never Never
288 4,319 0.220 1 in 2,802 0 Never Never
289 4,033 0.205 1 in 3,000 0 Never Never
290 3,765 0.192 1 in 3,214 0 Never Never
291 3,507 0.178 1 in 3,451 0 Never Never
292 3,266 0.166 1 in 3,705 0 Never Never
293 3,034 0.154 1 in 3,989 0 Never Never
294 2,818 0.143 1 in 4,294 0 Never Never
295 2,611 0.133 1 in 4,635 0 Never Never
296 2,418 0.123 1 in 5,005 0 Never Never
297 2,233 0.114 1 in 5,420 0 Never Never
298 2,062 0.105 1 in 5,869 0 Never Never
299 1,898 0.097 1 in 6,376 0 Never Never
300 1,747 0.089 1 in 6,927 0 Never Never
301 1,602 0.082 1 in 7,554 0 Never Never
302 1,469 0.075 1 in 8,238 0 Never Never
303 1,342 0.068 1 in 9,018 0 Never Never
304 1,226 0.062 1 in 9,871 0 Never Never
305 1,115 0.057 1 in 10,854 0 Never Never
306 1,014 0.052 1 in 11,935 0 Never Never
307 918 0.047 1 in 13,184 0 Never Never
308 831 0.042 1 in 14,564 0 Never Never
309 748 0.038 1 in 16,180 0 Never Never
310 674 0.034 1 in 17,956 0 Never Never
311 603 0.031 1 in 20,071 0 Never Never
312 540 0.027 1 in 22,412 0 Never Never
313 480 0.024 1 in 25,214 0 Never Never
314 427 0.022 1 in 28,344 0 Never Never
315 377 0.019 1 in 32,103 0 Never Never
316 333 0.017 1 in 36,345 0 Never Never
317 291 0.015 1 in 41,591 0 Never Never
318 255 0.013 1 in 47,462 0 Never Never
319 221 0.011 1 in 54,764 0 Never Never
320 192 0.010 1 in 63,036 0 Never Never
321 164 0.008 1 in 73,798 0 Never Never
322 141 0.007 1 in 85,836 0 Never Never
323 119 0.006 1 in 101,706 0 Never Never
324 101 0.005 1 in 119,831 0 Never Never
325 84 0.004 1 in 144,083 0 Never Never
326 70 0.004 1 in 172,900 0 Never Never
327 57 0.003 1 in 212,333 0 Never Never
328 47 0.002 1 in 257,510 0 Never Never
329 37 0.002 1 in 327,108 0 Never Never
330 30 0.002 1 in 403,433 0 Never Never
331 23 0.001 1 in 526,218 0 Never Never
332 18 0.001 1 in 672,389 0 Never Never
333 13 0.001 1 in 931,001 0 Never Never
334 10 0.001 1 in 1,210,301 0 Never Never
335 7 0.000 1 in 1,729,002 0 Never Never
336 5 0.000 1 in 2,420,602 0 Never Never
337 3 0.000 1 in 4,034,338 0 Never Never
338 2 0.000 1 in 6,051,507 0 Never Never
339 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never
340 1 0.000 1 in 12,103,014 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 23rd September 2023 5:32 am