Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 136 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0011 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0021 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0031 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0031 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0041 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0041 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0051 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0051 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0061 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0071 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0081 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0081 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0091 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0101 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0111 in 11,9361 5/4/2018 83
501,1150.0131 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0141 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0151 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0171 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0181 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0201 in 6,9281 7/24/2018 60
561,8980.0211 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0231 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0251 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0271 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0291 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0321 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0341 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0371 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0391 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0421 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0451 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0491 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0521 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0551 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0591 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0631 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.0671 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.0711 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.0761 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.0811 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.0851 in 1,5931 2/2/2018 109
778,0560.0911 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.0961 in 1,4190 Never Never
799,0270.1011 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.1071 in 1,2681 8/10/2018 55
8110,0820.1131 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1201 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1261 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.1331 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.1401 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.1471 in 9231 11/14/2017 132
8713,7840.1551 in 8782 8/24/2018 51
8814,4800.1631 in 8360 Never Never
8915,2040.1711 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.1791 in 7591 6/22/2018 69
9116,7200.1881 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.1971 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.2061 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.2151 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.2251 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.2351 in 5780 Never Never
9721,8450.2451 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.2561 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.2671 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.2781 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.2891 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.3011 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.3131 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.3251 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.3371 in 4031 3/6/2018 100
10631,1140.3501 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.3621 in 3751 12/12/2017 124
10833,4160.3751 in 3621 2/23/2018 103
10934,5990.3891 in 3501 11/21/2017 130
11035,7980.4021 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.4161 in 3271 4/20/2018 87
11238,2560.4301 in 3160 Never Never
11339,5140.4441 in 3062 9/4/2018 48
11440,7850.4581 in 2970 Never Never
11542,0770.4731 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.4871 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.5021 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.5171 in 2631 10/2/2018 40
11947,3840.5321 in 2551 12/28/2018 15
12048,7420.5481 in 2480 Never Never
12150,1150.5631 in 2421 12/26/2017 120
12251,4950.5791 in 2351 12/29/2017 119
12352,8890.5941 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.6101 in 2232 12/7/2018 21
12555,6970.6261 in 2172 3/16/2018 97
12657,1090.6421 in 2122 2/20/2018 104
12758,5310.6581 in 2071 2/13/2018 106
12859,9530.6741 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3820.6901 in 1971 2/27/2018 102
13062,8090.7061 in 1931 9/21/2018 43
13164,2410.7221 in 1882 8/31/2018 49
13265,6680.7381 in 1840 Never Never
13367,0970.7541 in 1801 4/24/2018 86
13468,5190.7701 in 1771 1/26/2018 111
13569,9410.7861 in 1730 Never Never
13671,3520.8021 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7600.8181 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1550.8331 in 1631 5/22/2018 78
13975,5440.8491 in 1601 11/23/2018 25
14076,9170.8641 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2800.8801 in 1550 Never Never
14279,6240.8951 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9560.9101 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2650.9241 in 1471 8/21/2018 52
14583,5580.9391 in 1453 12/25/2018 16
14684,8250.9531 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0730.9671 in 1412 6/15/2018 71
14887,2920.9811 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4880.9941 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6531.0071 in 1351 4/13/2018 89
15190,7921.0201 in 1331 7/20/2018 61
15291,8971.0331 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9731.0451 in 1302 1/25/2019 7
15494,0131.0561 in 1292 5/1/2018 84
15595,0221.0681 in 1270 Never Never
15695,9921.0791 in 1260 Never Never
15796,9281.0891 in 1250 Never Never
15897,8241.0991 in 1241 1/19/2018 113
15998,6841.1091 in 1231 2/8/2019 3
16099,5021.1181 in 1220 Never Never
161100,2811.1271 in 1210 Never Never
162101,0171.1351 in 1202 11/2/2018 31
163101,7131.1431 in 1190 Never Never
164102,3641.1501 in 1181 7/6/2018 65
165102,9731.1571 in 1182 11/20/2018 26
166103,5361.1631 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.1691 in 1162 8/17/2018 53
168104,5291.1751 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.1791 in 1150 Never Never
170105,3381.1841 in 1153 1/8/2019 12
171105,6731.1871 in 1151 1/11/2019 11
172105,9601.1911 in 1143 11/27/2018 24
173106,2001.1931 in 1141 11/9/2018 29
174106,3921.1961 in 1141 1/12/2018 115
175106,5371.1971 in 1142 3/30/2018 93
176106,6331.1981 in 1141 4/3/2018 92
177106,6811.1991 in 1131 6/8/2018 73
178106,6811.1991 in 1131 12/1/2017 127
179106,6331.1981 in 1141 1/22/2019 8
180106,5371.1971 in 1140 Never Never
181106,3921.1961 in 1142 9/7/2018 47
182106,2001.1931 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.1911 in 1140 Never Never
184105,6731.1871 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.1841 in 1152 10/30/2018 32
186104,9571.1791 in 1151 11/28/2017 128
187104,5291.1751 in 1161 6/19/2018 70
188104,0561.1691 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.1631 in 1170 Never Never
190102,9731.1571 in 1181 3/27/2018 94
191102,3641.1501 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7131.1431 in 1191 12/4/2018 22
193101,0171.1351 in 1202 5/29/2018 76
194100,2811.1271 in 1211 12/11/2018 20
19599,5021.1181 in 1222 10/9/2018 38
19698,6841.1091 in 1234 2/15/2019 1
19797,8241.0991 in 1241 10/5/2018 39
19896,9281.0891 in 1253 2/5/2019 4
19995,9921.0791 in 1262 1/4/2019 13
20095,0221.0681 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0131.0561 in 1291 2/12/2019 2
20292,9731.0451 in 1302 9/14/2018 45
20391,8971.0331 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7921.0201 in 1332 12/19/2017 122
20589,6531.0071 in 1351 10/12/2018 37
20688,4880.9941 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2920.9811 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0730.9671 in 1412 5/25/2018 77
20984,8250.9531 in 1433 7/13/2018 63
21083,5580.9391 in 1451 7/3/2018 66
21182,2650.9241 in 1471 2/16/2018 105
21280,9560.9101 in 1502 1/29/2019 6
21379,6240.8951 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2800.8801 in 1550 Never Never
21576,9170.8641 in 1573 10/26/2018 33
21675,5440.8491 in 1601 12/21/2018 17
21774,1550.8331 in 1630 Never Never
21872,7600.8181 in 1663 5/18/2018 79
21971,3520.8021 in 1702 1/18/2019 9
22069,9410.7861 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5190.7701 in 1772 2/1/2019 5
22267,0970.7541 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6680.7381 in 1840 Never Never
22464,2410.7221 in 1882 11/6/2018 30
22562,8090.7061 in 1931 9/11/2018 46
22661,3820.6901 in 1972 10/19/2018 35
22759,9530.6741 in 2021 10/16/2018 36
22858,5310.6581 in 2070 Never Never
22957,1090.6421 in 2120 Never Never
23055,6970.6261 in 2171 10/23/2018 34
23154,2870.6101 in 2231 11/24/2017 129
23252,8890.5941 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.5791 in 2350 Never Never
23450,1150.5631 in 2420 Never Never
23548,7420.5481 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.5321 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.5171 in 2632 9/18/2018 44
23844,7020.5021 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.4871 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.4731 in 2880 Never Never
24140,7850.4581 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.4441 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.4301 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.4161 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.4021 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.3891 in 3500 Never Never
24733,4160.3751 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.3621 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.3501 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.3371 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.3251 in 4191 9/28/2018 41
25227,8230.3131 in 4351 11/7/2017 134
25326,7670.3011 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.2891 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.2781 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.2671 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.2561 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.2451 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.2351 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.2251 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.2151 in 6311 1/15/2019 10
26218,3320.2061 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.1971 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.1881 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.1791 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.1711 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.1631 in 8361 1/1/2019 14
26813,7840.1551 in 8780 Never Never
26913,1070.1471 in 9231 11/16/2018 27
27012,4580.1401 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.1331 in 1,0231 11/13/2018 28
27211,2250.1261 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1201 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.1131 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.1071 in 1,2681 7/17/2018 62
2769,0270.1011 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.0961 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.0911 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.0851 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.0811 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.0761 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.0711 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.0671 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0631 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0591 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0551 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0521 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0491 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0451 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0421 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0391 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0371 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0341 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0321 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0291 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0271 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0251 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0231 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0211 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0201 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0181 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0171 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0151 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0141 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0131 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0111 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0101 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0091 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0081 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0081 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0071 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0061 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0051 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0051 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0041 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0041 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0031 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0031 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0021 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0021 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0011 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0011 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Saturday, 16 February 2019 05:39 AM