Mega Millions Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Mega Millions. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Ball Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Mega Ball and Megaplier are not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn in both cases.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 118 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
1830.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
1950.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
2070.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
21100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
22130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
23180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
24230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
25300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
26370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
27470.0001 in 257,5110 Never Never
28570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
29700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
30840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
311010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
321190.0011 in 101,7060 Never Never
331410.0011 in 85,8370 Never Never
341640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
351920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
362210.0021 in 54,7650 Never Never
372550.0021 in 47,4630 Never Never
382910.0031 in 41,5910 Never Never
393330.0031 in 36,3450 Never Never
403770.0041 in 32,1030 Never Never
414270.0041 in 28,3440 Never Never
424800.0051 in 25,2150 Never Never
435400.0051 in 22,4130 Never Never
446030.0061 in 20,0710 Never Never
456740.0071 in 17,9570 Never Never
467480.0071 in 16,1810 Never Never
478310.0081 in 14,5640 Never Never
489180.0091 in 13,1840 Never Never
491,0140.0101 in 11,9361 04/05/2018 65
501,1150.0111 in 10,8550 Never Never
511,2260.0121 in 9,8720 Never Never
521,3420.0131 in 9,0190 Never Never
531,4690.0141 in 8,2390 Never Never
541,6020.0161 in 7,5550 Never Never
551,7470.0171 in 6,9281 24/07/2018 42
561,8980.0191 in 6,3770 Never Never
572,0620.0201 in 5,8700 Never Never
582,2330.0221 in 5,4200 Never Never
592,4180.0241 in 5,0050 Never Never
602,6110.0251 in 4,6350 Never Never
612,8180.0271 in 4,2950 Never Never
623,0340.0301 in 3,9890 Never Never
633,2660.0321 in 3,7060 Never Never
643,5070.0341 in 3,4510 Never Never
653,7650.0371 in 3,2150 Never Never
664,0330.0391 in 3,0010 Never Never
674,3190.0421 in 2,8020 Never Never
684,6160.0451 in 2,6220 Never Never
694,9320.0481 in 2,4540 Never Never
705,2600.0511 in 2,3010 Never Never
715,6080.0551 in 2,1580 Never Never
725,9690.0581 in 2,0280 Never Never
736,3510.0621 in 1,9060 Never Never
746,7470.0661 in 1,7940 Never Never
757,1660.0701 in 1,6890 Never Never
767,5990.0741 in 1,5931 02/02/2018 91
778,0560.0791 in 1,5020 Never Never
788,5290.0831 in 1,4190 Never Never
799,0270.0881 in 1,3410 Never Never
809,5420.0931 in 1,2681 10/08/2018 37
8110,0820.0981 in 1,2000 Never Never
8210,6400.1041 in 1,1380 Never Never
8311,2250.1091 in 1,0780 Never Never
8411,8280.1151 in 1,0230 Never Never
8512,4580.1211 in 9720 Never Never
8613,1070.1281 in 9231 14/11/2017 114
8713,7840.1341 in 8782 24/08/2018 33
8814,4800.1411 in 8360 Never Never
8915,2040.1481 in 7960 Never Never
9015,9480.1551 in 7591 22/06/2018 51
9116,7200.1631 in 7240 Never Never
9217,5120.1711 in 6910 Never Never
9318,3320.1791 in 6600 Never Never
9419,1720.1871 in 6310 Never Never
9520,0410.1951 in 6040 Never Never
9620,9290.2041 in 5780 Never Never
9721,8450.2131 in 5540 Never Never
9822,7810.2221 in 5310 Never Never
9923,7450.2321 in 5100 Never Never
10024,7280.2411 in 4890 Never Never
10125,7380.2511 in 4700 Never Never
10226,7670.2611 in 4520 Never Never
10327,8230.2711 in 4350 Never Never
10428,8970.2821 in 4190 Never Never
10529,9970.2921 in 4031 06/03/2018 82
10631,1140.3031 in 3890 Never Never
10732,2570.3141 in 3751 12/12/2017 106
10833,4160.3261 in 3621 23/02/2018 85
10934,5990.3371 in 3501 21/11/2017 112
11035,7980.3491 in 3380 Never Never
11137,0200.3611 in 3271 20/04/2018 69
11238,2560.3731 in 3160 Never Never
11339,5140.3851 in 3062 04/09/2018 30
11440,7850.3981 in 2970 Never Never
11542,0770.4101 in 2880 Never Never
11643,3800.4231 in 2790 Never Never
11744,7020.4361 in 2710 Never Never
11846,0340.4491 in 2631 02/10/2018 22
11947,3840.4621 in 2550 Never Never
12048,7420.4751 in 2480 Never Never
12150,1150.4891 in 2421 26/12/2017 102
12251,4950.5021 in 2351 29/12/2017 101
12352,8890.5161 in 2290 Never Never
12454,2870.5291 in 2232 07/12/2018 3
12555,6970.5431 in 2172 16/03/2018 79
12657,1090.5571 in 2122 20/02/2018 86
12758,5310.5711 in 2071 13/02/2018 88
12859,9530.5851 in 2020 Never Never
12961,3820.5981 in 1971 27/02/2018 84
13062,8090.6121 in 1931 21/09/2018 25
13164,2410.6261 in 1882 31/08/2018 31
13265,6680.6401 in 1840 Never Never
13367,0970.6541 in 1801 24/04/2018 68
13468,5190.6681 in 1771 26/01/2018 93
13569,9410.6821 in 1730 Never Never
13671,3520.6961 in 1700 Never Never
13772,7600.7091 in 1660 Never Never
13874,1550.7231 in 1631 22/05/2018 60
13975,5440.7371 in 1601 23/11/2018 7
14076,9170.7501 in 1570 Never Never
14178,2800.7631 in 1550 Never Never
14279,6240.7761 in 1520 Never Never
14380,9560.7891 in 1500 Never Never
14482,2650.8021 in 1471 21/08/2018 34
14583,5580.8151 in 1452 14/12/2018 1
14684,8250.8271 in 1430 Never Never
14786,0730.8391 in 1412 15/06/2018 53
14887,2920.8511 in 1390 Never Never
14988,4880.8631 in 1370 Never Never
15089,6530.8741 in 1351 13/04/2018 71
15190,7920.8851 in 1331 20/07/2018 43
15291,8970.8961 in 1320 Never Never
15392,9730.9061 in 1301 15/12/2017 105
15494,0130.9171 in 1292 01/05/2018 66
15595,0220.9261 in 1270 Never Never
15695,9920.9361 in 1260 Never Never
15796,9280.9451 in 1250 Never Never
15897,8240.9541 in 1241 19/01/2018 95
15998,6840.9621 in 1230 Never Never
16099,5020.9701 in 1220 Never Never
161100,2810.9781 in 1210 Never Never
162101,0170.9851 in 1202 02/11/2018 13
163101,7130.9921 in 1190 Never Never
164102,3640.9981 in 1181 06/07/2018 47
165102,9731.0041 in 1182 20/11/2018 8
166103,5361.0091 in 1170 Never Never
167104,0561.0151 in 1162 17/08/2018 35
168104,5291.0191 in 1160 Never Never
169104,9571.0231 in 1150 Never Never
170105,3381.0271 in 1152 26/06/2018 50
171105,6731.0301 in 1150 Never Never
172105,9601.0331 in 1143 27/11/2018 6
173106,2001.0351 in 1141 09/11/2018 11
174106,3921.0371 in 1141 12/01/2018 97
175106,5371.0391 in 1142 30/03/2018 75
176106,6331.0401 in 1141 03/04/2018 74
177106,6811.0401 in 1131 08/06/2018 55
178106,6811.0401 in 1131 01/12/2017 109
179106,6331.0401 in 1140 Never Never
180106,5371.0391 in 1140 Never Never
181106,3921.0371 in 1142 07/09/2018 29
182106,2001.0351 in 1140 Never Never
183105,9601.0331 in 1140 Never Never
184105,6731.0301 in 1150 Never Never
185105,3381.0271 in 1152 30/10/2018 14
186104,9571.0231 in 1151 28/11/2017 110
187104,5291.0191 in 1161 19/06/2018 52
188104,0561.0151 in 1160 Never Never
189103,5361.0091 in 1170 Never Never
190102,9731.0041 in 1181 27/03/2018 76
191102,3640.9981 in 1180 Never Never
192101,7130.9921 in 1191 04/12/2018 4
193101,0170.9851 in 1202 29/05/2018 58
194100,2810.9781 in 1211 11/12/2018 2
19599,5020.9701 in 1222 09/10/2018 20
19698,6840.9621 in 1232 05/06/2018 56
19797,8240.9541 in 1241 05/10/2018 21
19896,9280.9451 in 1252 29/06/2018 49
19995,9920.9361 in 1261 30/11/2018 5
20095,0220.9261 in 1270 Never Never
20194,0130.9171 in 1290 Never Never
20292,9730.9061 in 1302 14/09/2018 27
20391,8970.8961 in 1320 Never Never
20490,7920.8851 in 1332 19/12/2017 104
20589,6530.8741 in 1351 12/10/2018 19
20688,4880.8631 in 1370 Never Never
20787,2920.8511 in 1390 Never Never
20886,0730.8391 in 1412 25/05/2018 59
20984,8250.8271 in 1433 13/07/2018 45
21083,5580.8151 in 1451 03/07/2018 48
21182,2650.8021 in 1471 16/02/2018 87
21280,9560.7891 in 1501 17/11/2017 113
21379,6240.7761 in 1520 Never Never
21478,2800.7631 in 1550 Never Never
21576,9170.7501 in 1573 26/10/2018 15
21675,5440.7371 in 1600 Never Never
21774,1550.7231 in 1630 Never Never
21872,7600.7091 in 1663 18/05/2018 61
21971,3520.6961 in 1701 08/12/2017 107
22069,9410.6821 in 1730 Never Never
22168,5190.6681 in 1771 06/04/2018 73
22267,0970.6541 in 1800 Never Never
22365,6680.6401 in 1840 Never Never
22464,2410.6261 in 1882 06/11/2018 12
22562,8090.6121 in 1931 11/09/2018 28
22661,3820.5981 in 1972 19/10/2018 17
22759,9530.5851 in 2021 16/10/2018 18
22858,5310.5711 in 2070 Never Never
22957,1090.5571 in 2120 Never Never
23055,6970.5431 in 2171 23/10/2018 16
23154,2870.5291 in 2231 24/11/2017 111
23252,8890.5161 in 2290 Never Never
23351,4950.5021 in 2350 Never Never
23450,1150.4891 in 2420 Never Never
23548,7420.4751 in 2480 Never Never
23647,3840.4621 in 2550 Never Never
23746,0340.4491 in 2632 18/09/2018 26
23844,7020.4361 in 2710 Never Never
23943,3800.4231 in 2790 Never Never
24042,0770.4101 in 2880 Never Never
24140,7850.3981 in 2970 Never Never
24239,5140.3851 in 3060 Never Never
24338,2560.3731 in 3160 Never Never
24437,0200.3611 in 3270 Never Never
24535,7980.3491 in 3380 Never Never
24634,5990.3371 in 3500 Never Never
24733,4160.3261 in 3620 Never Never
24832,2570.3141 in 3750 Never Never
24931,1140.3031 in 3890 Never Never
25029,9970.2921 in 4030 Never Never
25128,8970.2821 in 4191 28/09/2018 23
25227,8230.2711 in 4351 07/11/2017 116
25326,7670.2611 in 4520 Never Never
25425,7380.2511 in 4700 Never Never
25524,7280.2411 in 4890 Never Never
25623,7450.2321 in 5100 Never Never
25722,7810.2221 in 5310 Never Never
25821,8450.2131 in 5540 Never Never
25920,9290.2041 in 5780 Never Never
26020,0410.1951 in 6040 Never Never
26119,1720.1871 in 6310 Never Never
26218,3320.1791 in 6600 Never Never
26317,5120.1711 in 6910 Never Never
26416,7200.1631 in 7240 Never Never
26515,9480.1551 in 7590 Never Never
26615,2040.1481 in 7960 Never Never
26714,4800.1411 in 8360 Never Never
26813,7840.1341 in 8780 Never Never
26913,1070.1281 in 9231 16/11/2018 9
27012,4580.1211 in 9720 Never Never
27111,8280.1151 in 1,0231 13/11/2018 10
27211,2250.1091 in 1,0780 Never Never
27310,6400.1041 in 1,1380 Never Never
27410,0820.0981 in 1,2000 Never Never
2759,5420.0931 in 1,2681 17/07/2018 44
2769,0270.0881 in 1,3410 Never Never
2778,5290.0831 in 1,4190 Never Never
2788,0560.0791 in 1,5020 Never Never
2797,5990.0741 in 1,5930 Never Never
2807,1660.0701 in 1,6890 Never Never
2816,7470.0661 in 1,7940 Never Never
2826,3510.0621 in 1,9060 Never Never
2835,9690.0581 in 2,0280 Never Never
2845,6080.0551 in 2,1580 Never Never
2855,2600.0511 in 2,3010 Never Never
2864,9320.0481 in 2,4540 Never Never
2874,6160.0451 in 2,6220 Never Never
2884,3190.0421 in 2,8020 Never Never
2894,0330.0391 in 3,0010 Never Never
2903,7650.0371 in 3,2150 Never Never
2913,5070.0341 in 3,4510 Never Never
2923,2660.0321 in 3,7060 Never Never
2933,0340.0301 in 3,9890 Never Never
2942,8180.0271 in 4,2950 Never Never
2952,6110.0251 in 4,6350 Never Never
2962,4180.0241 in 5,0050 Never Never
2972,2330.0221 in 5,4200 Never Never
2982,0620.0201 in 5,8700 Never Never
2991,8980.0191 in 6,3770 Never Never
3001,7470.0171 in 6,9280 Never Never
3011,6020.0161 in 7,5550 Never Never
3021,4690.0141 in 8,2390 Never Never
3031,3420.0131 in 9,0190 Never Never
3041,2260.0121 in 9,8720 Never Never
3051,1150.0111 in 10,8550 Never Never
3061,0140.0101 in 11,9360 Never Never
3079180.0091 in 13,1840 Never Never
3088310.0081 in 14,5640 Never Never
3097480.0071 in 16,1810 Never Never
3106740.0071 in 17,9570 Never Never
3116030.0061 in 20,0710 Never Never
3125400.0051 in 22,4130 Never Never
3134800.0051 in 25,2150 Never Never
3144270.0041 in 28,3440 Never Never
3153770.0041 in 32,1030 Never Never
3163330.0031 in 36,3450 Never Never
3172910.0031 in 41,5910 Never Never
3182550.0021 in 47,4630 Never Never
3192210.0021 in 54,7650 Never Never
3201920.0021 in 63,0370 Never Never
3211640.0021 in 73,7990 Never Never
3221410.0011 in 85,8370 Never Never
3231190.0011 in 101,7060 Never Never
3241010.0011 in 119,8320 Never Never
325840.0011 in 144,0840 Never Never
326700.0011 in 172,9000 Never Never
327570.0011 in 212,3340 Never Never
328470.0001 in 257,5110 Never Never
329370.0001 in 327,1090 Never Never
330300.0001 in 403,4340 Never Never
331230.0001 in 526,2180 Never Never
332180.0001 in 672,3900 Never Never
333130.0001 in 931,0010 Never Never
334100.0001 in 1,210,3010 Never Never
33570.0001 in 1,729,0020 Never Never
33650.0001 in 2,420,6030 Never Never
33730.0001 in 4,034,3380 Never Never
33820.0001 in 6,051,5070 Never Never
33910.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never
34010.0001 in 12,103,0100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Friday, 14 December 2018 12:00 AM