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Thunderball Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for Thunderball. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Thunderball data is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 2,283 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.004 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
16 1 0.004 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
17 2 0.008 1 in 287,878 0 Never Never
18 3 0.012 1 in 191,919 0 Never Never
19 5 0.020 1 in 115,151 0 Never Never
20 7 0.028 1 in 82,251 0 Never Never
21 10 0.040 1 in 57,575 0 Never Never
22 13 0.052 1 in 44,289 0 Never Never
23 18 0.071 1 in 31,986 0 Never Never
24 23 0.091 1 in 25,032 1 29/08/2020 534
25 30 0.119 1 in 19,191 1 20/05/2016 1,339
26 37 0.147 1 in 15,561 0 Never Never
27 47 0.186 1 in 12,250 0 Never Never
28 57 0.226 1 in 10,101 1 19/06/2015 1,483
29 70 0.278 1 in 8,225 0 Never Never
30 84 0.333 1 in 6,854 1 13/07/2016 1,316
31 101 0.400 1 in 5,700 0 Never Never
32 119 0.472 1 in 4,838 0 Never Never
33 141 0.559 1 in 4,083 1 07/05/2021 391
34 164 0.650 1 in 3,510 1 30/12/2020 464
35 192 0.761 1 in 2,998 0 Never Never
36 221 0.876 1 in 2,605 1 02/03/2022 220
37 255 1.011 1 in 2,257 3 11/06/2019 789
38 291 1.154 1 in 1,978 0 Never Never
39 333 1.320 1 in 1,729 1 23/02/2018 1,059
40 377 1.495 1 in 1,527 2 18/04/2018 1,028
41 427 1.693 1 in 1,348 0 Never Never
42 480 1.903 1 in 1,199 1 21/12/2016 1,247
43 540 2.141 1 in 1,066 6 28/06/2022 153
44 603 2.391 1 in 954 2 14/02/2020 647
45 674 2.673 1 in 854 1 17/12/2021 263
46 748 2.966 1 in 769 1 01/01/2022 254
47 831 3.295 1 in 692 2 25/09/2019 728
48 918 3.640 1 in 627 2 01/08/2014 1,621 Overdue
49 1,014 4.021 1 in 567 5 22/05/2020 591
50 1,114 4.417 1 in 516 7 07/12/2022 60
51 1,224 4.853 1 in 470 4 04/03/2023 10
52 1,338 5.305 1 in 430 2 16/11/2022 72
53 1,462 5.797 1 in 393 8 18/10/2022 89
54 1,590 6.305 1 in 362 5 14/04/2020 613
55 1,729 6.856 1 in 333 9 08/10/2021 303
56 1,871 7.419 1 in 307 9 11/12/2020 475
57 2,024 8.026 1 in 284 11 22/09/2021 312
58 2,180 8.644 1 in 264 9 23/11/2022 68
59 2,347 9.306 1 in 245 13 28/12/2022 48
60 2,517 9.980 1 in 228 6 08/08/2015 1,461 Overdue
61 2,697 10.694 1 in 213 14 14/08/2021 334
62 2,879 11.416 1 in 199 4 12/09/2020 526 Overdue
63 3,072 12.181 1 in 187 16 11/02/2023 22
64 3,266 12.950 1 in 176 10 04/01/2023 44
65 3,470 13.759 1 in 165 13 09/09/2022 111
66 3,674 14.568 1 in 156 18 16/04/2022 194
67 3,888 15.417 1 in 148 12 19/02/2022 226
68 4,101 16.261 1 in 140 15 16/08/2022 125
69 4,323 17.142 1 in 133 15 13/01/2023 39
70 4,543 18.014 1 in 126 18 20/12/2022 53
71 4,771 18.918 1 in 120 15 25/01/2022 241 Overdue
72 4,996 19.810 1 in 115 24 11/10/2022 93
73 5,228 20.730 1 in 110 13 10/03/2023 7
74 5,455 21.630 1 in 105 20 26/10/2021 293 Overdue
75 5,689 22.558 1 in 101 22 13/09/2022 109
76 5,916 23.458 1 in 97 21 31/01/2023 29
77 6,148 24.378 1 in 93 26 27/12/2022 49
78 6,372 25.266 1 in 90 25 03/02/2023 27
79 6,600 26.170 1 in 87 28 22/02/2023 16
80 6,818 27.035 1 in 84 24 04/02/2023 26
81 7,038 27.907 1 in 81 25 24/01/2023 33
82 7,246 28.732 1 in 79 26 14/03/2023 5
83 7,455 29.561 1 in 77 28 21/03/2023 1
84 7,650 30.334 1 in 75 35 24/02/2023 15
85 7,844 31.103 1 in 73 32 01/02/2023 28
86 8,022 31.809 1 in 71 22 10/02/2023 23
87 8,198 32.507 1 in 70 34 31/12/2022 46
88 8,357 33.137 1 in 68 39 13/05/2022 179 Overdue
89 8,512 33.752 1 in 67 25 15/10/2022 90
90 8,649 34.295 1 in 66 40 14/01/2023 38
91 8,781 34.819 1 in 65 34 07/03/2023 9
92 8,894 35.267 1 in 64 29 20/01/2023 35
93 9,001 35.691 1 in 63 47 10/05/2022 181 Overdue
94 9,088 36.036 1 in 63 30 03/08/2022 132 Overdue
95 9,169 36.357 1 in 62 45 17/09/2022 106
96 9,229 36.595 1 in 62 49 15/03/2023 4
97 9,282 36.805 1 in 62 32 26/11/2022 66
98 9,314 36.932 1 in 61 25 01/04/2022 203 Overdue
99 9,339 37.031 1 in 61 39 24/12/2022 50
100 9,343 37.047 1 in 61 40 05/08/2022 131 Overdue
101 9,339 37.031 1 in 61 36 25/02/2023 14
102 9,314 36.932 1 in 61 29 23/09/2022 103
103 9,282 36.805 1 in 62 40 28/02/2023 13
104 9,229 36.595 1 in 62 47 15/11/2022 73
105 9,169 36.357 1 in 62 36 22/03/2023 0
106 9,088 36.036 1 in 63 31 01/03/2023 12
107 9,001 35.691 1 in 63 50 08/03/2023 8
108 8,894 35.267 1 in 64 31 17/03/2023 3
109 8,781 34.819 1 in 65 43 07/02/2023 25
110 8,649 34.295 1 in 66 31 11/05/2022 180 Overdue
111 8,512 33.752 1 in 67 27 11/03/2023 6
112 8,357 33.137 1 in 68 37 14/02/2023 21
113 8,198 32.507 1 in 70 39 03/01/2023 45
114 8,022 31.809 1 in 71 19 08/07/2022 147 Overdue
115 7,844 31.103 1 in 73 27 25/10/2022 85
116 7,650 30.334 1 in 75 35 18/01/2023 36
117 7,455 29.561 1 in 77 33 20/08/2022 122
118 7,246 28.732 1 in 79 30 18/11/2022 71
119 7,038 27.907 1 in 81 25 28/05/2022 170 Overdue
120 6,818 27.035 1 in 84 20 30/11/2022 64
121 6,600 26.170 1 in 87 15 31/07/2020 551 Overdue
122 6,372 25.266 1 in 90 28 21/02/2023 17
123 6,148 24.378 1 in 93 31 18/03/2023 2
124 5,916 23.458 1 in 97 26 10/12/2022 58
125 5,689 22.558 1 in 101 31 28/01/2023 30
126 5,455 21.630 1 in 105 17 17/12/2022 54
127 5,228 20.730 1 in 110 22 03/03/2023 11
128 4,996 19.810 1 in 115 25 29/11/2022 65
129 4,771 18.918 1 in 120 27 26/06/2021 362 Overdue
130 4,543 18.014 1 in 126 15 21/09/2022 104
131 4,323 17.142 1 in 133 16 01/05/2021 394 Overdue
132 4,101 16.261 1 in 140 23 08/02/2023 24
133 3,888 15.417 1 in 148 20 30/07/2022 134
134 3,674 14.568 1 in 156 11 16/02/2022 228
135 3,470 13.759 1 in 165 16 28/09/2022 100
136 3,266 12.950 1 in 176 8 25/05/2022 172
137 3,072 12.181 1 in 187 16 29/10/2022 82
138 2,879 11.416 1 in 199 6 27/05/2022 171
139 2,697 10.694 1 in 213 8 08/10/2022 94
140 2,517 9.980 1 in 228 10 01/06/2021 377
141 2,347 9.306 1 in 245 12 01/10/2022 98
142 2,180 8.644 1 in 264 12 26/10/2022 84
143 2,024 8.026 1 in 284 4 05/05/2020 601 Overdue
144 1,871 7.419 1 in 307 7 15/02/2023 20
145 1,729 6.856 1 in 333 6 22/09/2020 521
146 1,590 6.305 1 in 362 2 12/01/2021 457
147 1,462 5.797 1 in 393 9 04/11/2022 79
148 1,338 5.305 1 in 430 5 01/09/2021 324
149 1,224 4.853 1 in 470 8 19/09/2020 522
150 1,114 4.417 1 in 516 4 14/12/2022 56
151 1,014 4.021 1 in 567 5 27/07/2019 762
152 918 3.640 1 in 627 1 26/01/2011 2,171 Overdue
153 831 3.295 1 in 692 2 05/06/2021 374
154 748 2.966 1 in 769 2 20/07/2016 1,313
155 674 2.673 1 in 854 2 18/03/2016 1,366
156 603 2.391 1 in 954 4 25/12/2021 258
157 540 2.141 1 in 1,066 1 22/03/2022 209
158 480 1.903 1 in 1,199 1 30/09/2016 1,282
159 427 1.693 1 in 1,348 4 21/07/2018 974
160 377 1.495 1 in 1,527 0 Never Never
161 333 1.320 1 in 1,729 2 05/08/2020 548
162 291 1.154 1 in 1,978 2 21/01/2023 34
163 255 1.011 1 in 2,257 1 19/01/2019 870
164 221 0.876 1 in 2,605 0 Never Never
165 192 0.761 1 in 2,998 1 21/08/2021 330
166 164 0.650 1 in 3,510 3 30/12/2022 47
167 141 0.559 1 in 4,083 0 Never Never
168 119 0.472 1 in 4,838 1 20/05/2022 175
169 101 0.400 1 in 5,700 0 Never Never
170 84 0.333 1 in 6,854 0 Never Never
171 70 0.278 1 in 8,225 0 Never Never
172 57 0.226 1 in 10,101 0 Never Never
173 47 0.186 1 in 12,250 0 Never Never
174 37 0.147 1 in 15,561 0 Never Never
175 30 0.119 1 in 19,191 0 Never Never
176 23 0.091 1 in 25,032 0 Never Never
177 18 0.071 1 in 31,986 0 Never Never
178 13 0.052 1 in 44,289 0 Never Never
179 10 0.040 1 in 57,575 0 Never Never
180 7 0.028 1 in 82,251 0 Never Never
181 5 0.020 1 in 115,151 0 Never Never
182 3 0.012 1 in 191,919 0 Never Never
183 2 0.008 1 in 287,878 0 Never Never
184 1 0.004 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never
185 1 0.004 1 in 575,757 0 Never Never


Page Last Updated: Wednesday, 22nd March 2023 9:21 pm

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