El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 735 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0231 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0331 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0381 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0451 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0511 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0591 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0681 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0771 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0881 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.0991 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1121 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1261 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1401 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1571 in 4,6921 3/18/2018 53
467480.1741 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.1931 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2131 in 3,4451 5/1/2016 151
491,0140.2361 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2591 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2851 in 2,5801 6/10/2012 354
521,3420.3121 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3411 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3721 in 1,9741 5/22/2011 407
551,7470.4061 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4411 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.4791 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5191 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5621 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.6071 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6551 in 1,1221 1/27/2008 580
623,0340.7051 in 1,0421 6/25/2017 91
633,2660.7591 in 9681 7/30/2006 658
643,5070.8151 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.8751 in 8403 10/31/2010 436
664,0310.9371 in 7851 8/24/2014 239
674,3151.0031 in 7331 4/8/2006 674
684,6091.0711 in 6862 4/23/2017 100
694,9201.1431 in 6431 12/24/2006 637
705,2421.2181 in 6033 6/12/2016 145
715,5811.2971 in 5674 8/14/2016 136
725,9311.3781 in 5332 12/10/2017 67
736,2981.4641 in 5022 5/22/2016 148
746,6761.5521 in 4741 9/25/2016 130
757,0721.6441 in 4473 2/1/2015 216
767,4781.7381 in 4231 2/5/2017 111
777,9011.8361 in 4003 10/21/2018 22
788,3351.9371 in 3792 8/26/2018 30
798,7862.0421 in 3604 2/11/2018 58
809,2472.1491 in 3422 12/30/2012 325
819,7242.2601 in 3251 6/3/2012 355
8210,2112.3731 in 3102 4/2/2017 103
8310,7142.4901 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.6091 in 2822 3/3/2019 3
8511,7532.7321 in 2691 9/26/2010 441
8612,2882.8561 in 2571 6/24/2012 352
8712,8382.9841 in 2465 8/7/2016 137
8813,3953.1131 in 2364 4/14/2013 310
8913,9653.2461 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.3801 in 21710 11/5/2017 72
9115,1313.5171 in 2093 9/20/2015 183
9215,7253.6551 in 2013 2/22/2015 213
9316,3303.7951 in 1945 6/29/2014 247
9416,9393.9371 in 1873 8/28/2016 134
9517,5584.0811 in 1809 7/31/2016 138
9618,1794.2251 in 1742 6/5/2016 146
9718,8084.3711 in 1684 8/22/2010 446Overdue
9819,4384.5181 in 1635 4/3/2016 155
9920,0754.6661 in 1581 1/21/2018 61
10020,7114.8131 in 1534 5/27/2018 43
10121,3514.9621 in 1482 3/15/2015 210
10221,9895.1101 in 1444 4/9/2017 102
10322,6305.2591 in 1401 7/1/2007 610Overdue
10423,2665.4071 in 1365 4/7/2013 311Overdue
10523,9035.5551 in 1325 6/24/2018 39
10624,5335.7021 in 1295 9/16/2018 27
10725,1625.8481 in 1268 6/14/2015 197
10825,7825.9921 in 1238 9/10/2017 80
10926,3986.1351 in 1206 10/28/2018 21
11027,0036.2761 in 1172 6/19/2016 144
11127,6026.4151 in 1155 7/28/2013 295Overdue
11228,1876.5511 in 1123 1/20/2019 9
11328,7636.6851 in 1104 6/10/2018 41
11429,3236.8151 in 1088 9/21/2014 235Overdue
11529,8726.9431 in 1066 8/19/2018 31
11630,4027.0661 in 1045 5/15/2016 149
11730,9187.1861 in 10211 4/16/2017 101
11831,4147.3011 in 1017 7/17/2016 140
11931,8947.4121 in 99.29 2/25/2018 56
12032,3527.5191 in 97.87 12/3/2017 68
12132,7917.6211 in 96.412 9/2/2018 29
12233,2077.7181 in 95.212 5/13/2018 45
12333,6037.8101 in 94.110 10/14/2012 336Overdue
12433,9747.8961 in 93.112 8/23/2015 187Overdue
12534,3237.9771 in 92.17 12/9/2018 15
12634,6468.0521 in 91.312 12/16/2018 14
12734,9468.1221 in 90.55 3/29/2015 208Overdue
12835,2198.1851 in 89.88 8/20/2017 83
12935,4678.2431 in 89.26 3/11/2018 54
13035,6888.2941 in 88.68 5/14/2017 97
13135,8838.3401 in 88.110 12/30/2018 12
13236,0508.3781 in 87.77 9/23/2018 26
13336,1908.4111 in 87.411 4/15/2018 49
13436,3028.4371 in 87.110 11/25/2018 17
13536,3878.4571 in 86.94 5/18/2014 253Overdue
13636,4438.4701 in 86.88 2/24/2019 4
13736,4718.4761 in 86.79 10/8/2017 76
13836,4718.4761 in 86.710 9/3/2017 81
13936,4438.4701 in 86.84 4/8/2018 50
14036,3878.4571 in 86.910 2/4/2018 59
14136,3028.4371 in 87.17 11/23/2014 226Overdue
14236,1908.4111 in 87.45 3/10/2019 2
14336,0508.3781 in 87.76 12/2/2018 16
14435,8838.3401 in 88.17 8/6/2017 85
14535,6888.2941 in 88.69 3/19/2017 105
14635,4678.2431 in 89.24 3/17/2019 1
14735,2198.1851 in 89.86 6/22/2014 248Overdue
14834,9468.1221 in 90.512 6/3/2018 42
14934,6468.0521 in 91.38 11/22/2015 174
15034,3237.9771 in 92.16 7/22/2018 35
15133,9747.8961 in 93.18 4/1/2018 51
15233,6037.8101 in 94.114 8/27/2017 82
15333,2077.7181 in 95.211 9/4/2016 133
15432,7917.6211 in 96.43 11/29/2015 173
15532,3527.5191 in 97.87 7/15/2018 36
15631,8947.4121 in 99.27 7/23/2017 87
15731,4147.3011 in 1015 10/16/2016 127
15830,9187.1861 in 1027 11/11/2018 19
15930,4027.0661 in 1044 8/2/2015 190
16029,8726.9431 in 1066 1/18/2015 218Overdue
16129,3236.8151 in 1088 2/17/2019 5
16228,7636.6851 in 1107 2/10/2019 6
16328,1876.5511 in 1128 1/13/2019 10
16427,6026.4151 in 1158 5/20/2018 44
16527,0036.2761 in 1174 11/4/2018 20
16626,3986.1351 in 1206 11/20/2016 122
16725,7825.9921 in 1239 4/6/2014 259Overdue
16825,1625.8481 in 1267 10/14/2018 23
16924,5335.7021 in 1296 6/26/2016 143
17023,9035.5551 in 1327 1/27/2019 8
17123,2665.4071 in 1368 11/12/2017 71
17222,6305.2591 in 1404 11/18/2018 18
17321,9895.1101 in 1446 7/1/2018 38
17421,3514.9621 in 1484 8/16/2015 188
17520,7114.8131 in 1536 3/26/2017 104
17620,0754.6661 in 1584 10/19/2014 231
17719,4384.5181 in 1633 10/17/2010 438Overdue
17818,8084.3711 in 1682 12/1/2013 277
17918,1794.2251 in 1742 3/5/2017 107
18017,5584.0811 in 1806 8/4/2013 294
18116,9393.9371 in 1874 12/8/2013 276
18216,3303.7951 in 1942 10/6/2013 285
18315,7253.6551 in 2016 10/7/2018 24
18415,1313.5171 in 2093 1/13/2013 323
18514,5423.3801 in 2174 8/12/2012 345
18613,9653.2461 in 2265 5/6/2018 46
18713,3953.1131 in 2365 1/8/2017 115
18812,8382.9841 in 2461 9/21/2008 546Overdue
18912,2882.8561 in 2574 9/2/2012 342
19011,7532.7321 in 2693 9/22/2013 287
19111,2262.6091 in 2822 5/17/2015 201
19210,7142.4901 in 2952 2/8/2009 526
19310,2112.3731 in 3102 8/12/2018 32
1949,7242.2601 in 3251 10/28/2007 593
1959,2472.1491 in 3422 2/16/2014 266
1968,7862.0421 in 3602 1/29/2017 112
1978,3351.9371 in 3792 10/1/2017 77
1987,9011.8361 in 4001 11/16/2014 227
1997,4781.7381 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.6441 in 4475 2/18/2018 57
2016,6761.5521 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.4641 in 5022 11/26/2006 641
2035,9311.3781 in 5332 11/13/2016 123
2045,5811.2971 in 5671 6/8/2014 250
2055,2421.2181 in 6035 7/16/2017 88
2064,9201.1431 in 6431 7/22/2007 607
2074,6091.0711 in 6861 10/26/2014 230
2084,3151.0031 in 7332 8/24/2008 550
2094,0310.9371 in 7852 12/2/2007 588
2103,7640.8751 in 8401 4/1/2006 675
2113,5070.8151 in 9021 1/26/2014 269
2123,2660.7591 in 9681 8/12/2007 604
2133,0340.7051 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6551 in 1,1221 11/20/2011 381
2152,6110.6071 in 1,2112 11/9/2008 539
2162,4180.5621 in 1,3080 Never Never
2172,2330.5191 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.4791 in 1,5341 7/29/2007 606
2191,8980.4411 in 1,6661 2/3/2019 7
2201,7470.4061 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3721 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3411 in 2,1532 8/9/2015 189
2231,3420.3121 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2851 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2591 in 2,8362 12/23/2018 13
2261,0140.2361 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2131 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.1931 in 3,8061 3/7/2010 470
2297480.1741 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1571 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1401 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1261 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1121 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.0991 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0881 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0771 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0681 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0591 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0511 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0451 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0381 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0331 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0231 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 18 March 2019 09:08 AM