El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 803 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
17 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
18 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
19 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
20 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
21 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
22 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
23 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
24 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
25 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
26 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
27 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
28 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
29 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
30 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
31 101 0.026 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
32 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
33 141 0.036 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
34 164 0.042 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
35 192 0.049 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
36 221 0.056 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
37 255 0.065 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
38 291 0.074 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
39 333 0.085 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
40 377 0.096 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
41 427 0.108 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
42 480 0.122 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
43 540 0.137 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
44 603 0.153 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
45 674 0.171 1 in 4,692 1 3/18/2018 121
46 748 0.190 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
47 831 0.211 1 in 3,806 0 Never Never
48 918 0.233 1 in 3,445 1 5/1/2016 219
49 1,014 0.257 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
50 1,115 0.283 1 in 2,836 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.311 1 in 2,580 1 6/10/2012 422
52 1,342 0.341 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.373 1 in 2,153 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.407 1 in 1,974 1 5/22/2011 475
55 1,747 0.444 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
56 1,898 0.482 1 in 1,666 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.524 1 in 1,534 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.567 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.614 1 in 1,308 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.663 1 in 1,211 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.716 1 in 1,122 1 1/27/2008 648
62 3,034 0.770 1 in 1,042 1 6/25/2017 159
63 3,266 0.829 1 in 968 1 7/30/2006 726
64 3,507 0.890 1 in 902 0 Never Never
65 3,764 0.956 1 in 840 3 10/31/2010 504
66 4,031 1.024 1 in 785 1 8/24/2014 307
67 4,315 1.096 1 in 733 2 3/1/2020 19
68 4,609 1.170 1 in 686 2 4/23/2017 168
69 4,920 1.249 1 in 643 1 12/24/2006 705
70 5,242 1.331 1 in 603 3 6/12/2016 213
71 5,581 1.417 1 in 567 4 8/14/2016 204
72 5,931 1.506 1 in 533 2 12/10/2017 135
73 6,298 1.599 1 in 502 2 5/22/2016 216
74 6,676 1.695 1 in 474 1 9/25/2016 198
75 7,072 1.796 1 in 447 3 2/1/2015 284
76 7,478 1.899 1 in 423 2 3/24/2019 68
77 7,901 2.006 1 in 400 3 10/21/2018 90
78 8,335 2.116 1 in 379 3 4/28/2019 63
79 8,786 2.231 1 in 360 5 7/5/2020 11
80 9,247 2.348 1 in 342 3 6/9/2019 57
81 9,724 2.469 1 in 325 2 4/7/2019 66
82 10,211 2.593 1 in 310 2 4/2/2017 171
83 10,714 2.720 1 in 295 0 Never Never Overdue
84 11,226 2.850 1 in 282 4 9/29/2019 41
85 11,753 2.984 1 in 269 1 9/26/2010 509
86 12,288 3.120 1 in 257 1 6/24/2012 420
87 12,838 3.260 1 in 246 6 3/15/2020 17
88 13,395 3.401 1 in 236 4 4/14/2013 378
89 13,965 3.546 1 in 226 0 Never Never Overdue
90 14,542 3.692 1 in 217 10 11/5/2017 140
91 15,131 3.842 1 in 209 3 9/20/2015 251
92 15,725 3.993 1 in 201 4 3/31/2019 67
93 16,330 4.146 1 in 194 5 6/29/2014 315
94 16,939 4.301 1 in 187 3 8/28/2016 202
95 17,558 4.458 1 in 180 9 7/31/2016 206
96 18,179 4.616 1 in 174 2 6/5/2016 214
97 18,808 4.776 1 in 168 4 8/22/2010 514 Overdue
98 19,438 4.936 1 in 163 6 12/15/2019 30
99 20,075 5.097 1 in 158 1 1/21/2018 129
100 20,711 5.259 1 in 153 5 12/8/2019 31
101 21,351 5.421 1 in 148 3 7/28/2019 50
102 21,989 5.583 1 in 144 4 4/9/2017 170
103 22,630 5.746 1 in 140 2 8/18/2019 47
104 23,266 5.908 1 in 136 6 9/8/2019 44
105 23,903 6.069 1 in 132 5 6/24/2018 107
106 24,533 6.229 1 in 129 7 6/21/2020 13
107 25,162 6.389 1 in 126 8 6/14/2015 265 Overdue
108 25,782 6.546 1 in 123 8 9/10/2017 148
109 26,398 6.703 1 in 120 6 10/28/2018 89
110 27,003 6.856 1 in 117 2 6/19/2016 212
111 27,602 7.008 1 in 115 5 7/28/2013 363 Overdue
112 28,187 7.157 1 in 112 3 1/20/2019 77
113 28,763 7.303 1 in 110 5 6/23/2019 55
114 29,323 7.445 1 in 108 8 9/21/2014 303 Overdue
115 29,872 7.585 1 in 106 7 12/29/2019 28
116 30,402 7.719 1 in 104 5 5/15/2016 217 Overdue
117 30,918 7.850 1 in 102 11 4/16/2017 169
118 31,414 7.976 1 in 101 7 7/17/2016 208 Overdue
119 31,894 8.098 1 in 99.2 9 2/25/2018 124
120 32,352 8.215 1 in 97.8 7 12/3/2017 136
121 32,791 8.326 1 in 96.4 16 5/31/2020 16
122 33,207 8.432 1 in 95.2 12 5/13/2018 113
123 33,603 8.532 1 in 94.1 11 10/6/2019 40
124 33,974 8.626 1 in 93.1 14 8/23/2020 4
125 34,323 8.715 1 in 92.1 9 6/7/2020 15
126 34,646 8.797 1 in 91.3 15 2/9/2020 22
127 34,946 8.873 1 in 90.5 7 9/6/2020 2
128 35,219 8.943 1 in 89.8 10 2/2/2020 23
129 35,467 9.006 1 in 89.2 6 3/11/2018 122
130 35,688 9.062 1 in 88.6 8 5/14/2017 165
131 35,883 9.111 1 in 88.1 10 12/30/2018 80
132 36,050 9.154 1 in 87.7 8 8/30/2020 3
133 36,190 9.189 1 in 87.4 11 4/15/2018 117
134 36,302 9.218 1 in 87.1 11 7/12/2020 10
135 36,387 9.239 1 in 86.9 4 5/18/2014 321 Overdue
136 36,443 9.253 1 in 86.8 8 2/24/2019 72
137 36,471 9.260 1 in 86.7 9 10/8/2017 144
138 36,471 9.260 1 in 86.7 10 9/3/2017 149
139 36,443 9.253 1 in 86.8 5 8/16/2020 5
140 36,387 9.239 1 in 86.9 11 6/2/2019 58
141 36,302 9.218 1 in 87.1 9 6/28/2020 12
142 36,190 9.189 1 in 87.4 8 2/23/2020 20
143 36,050 9.154 1 in 87.7 6 12/2/2018 84
144 35,883 9.111 1 in 88.1 7 8/6/2017 153
145 35,688 9.062 1 in 88.6 10 5/19/2019 60
146 35,467 9.006 1 in 89.2 5 7/26/2020 8
147 35,219 8.943 1 in 89.8 6 6/22/2014 316 Overdue
148 34,946 8.873 1 in 90.5 13 6/16/2019 56
149 34,646 8.797 1 in 91.3 9 9/15/2019 43
150 34,323 8.715 1 in 92.1 7 1/5/2020 27
151 33,974 8.626 1 in 93.1 9 9/1/2019 45
152 33,603 8.532 1 in 94.1 14 8/27/2017 150
153 33,207 8.432 1 in 95.2 11 9/4/2016 201 Overdue
154 32,791 8.326 1 in 96.4 4 12/1/2019 32
155 32,352 8.215 1 in 97.8 7 7/15/2018 104
156 31,894 8.098 1 in 99.2 7 7/23/2017 155
157 31,414 7.976 1 in 101 5 10/16/2016 195
158 30,918 7.850 1 in 102 7 11/11/2018 87
159 30,402 7.719 1 in 104 5 10/27/2019 37
160 29,872 7.585 1 in 106 6 1/18/2015 286 Overdue
161 29,323 7.445 1 in 108 8 2/17/2019 73
162 28,763 7.303 1 in 110 8 4/21/2019 64
163 28,187 7.157 1 in 112 9 7/14/2019 52
164 27,602 7.008 1 in 115 8 5/20/2018 112
165 27,003 6.856 1 in 117 5 8/2/2020 7
166 26,398 6.703 1 in 120 6 11/20/2016 190
167 25,782 6.546 1 in 123 9 4/6/2014 327 Overdue
168 25,162 6.389 1 in 126 7 10/14/2018 91
169 24,533 6.229 1 in 129 7 1/19/2020 25
170 23,903 6.069 1 in 132 8 5/26/2019 59
171 23,266 5.908 1 in 136 9 10/20/2019 38
172 22,630 5.746 1 in 140 5 8/9/2020 6
173 21,989 5.583 1 in 144 6 7/1/2018 106
174 21,351 5.421 1 in 148 4 8/16/2015 256
175 20,711 5.259 1 in 153 6 3/26/2017 172
176 20,075 5.097 1 in 158 4 10/19/2014 299
177 19,438 4.936 1 in 163 3 10/17/2010 506 Overdue
178 18,808 4.776 1 in 168 2 12/1/2013 345 Overdue
179 18,179 4.616 1 in 174 4 2/16/2020 21
180 17,558 4.458 1 in 180 6 8/4/2013 362 Overdue
181 16,939 4.301 1 in 187 4 12/8/2013 344
182 16,330 4.146 1 in 194 2 10/6/2013 353
183 15,725 3.993 1 in 201 6 10/7/2018 92
184 15,131 3.842 1 in 209 3 1/13/2013 391
185 14,542 3.692 1 in 217 4 8/12/2012 413
186 13,965 3.546 1 in 226 5 5/6/2018 114
187 13,395 3.401 1 in 236 5 1/8/2017 183
188 12,838 3.260 1 in 246 1 9/21/2008 614 Overdue
189 12,288 3.120 1 in 257 4 9/2/2012 410
190 11,753 2.984 1 in 269 4 12/22/2019 29
191 11,226 2.850 1 in 282 2 5/17/2015 269
192 10,714 2.720 1 in 295 2 2/8/2009 594 Overdue
193 10,211 2.593 1 in 310 4 9/13/2020 1
194 9,724 2.469 1 in 325 1 10/28/2007 661 Overdue
195 9,247 2.348 1 in 342 2 2/16/2014 334
196 8,786 2.231 1 in 360 3 7/19/2020 9
197 8,335 2.116 1 in 379 2 10/1/2017 145
198 7,901 2.006 1 in 400 1 11/16/2014 295
199 7,478 1.899 1 in 423 0 Never Never
200 7,072 1.796 1 in 447 5 2/18/2018 125
201 6,676 1.695 1 in 474 1 1/12/2020 26
202 6,298 1.599 1 in 502 2 11/26/2006 709
203 5,931 1.506 1 in 533 2 11/13/2016 191
204 5,581 1.417 1 in 567 1 6/8/2014 318
205 5,242 1.331 1 in 603 5 7/16/2017 156
206 4,920 1.249 1 in 643 1 7/22/2007 675
207 4,609 1.170 1 in 686 1 10/26/2014 298
208 4,315 1.096 1 in 733 2 8/24/2008 618
209 4,031 1.024 1 in 785 2 12/2/2007 656
210 3,764 0.956 1 in 840 1 4/1/2006 743
211 3,507 0.890 1 in 902 1 1/26/2014 337
212 3,266 0.829 1 in 968 1 8/12/2007 672
213 3,034 0.770 1 in 1,042 0 Never Never
214 2,818 0.716 1 in 1,122 1 11/20/2011 449
215 2,611 0.663 1 in 1,211 2 11/9/2008 607
216 2,418 0.614 1 in 1,308 1 8/4/2019 49
217 2,233 0.567 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
218 2,062 0.524 1 in 1,534 1 7/29/2007 674
219 1,898 0.482 1 in 1,666 1 2/3/2019 75
220 1,747 0.444 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
221 1,602 0.407 1 in 1,974 0 Never Never
222 1,469 0.373 1 in 2,153 3 3/8/2020 18
223 1,342 0.341 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
224 1,226 0.311 1 in 2,580 0 Never Never
225 1,115 0.283 1 in 2,836 2 12/23/2018 81
226 1,014 0.257 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
227 918 0.233 1 in 3,445 0 Never Never
228 831 0.211 1 in 3,806 1 3/7/2010 538
229 748 0.190 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
230 674 0.171 1 in 4,692 0 Never Never
231 603 0.153 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
232 540 0.137 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
233 480 0.122 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
234 427 0.108 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
235 377 0.096 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
236 333 0.085 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
237 291 0.074 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
238 255 0.065 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
239 221 0.056 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
240 192 0.049 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
241 164 0.042 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
242 141 0.036 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
243 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
244 101 0.026 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
245 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
246 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
247 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
248 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
249 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
250 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
251 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
252 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
253 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
254 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
255 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
256 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
257 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
258 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
259 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
260 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 14 September 2020 09:53 AM