El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 787 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
17 2 0.000 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
18 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
19 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
20 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
21 10 0.002 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
22 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
23 18 0.004 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
24 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
25 30 0.007 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
26 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
27 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
28 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
29 70 0.017 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
30 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
31 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
32 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
33 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
34 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
35 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
36 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
37 255 0.063 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
38 291 0.072 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
39 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
40 377 0.094 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
41 427 0.106 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
42 480 0.119 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
43 540 0.134 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
44 603 0.150 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
45 674 0.168 1 in 4,692 1 3/18/2018 105
46 748 0.186 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
47 831 0.207 1 in 3,806 0 Never Never
48 918 0.228 1 in 3,445 1 5/1/2016 203
49 1,014 0.252 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
50 1,115 0.277 1 in 2,836 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.305 1 in 2,580 1 6/10/2012 406
52 1,342 0.334 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.366 1 in 2,153 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.399 1 in 1,974 1 5/22/2011 459
55 1,747 0.435 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
56 1,898 0.472 1 in 1,666 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.513 1 in 1,534 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.556 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.602 1 in 1,308 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.650 1 in 1,211 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.701 1 in 1,122 1 1/27/2008 632
62 3,034 0.755 1 in 1,042 1 6/25/2017 143
63 3,266 0.813 1 in 968 1 7/30/2006 710
64 3,507 0.873 1 in 902 0 Never Never
65 3,764 0.937 1 in 840 3 10/31/2010 488
66 4,031 1.003 1 in 785 1 8/24/2014 291
67 4,315 1.074 1 in 733 2 3/1/2020 3
68 4,609 1.147 1 in 686 2 4/23/2017 152
69 4,920 1.224 1 in 643 1 12/24/2006 689
70 5,242 1.304 1 in 603 3 6/12/2016 197
71 5,581 1.389 1 in 567 4 8/14/2016 188
72 5,931 1.476 1 in 533 2 12/10/2017 119
73 6,298 1.567 1 in 502 2 5/22/2016 200
74 6,676 1.661 1 in 474 1 9/25/2016 182
75 7,072 1.760 1 in 447 3 2/1/2015 268
76 7,478 1.861 1 in 423 2 3/24/2019 52
77 7,901 1.966 1 in 400 3 10/21/2018 74
78 8,335 2.074 1 in 379 3 4/28/2019 47
79 8,786 2.186 1 in 360 4 2/11/2018 110
80 9,247 2.301 1 in 342 3 6/9/2019 41
81 9,724 2.420 1 in 325 2 4/7/2019 50
82 10,211 2.541 1 in 310 2 4/2/2017 155
83 10,714 2.666 1 in 295 0 Never Never Overdue
84 11,226 2.794 1 in 282 4 9/29/2019 25
85 11,753 2.925 1 in 269 1 9/26/2010 493
86 12,288 3.058 1 in 257 1 6/24/2012 404
87 12,838 3.195 1 in 246 6 3/15/2020 1
88 13,395 3.333 1 in 236 4 4/14/2013 362
89 13,965 3.475 1 in 226 0 Never Never Overdue
90 14,542 3.619 1 in 217 10 11/5/2017 124
91 15,131 3.765 1 in 209 3 9/20/2015 235
92 15,725 3.913 1 in 201 4 3/31/2019 51
93 16,330 4.064 1 in 194 5 6/29/2014 299
94 16,939 4.215 1 in 187 3 8/28/2016 186
95 17,558 4.369 1 in 180 9 7/31/2016 190
96 18,179 4.524 1 in 174 2 6/5/2016 198
97 18,808 4.680 1 in 168 4 8/22/2010 498 Overdue
98 19,438 4.837 1 in 163 6 12/15/2019 14
99 20,075 4.996 1 in 158 1 1/21/2018 113
100 20,711 5.154 1 in 153 5 12/8/2019 15
101 21,351 5.313 1 in 148 3 7/28/2019 34
102 21,989 5.472 1 in 144 4 4/9/2017 154
103 22,630 5.632 1 in 140 2 8/18/2019 31
104 23,266 5.790 1 in 136 6 9/8/2019 28
105 23,903 5.948 1 in 132 5 6/24/2018 91
106 24,533 6.105 1 in 129 6 4/14/2019 49
107 25,162 6.262 1 in 126 8 6/14/2015 249
108 25,782 6.416 1 in 123 8 9/10/2017 132
109 26,398 6.569 1 in 120 6 10/28/2018 73
110 27,003 6.720 1 in 117 2 6/19/2016 196
111 27,602 6.869 1 in 115 5 7/28/2013 347 Overdue
112 28,187 7.014 1 in 112 3 1/20/2019 61
113 28,763 7.158 1 in 110 5 6/23/2019 39
114 29,323 7.297 1 in 108 8 9/21/2014 287 Overdue
115 29,872 7.434 1 in 106 7 12/29/2019 12
116 30,402 7.566 1 in 104 5 5/15/2016 201
117 30,918 7.694 1 in 102 11 4/16/2017 153
118 31,414 7.817 1 in 101 7 7/17/2016 192
119 31,894 7.937 1 in 99.2 9 2/25/2018 108
120 32,352 8.051 1 in 97.8 7 12/3/2017 120
121 32,791 8.160 1 in 96.4 15 8/11/2019 32
122 33,207 8.264 1 in 95.2 12 5/13/2018 97
123 33,603 8.362 1 in 94.1 11 10/6/2019 24
124 33,974 8.455 1 in 93.1 13 11/3/2019 20
125 34,323 8.541 1 in 92.1 8 10/13/2019 23
126 34,646 8.622 1 in 91.3 15 2/9/2020 6
127 34,946 8.696 1 in 90.5 6 11/17/2019 18
128 35,219 8.764 1 in 89.8 10 2/2/2020 7
129 35,467 8.826 1 in 89.2 6 3/11/2018 106
130 35,688 8.881 1 in 88.6 8 5/14/2017 149
131 35,883 8.930 1 in 88.1 10 12/30/2018 64
132 36,050 8.971 1 in 87.7 7 9/23/2018 78
133 36,190 9.006 1 in 87.4 11 4/15/2018 101
134 36,302 9.034 1 in 87.1 10 11/25/2018 69
135 36,387 9.055 1 in 86.9 4 5/18/2014 305 Overdue
136 36,443 9.069 1 in 86.8 8 2/24/2019 56
137 36,471 9.076 1 in 86.7 9 10/8/2017 128
138 36,471 9.076 1 in 86.7 10 9/3/2017 133
139 36,443 9.069 1 in 86.8 4 4/8/2018 102
140 36,387 9.055 1 in 86.9 11 6/2/2019 42
141 36,302 9.034 1 in 87.1 7 11/23/2014 278 Overdue
142 36,190 9.006 1 in 87.4 8 2/23/2020 4
143 36,050 8.971 1 in 87.7 6 12/2/2018 68
144 35,883 8.930 1 in 88.1 7 8/6/2017 137
145 35,688 8.881 1 in 88.6 10 5/19/2019 44
146 35,467 8.826 1 in 89.2 4 3/17/2019 53
147 35,219 8.764 1 in 89.8 6 6/22/2014 300 Overdue
148 34,946 8.696 1 in 90.5 13 6/16/2019 40
149 34,646 8.622 1 in 91.3 9 9/15/2019 27
150 34,323 8.541 1 in 92.1 7 1/5/2020 11
151 33,974 8.455 1 in 93.1 9 9/1/2019 29
152 33,603 8.362 1 in 94.1 14 8/27/2017 134
153 33,207 8.264 1 in 95.2 11 9/4/2016 185
154 32,791 8.160 1 in 96.4 4 12/1/2019 16
155 32,352 8.051 1 in 97.8 7 7/15/2018 88
156 31,894 7.937 1 in 99.2 7 7/23/2017 139
157 31,414 7.817 1 in 101 5 10/16/2016 179
158 30,918 7.694 1 in 102 7 11/11/2018 71
159 30,402 7.566 1 in 104 5 10/27/2019 21
160 29,872 7.434 1 in 106 6 1/18/2015 270 Overdue
161 29,323 7.297 1 in 108 8 2/17/2019 57
162 28,763 7.158 1 in 110 8 4/21/2019 48
163 28,187 7.014 1 in 112 9 7/14/2019 36
164 27,602 6.869 1 in 115 8 5/20/2018 96
165 27,003 6.720 1 in 117 4 11/4/2018 72
166 26,398 6.569 1 in 120 6 11/20/2016 174
167 25,782 6.416 1 in 123 9 4/6/2014 311 Overdue
168 25,162 6.262 1 in 126 7 10/14/2018 75
169 24,533 6.105 1 in 129 7 1/19/2020 9
170 23,903 5.948 1 in 132 8 5/26/2019 43
171 23,266 5.790 1 in 136 9 10/20/2019 22
172 22,630 5.632 1 in 140 4 11/18/2018 70
173 21,989 5.472 1 in 144 6 7/1/2018 90
174 21,351 5.313 1 in 148 4 8/16/2015 240
175 20,711 5.154 1 in 153 6 3/26/2017 156
176 20,075 4.996 1 in 158 4 10/19/2014 283
177 19,438 4.837 1 in 163 3 10/17/2010 490 Overdue
178 18,808 4.680 1 in 168 2 12/1/2013 329
179 18,179 4.524 1 in 174 4 2/16/2020 5
180 17,558 4.369 1 in 180 6 8/4/2013 346
181 16,939 4.215 1 in 187 4 12/8/2013 328
182 16,330 4.064 1 in 194 2 10/6/2013 337
183 15,725 3.913 1 in 201 6 10/7/2018 76
184 15,131 3.765 1 in 209 3 1/13/2013 375
185 14,542 3.619 1 in 217 4 8/12/2012 397
186 13,965 3.475 1 in 226 5 5/6/2018 98
187 13,395 3.333 1 in 236 5 1/8/2017 167
188 12,838 3.195 1 in 246 1 9/21/2008 598 Overdue
189 12,288 3.058 1 in 257 4 9/2/2012 394
190 11,753 2.925 1 in 269 4 12/22/2019 13
191 11,226 2.794 1 in 282 2 5/17/2015 253
192 10,714 2.666 1 in 295 2 2/8/2009 578
193 10,211 2.541 1 in 310 3 9/22/2019 26
194 9,724 2.420 1 in 325 1 10/28/2007 645
195 9,247 2.301 1 in 342 2 2/16/2014 318
196 8,786 2.186 1 in 360 2 1/29/2017 164
197 8,335 2.074 1 in 379 2 10/1/2017 129
198 7,901 1.966 1 in 400 1 11/16/2014 279
199 7,478 1.861 1 in 423 0 Never Never
200 7,072 1.760 1 in 447 5 2/18/2018 109
201 6,676 1.661 1 in 474 1 1/12/2020 10
202 6,298 1.567 1 in 502 2 11/26/2006 693
203 5,931 1.476 1 in 533 2 11/13/2016 175
204 5,581 1.389 1 in 567 1 6/8/2014 302
205 5,242 1.304 1 in 603 5 7/16/2017 140
206 4,920 1.224 1 in 643 1 7/22/2007 659
207 4,609 1.147 1 in 686 1 10/26/2014 282
208 4,315 1.074 1 in 733 2 8/24/2008 602
209 4,031 1.003 1 in 785 2 12/2/2007 640
210 3,764 0.937 1 in 840 1 4/1/2006 727
211 3,507 0.873 1 in 902 1 1/26/2014 321
212 3,266 0.813 1 in 968 1 8/12/2007 656
213 3,034 0.755 1 in 1,042 0 Never Never
214 2,818 0.701 1 in 1,122 1 11/20/2011 433
215 2,611 0.650 1 in 1,211 2 11/9/2008 591
216 2,418 0.602 1 in 1,308 1 8/4/2019 33
217 2,233 0.556 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
218 2,062 0.513 1 in 1,534 1 7/29/2007 658
219 1,898 0.472 1 in 1,666 1 2/3/2019 59
220 1,747 0.435 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
221 1,602 0.399 1 in 1,974 0 Never Never
222 1,469 0.366 1 in 2,153 3 3/8/2020 2
223 1,342 0.334 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
224 1,226 0.305 1 in 2,580 0 Never Never
225 1,115 0.277 1 in 2,836 2 12/23/2018 65
226 1,014 0.252 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
227 918 0.228 1 in 3,445 0 Never Never
228 831 0.207 1 in 3,806 1 3/7/2010 522
229 748 0.186 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
230 674 0.168 1 in 4,692 0 Never Never
231 603 0.150 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
232 540 0.134 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
233 480 0.119 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
234 427 0.106 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
235 377 0.094 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
236 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
237 291 0.072 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
238 255 0.063 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
239 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
240 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
241 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
242 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
243 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
244 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
245 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
246 70 0.017 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
247 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
248 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
249 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
250 30 0.007 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
251 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
252 18 0.004 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
253 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
254 10 0.002 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
255 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
256 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
257 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
258 2 0.000 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
259 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
260 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 16 March 2020 02:19 PM