El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 784 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
17 2 0.000 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
18 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
19 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
20 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
21 10 0.002 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
22 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
23 18 0.004 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
24 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
25 30 0.007 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
26 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
27 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
28 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
29 70 0.017 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
30 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
31 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
32 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
33 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
34 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
35 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
36 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
37 255 0.063 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
38 291 0.072 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
39 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
40 377 0.093 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
41 427 0.106 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
42 480 0.119 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
43 540 0.134 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
44 603 0.149 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
45 674 0.167 1 in 4,692 1 3/18/2018 102
46 748 0.185 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
47 831 0.206 1 in 3,806 0 Never Never
48 918 0.228 1 in 3,445 1 5/1/2016 200
49 1,014 0.251 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
50 1,115 0.276 1 in 2,836 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.304 1 in 2,580 1 6/10/2012 403
52 1,342 0.333 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.364 1 in 2,153 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.397 1 in 1,974 1 5/22/2011 456
55 1,747 0.433 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
56 1,898 0.471 1 in 1,666 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.511 1 in 1,534 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.554 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.599 1 in 1,308 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.647 1 in 1,211 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.699 1 in 1,122 1 1/27/2008 629
62 3,034 0.752 1 in 1,042 1 6/25/2017 140
63 3,266 0.810 1 in 968 1 7/30/2006 707
64 3,507 0.869 1 in 902 0 Never Never
65 3,764 0.933 1 in 840 3 10/31/2010 485
66 4,031 0.999 1 in 785 1 8/24/2014 288
67 4,315 1.070 1 in 733 1 4/8/2006 723
68 4,609 1.143 1 in 686 2 4/23/2017 149
69 4,920 1.220 1 in 643 1 12/24/2006 686
70 5,242 1.300 1 in 603 3 6/12/2016 194
71 5,581 1.384 1 in 567 4 8/14/2016 185
72 5,931 1.470 1 in 533 2 12/10/2017 116
73 6,298 1.561 1 in 502 2 5/22/2016 197
74 6,676 1.655 1 in 474 1 9/25/2016 179
75 7,072 1.753 1 in 447 3 2/1/2015 265
76 7,478 1.854 1 in 423 2 3/24/2019 49
77 7,901 1.959 1 in 400 3 10/21/2018 71
78 8,335 2.066 1 in 379 3 4/28/2019 44
79 8,786 2.178 1 in 360 4 2/11/2018 107
80 9,247 2.292 1 in 342 3 6/9/2019 38
81 9,724 2.411 1 in 325 2 4/7/2019 47
82 10,211 2.531 1 in 310 2 4/2/2017 152
83 10,714 2.656 1 in 295 0 Never Never Overdue
84 11,226 2.783 1 in 282 4 9/29/2019 22
85 11,753 2.914 1 in 269 1 9/26/2010 490
86 12,288 3.046 1 in 257 1 6/24/2012 401
87 12,838 3.183 1 in 246 5 8/7/2016 186
88 13,395 3.321 1 in 236 4 4/14/2013 359
89 13,965 3.462 1 in 226 0 Never Never Overdue
90 14,542 3.605 1 in 217 10 11/5/2017 121
91 15,131 3.751 1 in 209 3 9/20/2015 232
92 15,725 3.898 1 in 201 4 3/31/2019 48
93 16,330 4.048 1 in 194 5 6/29/2014 296
94 16,939 4.199 1 in 187 3 8/28/2016 183
95 17,558 4.353 1 in 180 9 7/31/2016 187
96 18,179 4.507 1 in 174 2 6/5/2016 195
97 18,808 4.663 1 in 168 4 8/22/2010 495 Overdue
98 19,438 4.819 1 in 163 6 12/15/2019 11
99 20,075 4.977 1 in 158 1 1/21/2018 110
100 20,711 5.134 1 in 153 5 12/8/2019 12
101 21,351 5.293 1 in 148 3 7/28/2019 31
102 21,989 5.451 1 in 144 4 4/9/2017 151
103 22,630 5.610 1 in 140 2 8/18/2019 28
104 23,266 5.768 1 in 136 6 9/8/2019 25
105 23,903 5.926 1 in 132 5 6/24/2018 88
106 24,533 6.082 1 in 129 6 4/14/2019 46
107 25,162 6.238 1 in 126 8 6/14/2015 246
108 25,782 6.391 1 in 123 8 9/10/2017 129
109 26,398 6.544 1 in 120 6 10/28/2018 70
110 27,003 6.694 1 in 117 2 6/19/2016 193
111 27,602 6.843 1 in 115 5 7/28/2013 344 Overdue
112 28,187 6.988 1 in 112 3 1/20/2019 58
113 28,763 7.130 1 in 110 5 6/23/2019 36
114 29,323 7.269 1 in 108 8 9/21/2014 284 Overdue
115 29,872 7.405 1 in 106 7 12/29/2019 9
116 30,402 7.537 1 in 104 5 5/15/2016 198
117 30,918 7.665 1 in 102 11 4/16/2017 150
118 31,414 7.788 1 in 101 7 7/17/2016 189
119 31,894 7.907 1 in 99.2 9 2/25/2018 105
120 32,352 8.020 1 in 97.8 7 12/3/2017 117
121 32,791 8.129 1 in 96.4 15 8/11/2019 29
122 33,207 8.232 1 in 95.2 12 5/13/2018 94
123 33,603 8.330 1 in 94.1 11 10/6/2019 21
124 33,974 8.422 1 in 93.1 13 11/3/2019 17
125 34,323 8.509 1 in 92.1 8 10/13/2019 20
126 34,646 8.589 1 in 91.3 15 2/9/2020 3
127 34,946 8.663 1 in 90.5 6 11/17/2019 15
128 35,219 8.731 1 in 89.8 10 2/2/2020 4
129 35,467 8.792 1 in 89.2 6 3/11/2018 103
130 35,688 8.847 1 in 88.6 8 5/14/2017 146
131 35,883 8.896 1 in 88.1 10 12/30/2018 61
132 36,050 8.937 1 in 87.7 7 9/23/2018 75
133 36,190 8.972 1 in 87.4 11 4/15/2018 98
134 36,302 8.999 1 in 87.1 10 11/25/2018 66
135 36,387 9.020 1 in 86.9 4 5/18/2014 302 Overdue
136 36,443 9.034 1 in 86.8 8 2/24/2019 53
137 36,471 9.041 1 in 86.7 9 10/8/2017 125
138 36,471 9.041 1 in 86.7 10 9/3/2017 130
139 36,443 9.034 1 in 86.8 4 4/8/2018 99
140 36,387 9.020 1 in 86.9 11 6/2/2019 39
141 36,302 8.999 1 in 87.1 7 11/23/2014 275 Overdue
142 36,190 8.972 1 in 87.4 8 2/23/2020 1
143 36,050 8.937 1 in 87.7 6 12/2/2018 65
144 35,883 8.896 1 in 88.1 7 8/6/2017 134
145 35,688 8.847 1 in 88.6 10 5/19/2019 41
146 35,467 8.792 1 in 89.2 4 3/17/2019 50
147 35,219 8.731 1 in 89.8 6 6/22/2014 297 Overdue
148 34,946 8.663 1 in 90.5 13 6/16/2019 37
149 34,646 8.589 1 in 91.3 9 9/15/2019 24
150 34,323 8.509 1 in 92.1 7 1/5/2020 8
151 33,974 8.422 1 in 93.1 9 9/1/2019 26
152 33,603 8.330 1 in 94.1 14 8/27/2017 131
153 33,207 8.232 1 in 95.2 11 9/4/2016 182
154 32,791 8.129 1 in 96.4 4 12/1/2019 13
155 32,352 8.020 1 in 97.8 7 7/15/2018 85
156 31,894 7.907 1 in 99.2 7 7/23/2017 136
157 31,414 7.788 1 in 101 5 10/16/2016 176
158 30,918 7.665 1 in 102 7 11/11/2018 68
159 30,402 7.537 1 in 104 5 10/27/2019 18
160 29,872 7.405 1 in 106 6 1/18/2015 267 Overdue
161 29,323 7.269 1 in 108 8 2/17/2019 54
162 28,763 7.130 1 in 110 8 4/21/2019 45
163 28,187 6.988 1 in 112 9 7/14/2019 33
164 27,602 6.843 1 in 115 8 5/20/2018 93
165 27,003 6.694 1 in 117 4 11/4/2018 69
166 26,398 6.544 1 in 120 6 11/20/2016 171
167 25,782 6.391 1 in 123 9 4/6/2014 308 Overdue
168 25,162 6.238 1 in 126 7 10/14/2018 72
169 24,533 6.082 1 in 129 7 1/19/2020 6
170 23,903 5.926 1 in 132 8 5/26/2019 40
171 23,266 5.768 1 in 136 9 10/20/2019 19
172 22,630 5.610 1 in 140 4 11/18/2018 67
173 21,989 5.451 1 in 144 6 7/1/2018 87
174 21,351 5.293 1 in 148 4 8/16/2015 237
175 20,711 5.134 1 in 153 6 3/26/2017 153
176 20,075 4.977 1 in 158 4 10/19/2014 280
177 19,438 4.819 1 in 163 3 10/17/2010 487 Overdue
178 18,808 4.663 1 in 168 2 12/1/2013 326
179 18,179 4.507 1 in 174 4 2/16/2020 2
180 17,558 4.353 1 in 180 6 8/4/2013 343
181 16,939 4.199 1 in 187 4 12/8/2013 325
182 16,330 4.048 1 in 194 2 10/6/2013 334
183 15,725 3.898 1 in 201 6 10/7/2018 73
184 15,131 3.751 1 in 209 3 1/13/2013 372
185 14,542 3.605 1 in 217 4 8/12/2012 394
186 13,965 3.462 1 in 226 5 5/6/2018 95
187 13,395 3.321 1 in 236 5 1/8/2017 164
188 12,838 3.183 1 in 246 1 9/21/2008 595 Overdue
189 12,288 3.046 1 in 257 4 9/2/2012 391
190 11,753 2.914 1 in 269 4 12/22/2019 10
191 11,226 2.783 1 in 282 2 5/17/2015 250
192 10,714 2.656 1 in 295 2 2/8/2009 575
193 10,211 2.531 1 in 310 3 9/22/2019 23
194 9,724 2.411 1 in 325 1 10/28/2007 642
195 9,247 2.292 1 in 342 2 2/16/2014 315
196 8,786 2.178 1 in 360 2 1/29/2017 161
197 8,335 2.066 1 in 379 2 10/1/2017 126
198 7,901 1.959 1 in 400 1 11/16/2014 276
199 7,478 1.854 1 in 423 0 Never Never
200 7,072 1.753 1 in 447 5 2/18/2018 106
201 6,676 1.655 1 in 474 1 1/12/2020 7
202 6,298 1.561 1 in 502 2 11/26/2006 690
203 5,931 1.470 1 in 533 2 11/13/2016 172
204 5,581 1.384 1 in 567 1 6/8/2014 299
205 5,242 1.300 1 in 603 5 7/16/2017 137
206 4,920 1.220 1 in 643 1 7/22/2007 656
207 4,609 1.143 1 in 686 1 10/26/2014 279
208 4,315 1.070 1 in 733 2 8/24/2008 599
209 4,031 0.999 1 in 785 2 12/2/2007 637
210 3,764 0.933 1 in 840 1 4/1/2006 724
211 3,507 0.869 1 in 902 1 1/26/2014 318
212 3,266 0.810 1 in 968 1 8/12/2007 653
213 3,034 0.752 1 in 1,042 0 Never Never
214 2,818 0.699 1 in 1,122 1 11/20/2011 430
215 2,611 0.647 1 in 1,211 2 11/9/2008 588
216 2,418 0.599 1 in 1,308 1 8/4/2019 30
217 2,233 0.554 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
218 2,062 0.511 1 in 1,534 1 7/29/2007 655
219 1,898 0.471 1 in 1,666 1 2/3/2019 56
220 1,747 0.433 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
221 1,602 0.397 1 in 1,974 0 Never Never
222 1,469 0.364 1 in 2,153 2 8/9/2015 238
223 1,342 0.333 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
224 1,226 0.304 1 in 2,580 0 Never Never
225 1,115 0.276 1 in 2,836 2 12/23/2018 62
226 1,014 0.251 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
227 918 0.228 1 in 3,445 0 Never Never
228 831 0.206 1 in 3,806 1 3/7/2010 519
229 748 0.185 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
230 674 0.167 1 in 4,692 0 Never Never
231 603 0.149 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
232 540 0.134 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
233 480 0.119 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
234 427 0.106 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
235 377 0.093 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
236 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
237 291 0.072 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
238 255 0.063 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
239 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
240 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
241 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
242 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
243 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
244 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
245 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
246 70 0.017 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
247 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
248 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
249 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
250 30 0.007 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
251 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
252 18 0.004 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
253 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
254 10 0.002 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
255 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
256 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
257 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
258 2 0.000 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
259 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
260 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Sunday, 23 February 2020 09:27 PM