El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 814 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
17 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
18 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
19 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
20 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
21 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
22 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
23 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
24 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
25 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
26 37 0.010 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
27 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
28 57 0.015 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
29 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
30 84 0.022 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
31 101 0.026 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
32 119 0.031 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
33 141 0.036 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
34 164 0.042 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
35 192 0.049 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
36 221 0.057 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
37 255 0.066 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
38 291 0.075 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
39 333 0.086 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
40 377 0.097 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
41 427 0.110 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
42 480 0.124 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
43 540 0.139 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
44 603 0.155 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
45 674 0.173 1 in 4,692 1 3/18/2018 132
46 748 0.193 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
47 831 0.214 1 in 3,806 0 Never Never
48 918 0.236 1 in 3,445 1 5/1/2016 230
49 1,014 0.261 1 in 3,119 1 11/15/2020 3
50 1,115 0.287 1 in 2,836 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.316 1 in 2,580 1 6/10/2012 433
52 1,342 0.345 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.378 1 in 2,153 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.412 1 in 1,974 1 5/22/2011 486
55 1,747 0.450 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
56 1,898 0.489 1 in 1,666 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.531 1 in 1,534 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.575 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.622 1 in 1,308 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.672 1 in 1,211 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.725 1 in 1,122 1 1/27/2008 659
62 3,034 0.781 1 in 1,042 1 6/25/2017 170
63 3,266 0.841 1 in 968 1 7/30/2006 737
64 3,507 0.903 1 in 902 0 Never Never
65 3,764 0.969 1 in 840 3 10/31/2010 515
66 4,031 1.038 1 in 785 1 8/24/2014 318
67 4,315 1.111 1 in 733 2 3/1/2020 30
68 4,609 1.186 1 in 686 2 4/23/2017 179
69 4,920 1.266 1 in 643 1 12/24/2006 716
70 5,242 1.349 1 in 603 3 6/12/2016 224
71 5,581 1.436 1 in 567 4 8/14/2016 215
72 5,931 1.527 1 in 533 2 12/10/2017 146
73 6,298 1.621 1 in 502 2 5/22/2016 227
74 6,676 1.718 1 in 474 1 9/25/2016 209
75 7,072 1.820 1 in 447 3 2/1/2015 295
76 7,478 1.925 1 in 423 2 3/24/2019 79
77 7,901 2.034 1 in 400 3 10/21/2018 101
78 8,335 2.145 1 in 379 3 4/28/2019 74
79 8,786 2.261 1 in 360 5 7/5/2020 22
80 9,247 2.380 1 in 342 3 6/9/2019 68
81 9,724 2.503 1 in 325 2 4/7/2019 77
82 10,211 2.628 1 in 310 3 10/4/2020 9
83 10,714 2.758 1 in 295 0 Never Never Overdue
84 11,226 2.889 1 in 282 4 9/29/2019 52
85 11,753 3.025 1 in 269 1 9/26/2010 520
86 12,288 3.163 1 in 257 1 6/24/2012 431
87 12,838 3.304 1 in 246 6 3/15/2020 28
88 13,395 3.448 1 in 236 4 4/14/2013 389
89 13,965 3.594 1 in 226 0 Never Never Overdue
90 14,542 3.743 1 in 217 10 11/5/2017 151
91 15,131 3.895 1 in 209 3 9/20/2015 262
92 15,725 4.047 1 in 201 4 3/31/2019 78
93 16,330 4.203 1 in 194 5 6/29/2014 326
94 16,939 4.360 1 in 187 4 11/29/2020 1
95 17,558 4.519 1 in 180 9 7/31/2016 217
96 18,179 4.679 1 in 174 2 6/5/2016 225
97 18,808 4.841 1 in 168 4 8/22/2010 525 Overdue
98 19,438 5.003 1 in 163 6 12/15/2019 41
99 20,075 5.167 1 in 158 1 1/21/2018 140
100 20,711 5.331 1 in 153 5 12/8/2019 42
101 21,351 5.496 1 in 148 3 7/28/2019 61
102 21,989 5.660 1 in 144 4 4/9/2017 181
103 22,630 5.825 1 in 140 2 8/18/2019 58
104 23,266 5.988 1 in 136 6 9/8/2019 55
105 23,903 6.152 1 in 132 5 6/24/2018 118
106 24,533 6.315 1 in 129 7 6/21/2020 24
107 25,162 6.476 1 in 126 8 6/14/2015 276 Overdue
108 25,782 6.636 1 in 123 8 9/10/2017 159
109 26,398 6.795 1 in 120 6 10/28/2018 100
110 27,003 6.950 1 in 117 3 10/25/2020 6
111 27,602 7.104 1 in 115 5 7/28/2013 374 Overdue
112 28,187 7.255 1 in 112 3 1/20/2019 88
113 28,763 7.403 1 in 110 5 6/23/2019 66
114 29,323 7.547 1 in 108 8 9/21/2014 314 Overdue
115 29,872 7.689 1 in 106 7 12/29/2019 39
116 30,402 7.825 1 in 104 5 5/15/2016 228 Overdue
117 30,918 7.958 1 in 102 11 4/16/2017 180
118 31,414 8.086 1 in 101 7 7/17/2016 219 Overdue
119 31,894 8.209 1 in 99.2 9 2/25/2018 135
120 32,352 8.327 1 in 97.8 8 11/1/2020 5
121 32,791 8.440 1 in 96.4 16 5/31/2020 27
122 33,207 8.547 1 in 95.2 12 5/13/2018 124
123 33,603 8.649 1 in 94.1 12 10/18/2020 7
124 33,974 8.745 1 in 93.1 14 8/23/2020 15
125 34,323 8.834 1 in 92.1 9 6/7/2020 26
126 34,646 8.918 1 in 91.3 15 2/9/2020 33
127 34,946 8.995 1 in 90.5 7 9/6/2020 13
128 35,219 9.065 1 in 89.8 11 10/11/2020 8
129 35,467 9.129 1 in 89.2 6 3/11/2018 133
130 35,688 9.186 1 in 88.6 8 5/14/2017 176
131 35,883 9.236 1 in 88.1 10 12/30/2018 91
132 36,050 9.279 1 in 87.7 8 8/30/2020 14
133 36,190 9.315 1 in 87.4 11 4/15/2018 128
134 36,302 9.344 1 in 87.1 11 7/12/2020 21
135 36,387 9.366 1 in 86.9 4 5/18/2014 332 Overdue
136 36,443 9.380 1 in 86.8 8 2/24/2019 83
137 36,471 9.387 1 in 86.7 9 10/8/2017 155
138 36,471 9.387 1 in 86.7 10 9/3/2017 160
139 36,443 9.380 1 in 86.8 5 8/16/2020 16
140 36,387 9.366 1 in 86.9 11 6/2/2019 69
141 36,302 9.344 1 in 87.1 9 6/28/2020 23
142 36,190 9.315 1 in 87.4 8 2/23/2020 31
143 36,050 9.279 1 in 87.7 6 12/2/2018 95
144 35,883 9.236 1 in 88.1 7 8/6/2017 164
145 35,688 9.186 1 in 88.6 10 5/19/2019 71
146 35,467 9.129 1 in 89.2 5 7/26/2020 19
147 35,219 9.065 1 in 89.8 6 6/22/2014 327 Overdue
148 34,946 8.995 1 in 90.5 13 6/16/2019 67
149 34,646 8.918 1 in 91.3 9 9/15/2019 54
150 34,323 8.834 1 in 92.1 7 1/5/2020 38
151 33,974 8.745 1 in 93.1 10 11/22/2020 2
152 33,603 8.649 1 in 94.1 14 8/27/2017 161
153 33,207 8.547 1 in 95.2 11 9/4/2016 212 Overdue
154 32,791 8.440 1 in 96.4 4 12/1/2019 43
155 32,352 8.327 1 in 97.8 7 7/15/2018 115
156 31,894 8.209 1 in 99.2 8 11/8/2020 4
157 31,414 8.086 1 in 101 5 10/16/2016 206 Overdue
158 30,918 7.958 1 in 102 7 11/11/2018 98
159 30,402 7.825 1 in 104 5 10/27/2019 48
160 29,872 7.689 1 in 106 6 1/18/2015 297 Overdue
161 29,323 7.547 1 in 108 8 2/17/2019 84
162 28,763 7.403 1 in 110 8 4/21/2019 75
163 28,187 7.255 1 in 112 9 7/14/2019 63
164 27,602 7.104 1 in 115 8 5/20/2018 123
165 27,003 6.950 1 in 117 5 8/2/2020 18
166 26,398 6.795 1 in 120 6 11/20/2016 201
167 25,782 6.636 1 in 123 9 4/6/2014 338 Overdue
168 25,162 6.476 1 in 126 7 10/14/2018 102
169 24,533 6.315 1 in 129 7 1/19/2020 36
170 23,903 6.152 1 in 132 8 5/26/2019 70
171 23,266 5.988 1 in 136 9 10/20/2019 49
172 22,630 5.825 1 in 140 5 8/9/2020 17
173 21,989 5.660 1 in 144 6 7/1/2018 117
174 21,351 5.496 1 in 148 4 8/16/2015 267
175 20,711 5.331 1 in 153 7 9/27/2020 10
176 20,075 5.167 1 in 158 4 10/19/2014 310
177 19,438 5.003 1 in 163 4 9/20/2020 11
178 18,808 4.841 1 in 168 2 12/1/2013 356 Overdue
179 18,179 4.679 1 in 174 4 2/16/2020 32
180 17,558 4.519 1 in 180 6 8/4/2013 373 Overdue
181 16,939 4.360 1 in 187 4 12/8/2013 355
182 16,330 4.203 1 in 194 2 10/6/2013 364
183 15,725 4.047 1 in 201 6 10/7/2018 103
184 15,131 3.895 1 in 209 3 1/13/2013 402
185 14,542 3.743 1 in 217 4 8/12/2012 424
186 13,965 3.594 1 in 226 5 5/6/2018 125
187 13,395 3.448 1 in 236 5 1/8/2017 194
188 12,838 3.304 1 in 246 1 9/21/2008 625 Overdue
189 12,288 3.163 1 in 257 4 9/2/2012 421
190 11,753 3.025 1 in 269 4 12/22/2019 40
191 11,226 2.889 1 in 282 2 5/17/2015 280
192 10,714 2.758 1 in 295 2 2/8/2009 605 Overdue
193 10,211 2.628 1 in 310 4 9/13/2020 12
194 9,724 2.503 1 in 325 1 10/28/2007 672 Overdue
195 9,247 2.380 1 in 342 2 2/16/2014 345
196 8,786 2.261 1 in 360 3 7/19/2020 20
197 8,335 2.145 1 in 379 2 10/1/2017 156
198 7,901 2.034 1 in 400 1 11/16/2014 306
199 7,478 1.925 1 in 423 0 Never Never
200 7,072 1.820 1 in 447 5 2/18/2018 136
201 6,676 1.718 1 in 474 1 1/12/2020 37
202 6,298 1.621 1 in 502 2 11/26/2006 720
203 5,931 1.527 1 in 533 2 11/13/2016 202
204 5,581 1.436 1 in 567 1 6/8/2014 329
205 5,242 1.349 1 in 603 5 7/16/2017 167
206 4,920 1.266 1 in 643 1 7/22/2007 686
207 4,609 1.186 1 in 686 1 10/26/2014 309
208 4,315 1.111 1 in 733 2 8/24/2008 629
209 4,031 1.038 1 in 785 2 12/2/2007 667
210 3,764 0.969 1 in 840 1 4/1/2006 754
211 3,507 0.903 1 in 902 1 1/26/2014 348
212 3,266 0.841 1 in 968 1 8/12/2007 683
213 3,034 0.781 1 in 1,042 0 Never Never
214 2,818 0.725 1 in 1,122 1 11/20/2011 460
215 2,611 0.672 1 in 1,211 2 11/9/2008 618
216 2,418 0.622 1 in 1,308 1 8/4/2019 60
217 2,233 0.575 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
218 2,062 0.531 1 in 1,534 1 7/29/2007 685
219 1,898 0.489 1 in 1,666 1 2/3/2019 86
220 1,747 0.450 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
221 1,602 0.412 1 in 1,974 0 Never Never
222 1,469 0.378 1 in 2,153 3 3/8/2020 29
223 1,342 0.345 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
224 1,226 0.316 1 in 2,580 0 Never Never
225 1,115 0.287 1 in 2,836 2 12/23/2018 92
226 1,014 0.261 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
227 918 0.236 1 in 3,445 0 Never Never
228 831 0.214 1 in 3,806 1 3/7/2010 549
229 748 0.193 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
230 674 0.173 1 in 4,692 0 Never Never
231 603 0.155 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
232 540 0.139 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
233 480 0.124 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
234 427 0.110 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
235 377 0.097 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
236 333 0.086 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
237 291 0.075 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
238 255 0.066 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
239 221 0.057 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
240 192 0.049 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
241 164 0.042 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
242 141 0.036 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
243 119 0.031 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
244 101 0.026 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
245 84 0.022 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
246 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
247 57 0.015 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
248 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
249 37 0.010 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
250 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
251 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
252 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
253 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
254 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
255 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
256 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
257 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
258 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
259 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
260 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Sunday, 29 November 2020 09:02 PM