El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 769 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0061 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0251 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0291 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0401 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0471 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0541 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0621 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0711 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0811 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0921 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.1041 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1171 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1311 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1471 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1641 in 4,6921 3/18/2018 87
467480.1821 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.2021 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2231 in 3,4451 5/1/2016 185
491,0140.2471 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2711 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2981 in 2,5801 6/10/2012 388
521,3420.3261 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3571 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3901 in 1,9741 5/22/2011 441
551,7470.4251 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4621 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.5011 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5431 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5881 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.6351 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6851 in 1,1221 1/27/2008 614
623,0340.7381 in 1,0421 6/25/2017 125
633,2660.7941 in 9681 7/30/2006 692
643,5070.8531 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.9151 in 8403 10/31/2010 470
664,0310.9801 in 7851 8/24/2014 273
674,3151.0491 in 7331 4/8/2006 708
684,6091.1211 in 6862 4/23/2017 134
694,9201.1961 in 6431 12/24/2006 671
705,2421.2751 in 6033 6/12/2016 179
715,5811.3571 in 5674 8/14/2016 170
725,9311.4421 in 5332 12/10/2017 101
736,2981.5311 in 5022 5/22/2016 182
746,6761.6231 in 4741 9/25/2016 164
757,0721.7201 in 4473 2/1/2015 250
767,4781.8181 in 4232 3/24/2019 34
777,9011.9211 in 4003 10/21/2018 56
788,3352.0271 in 3793 4/28/2019 29
798,7862.1361 in 3604 2/11/2018 92
809,2472.2491 in 3423 6/9/2019 23
819,7242.3651 in 3252 4/7/2019 32
8210,2112.4831 in 3102 4/2/2017 137
8310,7142.6051 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.7301 in 2824 9/29/2019 7
8511,7532.8581 in 2691 9/26/2010 475
8612,2882.9881 in 2571 6/24/2012 386
8712,8383.1221 in 2465 8/7/2016 171
8813,3953.2571 in 2364 4/14/2013 344
8913,9653.3961 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.5361 in 21710 11/5/2017 106
9115,1313.6791 in 2093 9/20/2015 217
9215,7253.8241 in 2014 3/31/2019 33
9316,3303.9711 in 1945 6/29/2014 281
9416,9394.1191 in 1873 8/28/2016 168
9517,5584.2691 in 1809 7/31/2016 172
9618,1794.4201 in 1742 6/5/2016 180
9718,8084.5731 in 1684 8/22/2010 480Overdue
9819,4384.7271 in 1635 4/3/2016 189
9920,0754.8811 in 1581 1/21/2018 95
10020,7115.0361 in 1534 5/27/2018 77
10121,3515.1921 in 1483 7/28/2019 16
10221,9895.3471 in 1444 4/9/2017 136
10322,6305.5031 in 1402 8/18/2019 13
10423,2665.6571 in 1366 9/8/2019 10
10523,9035.8121 in 1325 6/24/2018 73
10624,5335.9651 in 1296 4/14/2019 31
10725,1626.1181 in 1268 6/14/2015 231
10825,7826.2691 in 1238 9/10/2017 114
10926,3986.4191 in 1206 10/28/2018 55
11027,0036.5661 in 1172 6/19/2016 178
11127,6026.7121 in 1155 7/28/2013 329Overdue
11228,1876.8541 in 1123 1/20/2019 43
11328,7636.9941 in 1105 6/23/2019 21
11429,3237.1301 in 1088 9/21/2014 269Overdue
11529,8727.2641 in 1066 8/19/2018 65
11630,4027.3931 in 1045 5/15/2016 183
11730,9187.5181 in 10211 4/16/2017 135
11831,4147.6391 in 1017 7/17/2016 174
11931,8947.7551 in 99.29 2/25/2018 90
12032,3527.8671 in 97.87 12/3/2017 102
12132,7917.9741 in 96.415 8/11/2019 14
12233,2078.0751 in 95.212 5/13/2018 79
12333,6038.1711 in 94.111 10/6/2019 6
12433,9748.2611 in 93.113 11/3/2019 2
12534,3238.3461 in 92.18 10/13/2019 5
12634,6468.4251 in 91.314 11/10/2019 1
12734,9468.4981 in 90.55 3/29/2015 242Overdue
12835,2198.5641 in 89.88 8/20/2017 117
12935,4678.6241 in 89.26 3/11/2018 88
13035,6888.6781 in 88.68 5/14/2017 131
13135,8838.7251 in 88.110 12/30/2018 46
13236,0508.7661 in 87.77 9/23/2018 60
13336,1908.8001 in 87.411 4/15/2018 83
13436,3028.8271 in 87.110 11/25/2018 51
13536,3878.8481 in 86.94 5/18/2014 287Overdue
13636,4438.8621 in 86.88 2/24/2019 38
13736,4718.8681 in 86.79 10/8/2017 110
13836,4718.8681 in 86.710 9/3/2017 115
13936,4438.8621 in 86.84 4/8/2018 84
14036,3878.8481 in 86.911 6/2/2019 24
14136,3028.8271 in 87.17 11/23/2014 260Overdue
14236,1908.8001 in 87.47 8/25/2019 12
14336,0508.7661 in 87.76 12/2/2018 50
14435,8838.7251 in 88.17 8/6/2017 119
14535,6888.6781 in 88.610 5/19/2019 26
14635,4678.6241 in 89.24 3/17/2019 35
14735,2198.5641 in 89.86 6/22/2014 282Overdue
14834,9468.4981 in 90.513 6/16/2019 22
14934,6468.4251 in 91.39 9/15/2019 9
15034,3238.3461 in 92.16 7/22/2018 69
15133,9748.2611 in 93.19 9/1/2019 11
15233,6038.1711 in 94.114 8/27/2017 116
15333,2078.0751 in 95.211 9/4/2016 167
15432,7917.9741 in 96.43 11/29/2015 207Overdue
15532,3527.8671 in 97.87 7/15/2018 70
15631,8947.7551 in 99.27 7/23/2017 121
15731,4147.6391 in 1015 10/16/2016 161
15830,9187.5181 in 1027 11/11/2018 53
15930,4027.3931 in 1045 10/27/2019 3
16029,8727.2641 in 1066 1/18/2015 252Overdue
16129,3237.1301 in 1088 2/17/2019 39
16228,7636.9941 in 1108 4/21/2019 30
16328,1876.8541 in 1129 7/14/2019 18
16427,6026.7121 in 1158 5/20/2018 78
16527,0036.5661 in 1174 11/4/2018 54
16626,3986.4191 in 1206 11/20/2016 156
16725,7826.2691 in 1239 4/6/2014 293Overdue
16825,1626.1181 in 1267 10/14/2018 57
16924,5335.9651 in 1296 6/26/2016 177
17023,9035.8121 in 1328 5/26/2019 25
17123,2665.6571 in 1369 10/20/2019 4
17222,6305.5031 in 1404 11/18/2018 52
17321,9895.3471 in 1446 7/1/2018 72
17421,3515.1921 in 1484 8/16/2015 222
17520,7115.0361 in 1536 3/26/2017 138
17620,0754.8811 in 1584 10/19/2014 265
17719,4384.7271 in 1633 10/17/2010 472Overdue
17818,8084.5731 in 1682 12/1/2013 311
17918,1794.4201 in 1742 3/5/2017 141
18017,5584.2691 in 1806 8/4/2013 328
18116,9394.1191 in 1874 12/8/2013 310
18216,3303.9711 in 1942 10/6/2013 319
18315,7253.8241 in 2016 10/7/2018 58
18415,1313.6791 in 2093 1/13/2013 357
18514,5423.5361 in 2174 8/12/2012 379
18613,9653.3961 in 2265 5/6/2018 80
18713,3953.2571 in 2365 1/8/2017 149
18812,8383.1221 in 2461 9/21/2008 580Overdue
18912,2882.9881 in 2574 9/2/2012 376
19011,7532.8581 in 2693 9/22/2013 321
19111,2262.7301 in 2822 5/17/2015 235
19210,7142.6051 in 2952 2/8/2009 560
19310,2112.4831 in 3103 9/22/2019 8
1949,7242.3651 in 3251 10/28/2007 627
1959,2472.2491 in 3422 2/16/2014 300
1968,7862.1361 in 3602 1/29/2017 146
1978,3352.0271 in 3792 10/1/2017 111
1987,9011.9211 in 4001 11/16/2014 261
1997,4781.8181 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.7201 in 4475 2/18/2018 91
2016,6761.6231 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.5311 in 5022 11/26/2006 675
2035,9311.4421 in 5332 11/13/2016 157
2045,5811.3571 in 5671 6/8/2014 284
2055,2421.2751 in 6035 7/16/2017 122
2064,9201.1961 in 6431 7/22/2007 641
2074,6091.1211 in 6861 10/26/2014 264
2084,3151.0491 in 7332 8/24/2008 584
2094,0310.9801 in 7852 12/2/2007 622
2103,7640.9151 in 8401 4/1/2006 709
2113,5070.8531 in 9021 1/26/2014 303
2123,2660.7941 in 9681 8/12/2007 638
2133,0340.7381 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6851 in 1,1221 11/20/2011 415
2152,6110.6351 in 1,2112 11/9/2008 573
2162,4180.5881 in 1,3081 8/4/2019 15
2172,2330.5431 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.5011 in 1,5341 7/29/2007 640
2191,8980.4621 in 1,6661 2/3/2019 41
2201,7470.4251 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3901 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3571 in 2,1532 8/9/2015 223
2231,3420.3261 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2981 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2711 in 2,8362 12/23/2018 47
2261,0140.2471 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2231 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.2021 in 3,8061 3/7/2010 504
2297480.1821 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1641 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1471 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1311 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1171 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.1041 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0921 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0811 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0711 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0621 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0541 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0471 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0401 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0291 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0251 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0061 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 11 November 2019 08:58 AM