El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 726 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0081 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0191 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0231 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0271 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0321 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0381 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0441 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0511 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0591 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0671 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0761 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0871 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.0981 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1101 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1241 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1381 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1551 in 4,6921 18/03/2018 44
467480.1721 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.1911 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2111 in 3,4451 01/05/2016 142
491,0140.2331 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2561 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2811 in 2,5801 10/06/2012 345
521,3420.3081 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3371 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3681 in 1,9741 22/05/2011 398
551,7470.4011 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4361 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.4731 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5131 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5551 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.5991 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6471 in 1,1221 27/01/2008 571
623,0340.6961 in 1,0421 25/06/2017 82
633,2660.7501 in 9681 30/07/2006 649
643,5070.8051 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.8641 in 8403 31/10/2010 427
664,0310.9251 in 7851 24/08/2014 230
674,3150.9911 in 7331 08/04/2006 665
684,6091.0581 in 6862 23/04/2017 91
694,9201.1291 in 6431 24/12/2006 628
705,2421.2031 in 6033 12/06/2016 136
715,5811.2811 in 5674 14/08/2016 127
725,9311.3621 in 5332 10/12/2017 58
736,2981.4461 in 5022 22/05/2016 139
746,6761.5331 in 4741 25/09/2016 121
757,0721.6231 in 4473 01/02/2015 207
767,4781.7171 in 4231 05/02/2017 102
777,9011.8141 in 4003 21/10/2018 13
788,3351.9131 in 3792 26/08/2018 21
798,7862.0171 in 3604 11/02/2018 49
809,2472.1231 in 3422 30/12/2012 316
819,7242.2321 in 3251 03/06/2012 346
8210,2112.3441 in 3102 02/04/2017 94
8310,7142.4601 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.5771 in 2821 06/01/2019 2
8511,7532.6981 in 2691 26/09/2010 432
8612,2882.8211 in 2571 24/06/2012 343
8712,8382.9471 in 2465 07/08/2016 128
8813,3953.0751 in 2364 14/04/2013 301
8913,9653.2061 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.3381 in 21710 05/11/2017 63
9115,1313.4741 in 2093 20/09/2015 174
9215,7253.6101 in 2013 22/02/2015 204
9316,3303.7491 in 1945 29/06/2014 238
9416,9393.8891 in 1873 28/08/2016 125
9517,5584.0311 in 1809 31/07/2016 129
9618,1794.1731 in 1742 05/06/2016 137
9718,8084.3181 in 1684 22/08/2010 437Overdue
9819,4384.4621 in 1635 03/04/2016 146
9920,0754.6091 in 1581 21/01/2018 52
10020,7114.7551 in 1534 27/05/2018 34
10121,3514.9011 in 1482 15/03/2015 201
10221,9895.0481 in 1444 09/04/2017 93
10322,6305.1951 in 1401 01/07/2007 601Overdue
10423,2665.3411 in 1365 07/04/2013 302Overdue
10523,9035.4871 in 1325 24/06/2018 30
10624,5335.6321 in 1295 16/09/2018 18
10725,1625.7761 in 1268 14/06/2015 188
10825,7825.9191 in 1238 10/09/2017 71
10926,3986.0601 in 1206 28/10/2018 12
11027,0036.1991 in 1172 19/06/2016 135
11127,6026.3361 in 1155 28/07/2013 286Overdue
11228,1876.4711 in 1122 25/04/2010 454Overdue
11328,7636.6031 in 1104 10/06/2018 32
11429,3236.7321 in 1088 21/09/2014 226Overdue
11529,8726.8581 in 1066 19/08/2018 22
11630,4026.9791 in 1045 15/05/2016 140
11730,9187.0981 in 10211 16/04/2017 92
11831,4147.2121 in 1017 17/07/2016 131
11931,8947.3221 in 99.29 25/02/2018 47
12032,3527.4271 in 97.87 03/12/2017 59
12132,7917.5281 in 96.412 02/09/2018 20
12233,2077.6231 in 95.212 13/05/2018 36
12333,6037.7141 in 94.110 14/10/2012 327Overdue
12433,9747.7991 in 93.112 23/08/2015 178
12534,3237.8791 in 92.17 09/12/2018 6
12634,6467.9531 in 91.312 16/12/2018 5
12734,9468.0221 in 90.55 29/03/2015 199Overdue
12835,2198.0851 in 89.88 20/08/2017 74
12935,4678.1421 in 89.26 11/03/2018 45
13035,6888.1931 in 88.68 14/05/2017 88
13135,8838.2371 in 88.110 30/12/2018 3
13236,0508.2761 in 87.77 23/09/2018 17
13336,1908.3081 in 87.411 15/04/2018 40
13436,3028.3341 in 87.110 25/11/2018 8
13536,3878.3531 in 86.94 18/05/2014 244Overdue
13636,4438.3661 in 86.87 09/09/2018 19
13736,4718.3721 in 86.79 08/10/2017 67
13836,4718.3721 in 86.710 03/09/2017 72
13936,4438.3661 in 86.84 08/04/2018 41
14036,3878.3531 in 86.910 04/02/2018 50
14136,3028.3341 in 87.17 23/11/2014 217Overdue
14236,1908.3081 in 87.44 24/12/2017 56
14336,0508.2761 in 87.76 02/12/2018 7
14435,8838.2371 in 88.17 06/08/2017 76
14535,6888.1931 in 88.69 19/03/2017 96
14635,4678.1421 in 89.23 29/10/2017 64
14735,2198.0851 in 89.86 22/06/2014 239Overdue
14834,9468.0221 in 90.512 03/06/2018 33
14934,6467.9531 in 91.38 22/11/2015 165
15034,3237.8791 in 92.16 22/07/2018 26
15133,9747.7991 in 93.18 01/04/2018 42
15233,6037.7141 in 94.114 27/08/2017 73
15333,2077.6231 in 95.211 04/09/2016 124
15432,7917.5281 in 96.43 29/11/2015 164
15532,3527.4271 in 97.87 15/07/2018 27
15631,8947.3221 in 99.27 23/07/2017 78
15731,4147.2121 in 1015 16/10/2016 118
15830,9187.0981 in 1027 11/11/2018 10
15930,4026.9791 in 1044 02/08/2015 181
16029,8726.8581 in 1066 18/01/2015 209
16129,3236.7321 in 1087 11/05/2014 245Overdue
16228,7636.6031 in 1106 30/09/2018 16
16328,1876.4711 in 1128 13/01/2019 1
16427,6026.3361 in 1158 20/05/2018 35
16527,0036.1991 in 1174 04/11/2018 11
16626,3986.0601 in 1206 20/11/2016 113
16725,7825.9191 in 1239 06/04/2014 250Overdue
16825,1625.7761 in 1267 14/10/2018 14
16924,5335.6321 in 1296 26/06/2016 134
17023,9035.4871 in 1326 26/11/2017 60
17123,2665.3411 in 1368 12/11/2017 62
17222,6305.1951 in 1404 18/11/2018 9
17321,9895.0481 in 1446 01/07/2018 29
17421,3514.9011 in 1484 16/08/2015 179
17520,7114.7551 in 1536 26/03/2017 95
17620,0754.6091 in 1584 19/10/2014 222
17719,4384.4621 in 1633 17/10/2010 429Overdue
17818,8084.3181 in 1682 01/12/2013 268
17918,1794.1731 in 1742 05/03/2017 98
18017,5584.0311 in 1806 04/08/2013 285
18116,9393.8891 in 1874 08/12/2013 267
18216,3303.7491 in 1942 06/10/2013 276
18315,7253.6101 in 2016 07/10/2018 15
18415,1313.4741 in 2093 13/01/2013 314
18514,5423.3381 in 2174 12/08/2012 336
18613,9653.2061 in 2265 06/05/2018 37
18713,3953.0751 in 2365 08/01/2017 106
18812,8382.9471 in 2461 21/09/2008 537Overdue
18912,2882.8211 in 2574 02/09/2012 333
19011,7532.6981 in 2693 22/09/2013 278
19111,2262.5771 in 2822 17/05/2015 192
19210,7142.4601 in 2952 08/02/2009 517
19310,2112.3441 in 3102 12/08/2018 23
1949,7242.2321 in 3251 28/10/2007 584
1959,2472.1231 in 3422 16/02/2014 257
1968,7862.0171 in 3602 29/01/2017 103
1978,3351.9131 in 3792 01/10/2017 68
1987,9011.8141 in 4001 16/11/2014 218
1997,4781.7171 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.6231 in 4475 18/02/2018 48
2016,6761.5331 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.4461 in 5022 26/11/2006 632
2035,9311.3621 in 5332 13/11/2016 114
2045,5811.2811 in 5671 08/06/2014 241
2055,2421.2031 in 6035 16/07/2017 79
2064,9201.1291 in 6431 22/07/2007 598
2074,6091.0581 in 6861 26/10/2014 221
2084,3150.9911 in 7332 24/08/2008 541
2094,0310.9251 in 7852 02/12/2007 579
2103,7640.8641 in 8401 01/04/2006 666
2113,5070.8051 in 9021 26/01/2014 260
2123,2660.7501 in 9681 12/08/2007 595
2133,0340.6961 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6471 in 1,1221 20/11/2011 372
2152,6110.5991 in 1,2112 09/11/2008 530
2162,4180.5551 in 1,3080 Never Never
2172,2330.5131 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.4731 in 1,5341 29/07/2007 597
2191,8980.4361 in 1,6660 Never Never
2201,7470.4011 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3681 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3371 in 2,1532 09/08/2015 180
2231,3420.3081 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2811 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2561 in 2,8362 23/12/2018 4
2261,0140.2331 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2111 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.1911 in 3,8061 07/03/2010 461
2297480.1721 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1551 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1381 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1241 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1101 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.0981 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0871 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0761 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0671 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0591 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0511 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0441 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0381 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0321 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0271 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0231 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0191 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0081 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Sunday, 13 January 2019 12:00 AM