El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 761 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0061 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0291 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0461 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0531 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0611 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0701 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0801 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0911 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.1031 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1161 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1301 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1451 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1621 in 4,6921 3/18/2018 79
467480.1801 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.2001 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2211 in 3,4451 5/1/2016 177
491,0140.2441 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2681 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2951 in 2,5801 6/10/2012 380
521,3420.3231 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3531 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3851 in 1,9741 5/22/2011 433
551,7470.4201 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4571 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.4961 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5371 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5821 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.6281 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6781 in 1,1221 1/27/2008 606
623,0340.7301 in 1,0421 6/25/2017 117
633,2660.7861 in 9681 7/30/2006 684
643,5070.8441 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.9061 in 8403 10/31/2010 462
664,0310.9701 in 7851 8/24/2014 265
674,3151.0381 in 7331 4/8/2006 700
684,6091.1091 in 6862 4/23/2017 126
694,9201.1841 in 6431 12/24/2006 663
705,2421.2611 in 6033 6/12/2016 171
715,5811.3431 in 5674 8/14/2016 162
725,9311.4271 in 5332 12/10/2017 93
736,2981.5151 in 5022 5/22/2016 174
746,6761.6061 in 4741 9/25/2016 156
757,0721.7021 in 4473 2/1/2015 242
767,4781.7991 in 4232 3/24/2019 26
777,9011.9011 in 4003 10/21/2018 48
788,3352.0061 in 3793 4/28/2019 21
798,7862.1141 in 3604 2/11/2018 84
809,2472.2251 in 3423 6/9/2019 15
819,7242.3401 in 3252 4/7/2019 24
8210,2112.4571 in 3102 4/2/2017 129
8310,7142.5781 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.7011 in 2823 5/5/2019 20
8511,7532.8281 in 2691 9/26/2010 467
8612,2882.9571 in 2571 6/24/2012 378
8712,8383.0891 in 2465 8/7/2016 163
8813,3953.2231 in 2364 4/14/2013 336
8913,9653.3601 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.4991 in 21710 11/5/2017 98
9115,1313.6411 in 2093 9/20/2015 209
9215,7253.7841 in 2014 3/31/2019 25
9316,3303.9301 in 1945 6/29/2014 273
9416,9394.0761 in 1873 8/28/2016 160
9517,5584.2251 in 1809 7/31/2016 164
9618,1794.3741 in 1742 6/5/2016 172
9718,8084.5261 in 1684 8/22/2010 472Overdue
9819,4384.6771 in 1635 4/3/2016 181
9920,0754.8311 in 1581 1/21/2018 87
10020,7114.9841 in 1534 5/27/2018 69
10121,3515.1381 in 1483 7/28/2019 8
10221,9895.2911 in 1444 4/9/2017 128
10322,6305.4451 in 1402 8/18/2019 5
10423,2665.5991 in 1366 9/8/2019 2
10523,9035.7521 in 1325 6/24/2018 65
10624,5335.9031 in 1296 4/14/2019 23
10725,1626.0551 in 1268 6/14/2015 223
10825,7826.2041 in 1238 9/10/2017 106
10926,3986.3521 in 1206 10/28/2018 47
11027,0036.4981 in 1172 6/19/2016 170
11127,6026.6421 in 1155 7/28/2013 321Overdue
11228,1876.7831 in 1123 1/20/2019 35
11328,7636.9211 in 1105 6/23/2019 13
11429,3237.0561 in 1088 9/21/2014 261Overdue
11529,8727.1881 in 1066 8/19/2018 57
11630,4027.3161 in 1045 5/15/2016 175
11730,9187.4401 in 10211 4/16/2017 127
11831,4147.5591 in 1017 7/17/2016 166
11931,8947.6751 in 99.29 2/25/2018 82
12032,3527.7851 in 97.87 12/3/2017 94
12132,7917.8911 in 96.415 8/11/2019 6
12233,2077.9911 in 95.212 5/13/2018 71
12333,6038.0861 in 94.110 10/14/2012 362Overdue
12433,9748.1751 in 93.112 8/23/2015 213Overdue
12534,3238.2591 in 92.17 12/9/2018 41
12634,6468.3371 in 91.313 5/12/2019 19
12734,9468.4091 in 90.55 3/29/2015 234Overdue
12835,2198.4751 in 89.88 8/20/2017 109
12935,4678.5341 in 89.26 3/11/2018 80
13035,6888.5881 in 88.68 5/14/2017 123
13135,8838.6351 in 88.110 12/30/2018 38
13236,0508.6751 in 87.77 9/23/2018 52
13336,1908.7081 in 87.411 4/15/2018 75
13436,3028.7351 in 87.110 11/25/2018 43
13536,3878.7561 in 86.94 5/18/2014 279Overdue
13636,4438.7691 in 86.88 2/24/2019 30
13736,4718.7761 in 86.79 10/8/2017 102
13836,4718.7761 in 86.710 9/3/2017 107
13936,4438.7691 in 86.84 4/8/2018 76
14036,3878.7561 in 86.911 6/2/2019 16
14136,3028.7351 in 87.17 11/23/2014 252Overdue
14236,1908.7081 in 87.47 8/25/2019 4
14336,0508.6751 in 87.76 12/2/2018 42
14435,8838.6351 in 88.17 8/6/2017 111
14535,6888.5881 in 88.610 5/19/2019 18
14635,4678.5341 in 89.24 3/17/2019 27
14735,2198.4751 in 89.86 6/22/2014 274Overdue
14834,9468.4091 in 90.513 6/16/2019 14
14934,6468.3371 in 91.39 9/15/2019 1
15034,3238.2591 in 92.16 7/22/2018 61
15133,9748.1751 in 93.19 9/1/2019 3
15233,6038.0861 in 94.114 8/27/2017 108
15333,2077.9911 in 95.211 9/4/2016 159
15432,7917.8911 in 96.43 11/29/2015 199Overdue
15532,3527.7851 in 97.87 7/15/2018 62
15631,8947.6751 in 99.27 7/23/2017 113
15731,4147.5591 in 1015 10/16/2016 153
15830,9187.4401 in 1027 11/11/2018 45
15930,4027.3161 in 1044 8/2/2015 216Overdue
16029,8727.1881 in 1066 1/18/2015 244Overdue
16129,3237.0561 in 1088 2/17/2019 31
16228,7636.9211 in 1108 4/21/2019 22
16328,1876.7831 in 1129 7/14/2019 10
16427,6026.6421 in 1158 5/20/2018 70
16527,0036.4981 in 1174 11/4/2018 46
16626,3986.3521 in 1206 11/20/2016 148
16725,7826.2041 in 1239 4/6/2014 285Overdue
16825,1626.0551 in 1267 10/14/2018 49
16924,5335.9031 in 1296 6/26/2016 169
17023,9035.7521 in 1328 5/26/2019 17
17123,2665.5991 in 1368 11/12/2017 97
17222,6305.4451 in 1404 11/18/2018 44
17321,9895.2911 in 1446 7/1/2018 64
17421,3515.1381 in 1484 8/16/2015 214
17520,7114.9841 in 1536 3/26/2017 130
17620,0754.8311 in 1584 10/19/2014 257
17719,4384.6771 in 1633 10/17/2010 464Overdue
17818,8084.5261 in 1682 12/1/2013 303
17918,1794.3741 in 1742 3/5/2017 133
18017,5584.2251 in 1806 8/4/2013 320
18116,9394.0761 in 1874 12/8/2013 302
18216,3303.9301 in 1942 10/6/2013 311
18315,7253.7841 in 2016 10/7/2018 50
18415,1313.6411 in 2093 1/13/2013 349
18514,5423.4991 in 2174 8/12/2012 371
18613,9653.3601 in 2265 5/6/2018 72
18713,3953.2231 in 2365 1/8/2017 141
18812,8383.0891 in 2461 9/21/2008 572Overdue
18912,2882.9571 in 2574 9/2/2012 368
19011,7532.8281 in 2693 9/22/2013 313
19111,2262.7011 in 2822 5/17/2015 227
19210,7142.5781 in 2952 2/8/2009 552
19310,2112.4571 in 3102 8/12/2018 58
1949,7242.3401 in 3251 10/28/2007 619
1959,2472.2251 in 3422 2/16/2014 292
1968,7862.1141 in 3602 1/29/2017 138
1978,3352.0061 in 3792 10/1/2017 103
1987,9011.9011 in 4001 11/16/2014 253
1997,4781.7991 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.7021 in 4475 2/18/2018 83
2016,6761.6061 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.5151 in 5022 11/26/2006 667
2035,9311.4271 in 5332 11/13/2016 149
2045,5811.3431 in 5671 6/8/2014 276
2055,2421.2611 in 6035 7/16/2017 114
2064,9201.1841 in 6431 7/22/2007 633
2074,6091.1091 in 6861 10/26/2014 256
2084,3151.0381 in 7332 8/24/2008 576
2094,0310.9701 in 7852 12/2/2007 614
2103,7640.9061 in 8401 4/1/2006 701
2113,5070.8441 in 9021 1/26/2014 295
2123,2660.7861 in 9681 8/12/2007 630
2133,0340.7301 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6781 in 1,1221 11/20/2011 407
2152,6110.6281 in 1,2112 11/9/2008 565
2162,4180.5821 in 1,3081 8/4/2019 7
2172,2330.5371 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.4961 in 1,5341 7/29/2007 632
2191,8980.4571 in 1,6661 2/3/2019 33
2201,7470.4201 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3851 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3531 in 2,1532 8/9/2015 215
2231,3420.3231 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2951 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2681 in 2,8362 12/23/2018 39
2261,0140.2441 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2211 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.2001 in 3,8061 3/7/2010 496
2297480.1801 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1621 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1451 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1301 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1161 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.1031 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0911 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0801 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0701 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0611 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0531 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0461 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0291 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0061 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 16 September 2019 10:19 AM