El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 752 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0461 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0531 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0611 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0691 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0791 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0901 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.1021 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1141 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1281 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1431 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1601 in 4,6921 3/18/2018 70
467480.1781 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.1981 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2181 in 3,4451 5/1/2016 168
491,0140.2411 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2651 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2921 in 2,5801 6/10/2012 371
521,3420.3191 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3491 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3811 in 1,9741 5/22/2011 424
551,7470.4151 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4511 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.4901 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5311 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5751 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.6211 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6701 in 1,1221 1/27/2008 597
623,0340.7211 in 1,0421 6/25/2017 108
633,2660.7771 in 9681 7/30/2006 675
643,5070.8341 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.8951 in 8403 10/31/2010 453
664,0310.9591 in 7851 8/24/2014 256
674,3151.0261 in 7331 4/8/2006 691
684,6091.0961 in 6862 4/23/2017 117
694,9201.1701 in 6431 12/24/2006 654
705,2421.2461 in 6033 6/12/2016 162
715,5811.3271 in 5674 8/14/2016 153
725,9311.4101 in 5332 12/10/2017 84
736,2981.4981 in 5022 5/22/2016 165
746,6761.5871 in 4741 9/25/2016 147
757,0721.6821 in 4473 2/1/2015 233
767,4781.7781 in 4232 3/24/2019 17
777,9011.8791 in 4003 10/21/2018 39
788,3351.9821 in 3793 4/28/2019 12
798,7862.0891 in 3604 2/11/2018 75
809,2472.1991 in 3423 6/9/2019 6
819,7242.3121 in 3252 4/7/2019 15
8210,2112.4281 in 3102 4/2/2017 120
8310,7142.5481 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.6691 in 2823 5/5/2019 11
8511,7532.7951 in 2691 9/26/2010 458
8612,2882.9221 in 2571 6/24/2012 369
8712,8383.0531 in 2465 8/7/2016 154
8813,3953.1851 in 2364 4/14/2013 327
8913,9653.3211 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.4581 in 21710 11/5/2017 89
9115,1313.5981 in 2093 9/20/2015 200
9215,7253.7391 in 2014 3/31/2019 16
9316,3303.8831 in 1945 6/29/2014 264
9416,9394.0281 in 1873 8/28/2016 151
9517,5584.1751 in 1809 7/31/2016 155
9618,1794.3231 in 1742 6/5/2016 163
9718,8084.4721 in 1684 8/22/2010 463Overdue
9819,4384.6221 in 1635 4/3/2016 172
9920,0754.7741 in 1581 1/21/2018 78
10020,7114.9251 in 1534 5/27/2018 60
10121,3515.0771 in 1482 3/15/2015 227
10221,9895.2291 in 1444 4/9/2017 119
10322,6305.3811 in 1401 7/1/2007 627Overdue
10423,2665.5321 in 1365 4/7/2013 328Overdue
10523,9035.6841 in 1325 6/24/2018 56
10624,5335.8341 in 1296 4/14/2019 14
10725,1625.9831 in 1268 6/14/2015 214
10825,7826.1311 in 1238 9/10/2017 97
10926,3986.2771 in 1206 10/28/2018 38
11027,0036.4211 in 1172 6/19/2016 161
11127,6026.5631 in 1155 7/28/2013 312Overdue
11228,1876.7021 in 1123 1/20/2019 26
11328,7636.8391 in 1105 6/23/2019 4
11429,3236.9731 in 1088 9/21/2014 252Overdue
11529,8727.1031 in 1066 8/19/2018 48
11630,4027.2291 in 1045 5/15/2016 166
11730,9187.3521 in 10211 4/16/2017 118
11831,4147.4701 in 1017 7/17/2016 157
11931,8947.5841 in 99.29 2/25/2018 73
12032,3527.6931 in 97.87 12/3/2017 85
12132,7917.7971 in 96.413 6/30/2019 3
12233,2077.8961 in 95.212 5/13/2018 62
12333,6037.9901 in 94.110 10/14/2012 353Overdue
12433,9748.0791 in 93.112 8/23/2015 204Overdue
12534,3238.1621 in 92.17 12/9/2018 32
12634,6468.2381 in 91.313 5/12/2019 10
12734,9468.3101 in 90.55 3/29/2015 225Overdue
12835,2198.3751 in 89.88 8/20/2017 100
12935,4678.4341 in 89.26 3/11/2018 71
13035,6888.4861 in 88.68 5/14/2017 114
13135,8838.5321 in 88.110 12/30/2018 29
13236,0508.5721 in 87.77 9/23/2018 43
13336,1908.6051 in 87.411 4/15/2018 66
13436,3028.6321 in 87.110 11/25/2018 34
13536,3878.6521 in 86.94 5/18/2014 270Overdue
13636,4438.6661 in 86.88 2/24/2019 21
13736,4718.6721 in 86.79 10/8/2017 93
13836,4718.6721 in 86.710 9/3/2017 98
13936,4438.6661 in 86.84 4/8/2018 67
14036,3878.6521 in 86.911 6/2/2019 7
14136,3028.6321 in 87.17 11/23/2014 243Overdue
14236,1908.6051 in 87.46 7/7/2019 2
14336,0508.5721 in 87.76 12/2/2018 33
14435,8838.5321 in 88.17 8/6/2017 102
14535,6888.4861 in 88.610 5/19/2019 9
14635,4678.4341 in 89.24 3/17/2019 18
14735,2198.3751 in 89.86 6/22/2014 265Overdue
14834,9468.3101 in 90.513 6/16/2019 5
14934,6468.2381 in 91.38 11/22/2015 191Overdue
15034,3238.1621 in 92.16 7/22/2018 52
15133,9748.0791 in 93.18 4/1/2018 68
15233,6037.9901 in 94.114 8/27/2017 99
15333,2077.8961 in 95.211 9/4/2016 150
15432,7917.7971 in 96.43 11/29/2015 190
15532,3527.6931 in 97.87 7/15/2018 53
15631,8947.5841 in 99.27 7/23/2017 104
15731,4147.4701 in 1015 10/16/2016 144
15830,9187.3521 in 1027 11/11/2018 36
15930,4027.2291 in 1044 8/2/2015 207
16029,8727.1031 in 1066 1/18/2015 235Overdue
16129,3236.9731 in 1088 2/17/2019 22
16228,7636.8391 in 1108 4/21/2019 13
16328,1876.7021 in 1129 7/14/2019 1
16427,6026.5631 in 1158 5/20/2018 61
16527,0036.4211 in 1174 11/4/2018 37
16626,3986.2771 in 1206 11/20/2016 139
16725,7826.1311 in 1239 4/6/2014 276Overdue
16825,1625.9831 in 1267 10/14/2018 40
16924,5335.8341 in 1296 6/26/2016 160
17023,9035.6841 in 1328 5/26/2019 8
17123,2665.5321 in 1368 11/12/2017 88
17222,6305.3811 in 1404 11/18/2018 35
17321,9895.2291 in 1446 7/1/2018 55
17421,3515.0771 in 1484 8/16/2015 205
17520,7114.9251 in 1536 3/26/2017 121
17620,0754.7741 in 1584 10/19/2014 248
17719,4384.6221 in 1633 10/17/2010 455Overdue
17818,8084.4721 in 1682 12/1/2013 294
17918,1794.3231 in 1742 3/5/2017 124
18017,5584.1751 in 1806 8/4/2013 311
18116,9394.0281 in 1874 12/8/2013 293
18216,3303.8831 in 1942 10/6/2013 302
18315,7253.7391 in 2016 10/7/2018 41
18415,1313.5981 in 2093 1/13/2013 340
18514,5423.4581 in 2174 8/12/2012 362
18613,9653.3211 in 2265 5/6/2018 63
18713,3953.1851 in 2365 1/8/2017 132
18812,8383.0531 in 2461 9/21/2008 563Overdue
18912,2882.9221 in 2574 9/2/2012 359
19011,7532.7951 in 2693 9/22/2013 304
19111,2262.6691 in 2822 5/17/2015 218
19210,7142.5481 in 2952 2/8/2009 543
19310,2112.4281 in 3102 8/12/2018 49
1949,7242.3121 in 3251 10/28/2007 610
1959,2472.1991 in 3422 2/16/2014 283
1968,7862.0891 in 3602 1/29/2017 129
1978,3351.9821 in 3792 10/1/2017 94
1987,9011.8791 in 4001 11/16/2014 244
1997,4781.7781 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.6821 in 4475 2/18/2018 74
2016,6761.5871 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.4981 in 5022 11/26/2006 658
2035,9311.4101 in 5332 11/13/2016 140
2045,5811.3271 in 5671 6/8/2014 267
2055,2421.2461 in 6035 7/16/2017 105
2064,9201.1701 in 6431 7/22/2007 624
2074,6091.0961 in 6861 10/26/2014 247
2084,3151.0261 in 7332 8/24/2008 567
2094,0310.9591 in 7852 12/2/2007 605
2103,7640.8951 in 8401 4/1/2006 692
2113,5070.8341 in 9021 1/26/2014 286
2123,2660.7771 in 9681 8/12/2007 621
2133,0340.7211 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6701 in 1,1221 11/20/2011 398
2152,6110.6211 in 1,2112 11/9/2008 556
2162,4180.5751 in 1,3080 Never Never
2172,2330.5311 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.4901 in 1,5341 7/29/2007 623
2191,8980.4511 in 1,6661 2/3/2019 24
2201,7470.4151 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3811 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3491 in 2,1532 8/9/2015 206
2231,3420.3191 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2921 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2651 in 2,8362 12/23/2018 30
2261,0140.2411 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2181 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.1981 in 3,8061 3/7/2010 487
2297480.1781 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1601 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1431 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1281 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1141 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.1021 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0901 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0791 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0691 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0611 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0531 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0461 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0341 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0171 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0141 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 15 July 2019 10:58 AM