El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum Total Possible Combinations Expectation Actual Over 792 Draws
Count Frequency Count Last Drawn Draws Ago
15 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
16 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
17 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
18 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
19 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
20 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
21 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
22 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
23 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
24 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
25 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
26 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
27 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
28 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
29 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
30 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
31 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
32 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
33 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
34 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
35 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
36 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
37 255 0.064 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
38 291 0.073 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
39 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
40 377 0.094 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
41 427 0.107 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
42 480 0.120 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
43 540 0.135 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
44 603 0.151 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
45 674 0.169 1 in 4,692 1 3/18/2018 110
46 748 0.187 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
47 831 0.208 1 in 3,806 0 Never Never
48 918 0.230 1 in 3,445 1 5/1/2016 208
49 1,014 0.254 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
50 1,115 0.279 1 in 2,836 0 Never Never
51 1,226 0.307 1 in 2,580 1 6/10/2012 411
52 1,342 0.336 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
53 1,469 0.368 1 in 2,153 0 Never Never
54 1,602 0.401 1 in 1,974 1 5/22/2011 464
55 1,747 0.438 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
56 1,898 0.475 1 in 1,666 0 Never Never
57 2,062 0.516 1 in 1,534 0 Never Never
58 2,233 0.559 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
59 2,418 0.606 1 in 1,308 0 Never Never
60 2,611 0.654 1 in 1,211 0 Never Never
61 2,818 0.706 1 in 1,122 1 1/27/2008 637
62 3,034 0.760 1 in 1,042 1 6/25/2017 148
63 3,266 0.818 1 in 968 1 7/30/2006 715
64 3,507 0.878 1 in 902 0 Never Never
65 3,764 0.943 1 in 840 3 10/31/2010 493
66 4,031 1.009 1 in 785 1 8/24/2014 296
67 4,315 1.081 1 in 733 2 3/1/2020 8
68 4,609 1.154 1 in 686 2 4/23/2017 157
69 4,920 1.232 1 in 643 1 12/24/2006 694
70 5,242 1.313 1 in 603 3 6/12/2016 202
71 5,581 1.398 1 in 567 4 8/14/2016 193
72 5,931 1.485 1 in 533 2 12/10/2017 124
73 6,298 1.577 1 in 502 2 5/22/2016 205
74 6,676 1.672 1 in 474 1 9/25/2016 187
75 7,072 1.771 1 in 447 3 2/1/2015 273
76 7,478 1.873 1 in 423 2 3/24/2019 57
77 7,901 1.979 1 in 400 3 10/21/2018 79
78 8,335 2.087 1 in 379 3 4/28/2019 52
79 8,786 2.200 1 in 360 4 2/11/2018 115
80 9,247 2.316 1 in 342 3 6/9/2019 46
81 9,724 2.435 1 in 325 2 4/7/2019 55
82 10,211 2.557 1 in 310 2 4/2/2017 160
83 10,714 2.683 1 in 295 0 Never Never Overdue
84 11,226 2.811 1 in 282 4 9/29/2019 30
85 11,753 2.943 1 in 269 1 9/26/2010 498
86 12,288 3.077 1 in 257 1 6/24/2012 409
87 12,838 3.215 1 in 246 6 3/15/2020 6
88 13,395 3.355 1 in 236 4 4/14/2013 367
89 13,965 3.497 1 in 226 0 Never Never Overdue
90 14,542 3.642 1 in 217 10 11/5/2017 129
91 15,131 3.789 1 in 209 3 9/20/2015 240
92 15,725 3.938 1 in 201 4 3/31/2019 56
93 16,330 4.090 1 in 194 5 6/29/2014 304
94 16,939 4.242 1 in 187 3 8/28/2016 191
95 17,558 4.397 1 in 180 9 7/31/2016 195
96 18,179 4.553 1 in 174 2 6/5/2016 203
97 18,808 4.710 1 in 168 4 8/22/2010 503 Overdue
98 19,438 4.868 1 in 163 6 12/15/2019 19
99 20,075 5.027 1 in 158 1 1/21/2018 118
100 20,711 5.187 1 in 153 5 12/8/2019 20
101 21,351 5.347 1 in 148 3 7/28/2019 39
102 21,989 5.507 1 in 144 4 4/9/2017 159
103 22,630 5.667 1 in 140 2 8/18/2019 36
104 23,266 5.827 1 in 136 6 9/8/2019 33
105 23,903 5.986 1 in 132 5 6/24/2018 96
106 24,533 6.144 1 in 129 7 6/21/2020 2
107 25,162 6.301 1 in 126 8 6/14/2015 254 Overdue
108 25,782 6.457 1 in 123 8 9/10/2017 137
109 26,398 6.611 1 in 120 6 10/28/2018 78
110 27,003 6.762 1 in 117 2 6/19/2016 201
111 27,602 6.912 1 in 115 5 7/28/2013 352 Overdue
112 28,187 7.059 1 in 112 3 1/20/2019 66
113 28,763 7.203 1 in 110 5 6/23/2019 44
114 29,323 7.343 1 in 108 8 9/21/2014 292 Overdue
115 29,872 7.481 1 in 106 7 12/29/2019 17
116 30,402 7.614 1 in 104 5 5/15/2016 206
117 30,918 7.743 1 in 102 11 4/16/2017 158
118 31,414 7.867 1 in 101 7 7/17/2016 197
119 31,894 7.987 1 in 99.2 9 2/25/2018 113
120 32,352 8.102 1 in 97.8 7 12/3/2017 125
121 32,791 8.212 1 in 96.4 16 5/31/2020 5
122 33,207 8.316 1 in 95.2 12 5/13/2018 102
123 33,603 8.415 1 in 94.1 11 10/6/2019 29
124 33,974 8.508 1 in 93.1 13 11/3/2019 25
125 34,323 8.596 1 in 92.1 9 6/7/2020 4
126 34,646 8.677 1 in 91.3 15 2/9/2020 11
127 34,946 8.752 1 in 90.5 6 11/17/2019 23
128 35,219 8.820 1 in 89.8 10 2/2/2020 12
129 35,467 8.882 1 in 89.2 6 3/11/2018 111
130 35,688 8.937 1 in 88.6 8 5/14/2017 154
131 35,883 8.986 1 in 88.1 10 12/30/2018 69
132 36,050 9.028 1 in 87.7 7 9/23/2018 83
133 36,190 9.063 1 in 87.4 11 4/15/2018 106
134 36,302 9.091 1 in 87.1 10 11/25/2018 74
135 36,387 9.113 1 in 86.9 4 5/18/2014 310 Overdue
136 36,443 9.127 1 in 86.8 8 2/24/2019 61
137 36,471 9.134 1 in 86.7 9 10/8/2017 133
138 36,471 9.134 1 in 86.7 10 9/3/2017 138
139 36,443 9.127 1 in 86.8 4 4/8/2018 107
140 36,387 9.113 1 in 86.9 11 6/2/2019 47
141 36,302 9.091 1 in 87.1 9 6/28/2020 1
142 36,190 9.063 1 in 87.4 8 2/23/2020 9
143 36,050 9.028 1 in 87.7 6 12/2/2018 73
144 35,883 8.986 1 in 88.1 7 8/6/2017 142
145 35,688 8.937 1 in 88.6 10 5/19/2019 49
146 35,467 8.882 1 in 89.2 4 3/17/2019 58
147 35,219 8.820 1 in 89.8 6 6/22/2014 305 Overdue
148 34,946 8.752 1 in 90.5 13 6/16/2019 45
149 34,646 8.677 1 in 91.3 9 9/15/2019 32
150 34,323 8.596 1 in 92.1 7 1/5/2020 16
151 33,974 8.508 1 in 93.1 9 9/1/2019 34
152 33,603 8.415 1 in 94.1 14 8/27/2017 139
153 33,207 8.316 1 in 95.2 11 9/4/2016 190
154 32,791 8.212 1 in 96.4 4 12/1/2019 21
155 32,352 8.102 1 in 97.8 7 7/15/2018 93
156 31,894 7.987 1 in 99.2 7 7/23/2017 144
157 31,414 7.867 1 in 101 5 10/16/2016 184
158 30,918 7.743 1 in 102 7 11/11/2018 76
159 30,402 7.614 1 in 104 5 10/27/2019 26
160 29,872 7.481 1 in 106 6 1/18/2015 275 Overdue
161 29,323 7.343 1 in 108 8 2/17/2019 62
162 28,763 7.203 1 in 110 8 4/21/2019 53
163 28,187 7.059 1 in 112 9 7/14/2019 41
164 27,602 6.912 1 in 115 8 5/20/2018 101
165 27,003 6.762 1 in 117 4 11/4/2018 77
166 26,398 6.611 1 in 120 6 11/20/2016 179
167 25,782 6.457 1 in 123 9 4/6/2014 316 Overdue
168 25,162 6.301 1 in 126 7 10/14/2018 80
169 24,533 6.144 1 in 129 7 1/19/2020 14
170 23,903 5.986 1 in 132 8 5/26/2019 48
171 23,266 5.827 1 in 136 9 10/20/2019 27
172 22,630 5.667 1 in 140 4 11/18/2018 75
173 21,989 5.507 1 in 144 6 7/1/2018 95
174 21,351 5.347 1 in 148 4 8/16/2015 245
175 20,711 5.187 1 in 153 6 3/26/2017 161
176 20,075 5.027 1 in 158 4 10/19/2014 288
177 19,438 4.868 1 in 163 3 10/17/2010 495 Overdue
178 18,808 4.710 1 in 168 2 12/1/2013 334
179 18,179 4.553 1 in 174 4 2/16/2020 10
180 17,558 4.397 1 in 180 6 8/4/2013 351
181 16,939 4.242 1 in 187 4 12/8/2013 333
182 16,330 4.090 1 in 194 2 10/6/2013 342
183 15,725 3.938 1 in 201 6 10/7/2018 81
184 15,131 3.789 1 in 209 3 1/13/2013 380
185 14,542 3.642 1 in 217 4 8/12/2012 402
186 13,965 3.497 1 in 226 5 5/6/2018 103
187 13,395 3.355 1 in 236 5 1/8/2017 172
188 12,838 3.215 1 in 246 1 9/21/2008 603 Overdue
189 12,288 3.077 1 in 257 4 9/2/2012 399
190 11,753 2.943 1 in 269 4 12/22/2019 18
191 11,226 2.811 1 in 282 2 5/17/2015 258
192 10,714 2.683 1 in 295 2 2/8/2009 583
193 10,211 2.557 1 in 310 3 9/22/2019 31
194 9,724 2.435 1 in 325 1 10/28/2007 650
195 9,247 2.316 1 in 342 2 2/16/2014 323
196 8,786 2.200 1 in 360 2 1/29/2017 169
197 8,335 2.087 1 in 379 2 10/1/2017 134
198 7,901 1.979 1 in 400 1 11/16/2014 284
199 7,478 1.873 1 in 423 0 Never Never
200 7,072 1.771 1 in 447 5 2/18/2018 114
201 6,676 1.672 1 in 474 1 1/12/2020 15
202 6,298 1.577 1 in 502 2 11/26/2006 698
203 5,931 1.485 1 in 533 2 11/13/2016 180
204 5,581 1.398 1 in 567 1 6/8/2014 307
205 5,242 1.313 1 in 603 5 7/16/2017 145
206 4,920 1.232 1 in 643 1 7/22/2007 664
207 4,609 1.154 1 in 686 1 10/26/2014 287
208 4,315 1.081 1 in 733 2 8/24/2008 607
209 4,031 1.009 1 in 785 2 12/2/2007 645
210 3,764 0.943 1 in 840 1 4/1/2006 732
211 3,507 0.878 1 in 902 1 1/26/2014 326
212 3,266 0.818 1 in 968 1 8/12/2007 661
213 3,034 0.760 1 in 1,042 0 Never Never
214 2,818 0.706 1 in 1,122 1 11/20/2011 438
215 2,611 0.654 1 in 1,211 2 11/9/2008 596
216 2,418 0.606 1 in 1,308 1 8/4/2019 38
217 2,233 0.559 1 in 1,416 0 Never Never
218 2,062 0.516 1 in 1,534 1 7/29/2007 663
219 1,898 0.475 1 in 1,666 1 2/3/2019 64
220 1,747 0.438 1 in 1,810 0 Never Never
221 1,602 0.401 1 in 1,974 0 Never Never
222 1,469 0.368 1 in 2,153 3 3/8/2020 7
223 1,342 0.336 1 in 2,357 0 Never Never
224 1,226 0.307 1 in 2,580 0 Never Never
225 1,115 0.279 1 in 2,836 2 12/23/2018 70
226 1,014 0.254 1 in 3,119 0 Never Never
227 918 0.230 1 in 3,445 0 Never Never
228 831 0.208 1 in 3,806 1 3/7/2010 527
229 748 0.187 1 in 4,228 0 Never Never
230 674 0.169 1 in 4,692 0 Never Never
231 603 0.151 1 in 5,245 0 Never Never
232 540 0.135 1 in 5,857 0 Never Never
233 480 0.120 1 in 6,589 0 Never Never
234 427 0.107 1 in 7,406 0 Never Never
235 377 0.094 1 in 8,389 0 Never Never
236 333 0.083 1 in 9,497 0 Never Never
237 291 0.073 1 in 10,868 0 Never Never
238 255 0.064 1 in 12,402 0 Never Never
239 221 0.055 1 in 14,310 0 Never Never
240 192 0.048 1 in 16,471 0 Never Never
241 164 0.041 1 in 19,284 0 Never Never
242 141 0.035 1 in 22,429 0 Never Never
243 119 0.030 1 in 26,576 0 Never Never
244 101 0.025 1 in 31,312 0 Never Never
245 84 0.021 1 in 37,649 0 Never Never
246 70 0.018 1 in 45,179 0 Never Never
247 57 0.014 1 in 55,483 0 Never Never
248 47 0.012 1 in 67,287 0 Never Never
249 37 0.009 1 in 85,473 0 Never Never
250 30 0.008 1 in 105,417 0 Never Never
251 23 0.006 1 in 137,500 0 Never Never
252 18 0.005 1 in 175,695 0 Never Never
253 13 0.003 1 in 243,270 0 Never Never
254 10 0.003 1 in 316,251 0 Never Never
255 7 0.002 1 in 451,787 0 Never Never
256 5 0.001 1 in 632,502 0 Never Never
257 3 0.001 1 in 1,054,170 0 Never Never
258 2 0.001 1 in 1,581,255 0 Never Never
259 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never
260 1 0.000 1 in 3,162,510 0 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Monday, 29 June 2020 09:18 AM