El Gordo Bell Curve Statistics

This page displays a Bell Curve, also known as a Normal Distribution or Gaussian Distribution, for El Gordo. It shows how frequently the winning numbers add up to a certain sum.

The grey curve on the graph is the expected Bell Curve, which displays how often each sum should have appeared in all draws to date. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability that the winning numbers will add up to a certain sum in any given draw, that sum would be expected to appear 10 times over 1,000 draws. The expected Bell Curve is symmetrical and has one mode, which coincides with the mean and the median.

This is overlaid with the actual number of times each sum has appeared in all draws to date (the blue bars). This will match the expected Bell Curve more closely as more draws take place. The curve for draws with a limited history may look more erratic.

Main Numbers:

The data is further laid out in the table below. It shows, for each of the sum totals, how many possible number combinations there are, the expected number of times that each sum should have appeared in all draws to date, and the count of how many times it has actually appeared. The final column shows if a particular sum is overdue. A sum is regarded as overdue if it hasn't appeared for twice the number of draws it is expected to. For example, if there is a 1 in 100 probability of a particular sum appearing, it will be labelled overdue if it hasn't appeared for 201 draws or more.

Some lotteries have undergone rule changes in the past that have affected how many main numbers are drawn. To remain consistent, data is taken only from draws that used the same matrix that is currently in use. This can mean that the statistics for some games are limited.

Bonus Ball is not included in these statistics as only one number is drawn.

Number Sum TotalPossible CombinationsExpectationActual Over 745 Draws
CountFrequencyCountLast DrawnDraws Ago
1510.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1610.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
1720.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
1830.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
1950.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
2070.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
21100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
22130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
23180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
24230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
25300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
26370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
27470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
28570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
29700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
30840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
311010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
321190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
331410.0331 in 22,4290 Never Never
341640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
351920.0451 in 16,4710 Never Never
362210.0521 in 14,3100 Never Never
372550.0601 in 12,4020 Never Never
382910.0691 in 10,8680 Never Never
393330.0781 in 9,4970 Never Never
403770.0891 in 8,3890 Never Never
414270.1011 in 7,4060 Never Never
424800.1131 in 6,5890 Never Never
435400.1271 in 5,8570 Never Never
446030.1421 in 5,2450 Never Never
456740.1591 in 4,6921 3/18/2018 63
467480.1761 in 4,2280 Never Never
478310.1961 in 3,8060 Never Never
489180.2161 in 3,4451 5/1/2016 161
491,0140.2391 in 3,1190 Never Never
501,1150.2631 in 2,8360 Never Never
511,2260.2891 in 2,5801 6/10/2012 364
521,3420.3161 in 2,3570 Never Never
531,4690.3461 in 2,1530 Never Never
541,6020.3771 in 1,9741 5/22/2011 417
551,7470.4121 in 1,8100 Never Never
561,8980.4471 in 1,6660 Never Never
572,0620.4861 in 1,5340 Never Never
582,2330.5261 in 1,4160 Never Never
592,4180.5701 in 1,3080 Never Never
602,6110.6151 in 1,2110 Never Never
612,8180.6641 in 1,1221 1/27/2008 590
623,0340.7151 in 1,0421 6/25/2017 101
633,2660.7691 in 9681 7/30/2006 668
643,5070.8261 in 9020 Never Never
653,7640.8871 in 8403 10/31/2010 446
664,0310.9501 in 7851 8/24/2014 249
674,3151.0161 in 7331 4/8/2006 684
684,6091.0861 in 6862 4/23/2017 110
694,9201.1591 in 6431 12/24/2006 647
705,2421.2351 in 6033 6/12/2016 155
715,5811.3151 in 5674 8/14/2016 146
725,9311.3971 in 5332 12/10/2017 77
736,2981.4841 in 5022 5/22/2016 158
746,6761.5731 in 4741 9/25/2016 140
757,0721.6661 in 4473 2/1/2015 226
767,4781.7621 in 4232 3/24/2019 10
777,9011.8611 in 4003 10/21/2018 32
788,3351.9631 in 3793 4/28/2019 5
798,7862.0701 in 3604 2/11/2018 68
809,2472.1781 in 3422 12/30/2012 335
819,7242.2911 in 3252 4/7/2019 8
8210,2112.4051 in 3102 4/2/2017 113
8310,7142.5241 in 2950 Never NeverOverdue
8411,2262.6451 in 2823 5/5/2019 4
8511,7532.7691 in 2691 9/26/2010 451
8612,2882.8951 in 2571 6/24/2012 362
8712,8383.0241 in 2465 8/7/2016 147
8813,3953.1551 in 2364 4/14/2013 320
8913,9653.2901 in 2260 Never NeverOverdue
9014,5423.4261 in 21710 11/5/2017 82
9115,1313.5641 in 2093 9/20/2015 193
9215,7253.7041 in 2014 3/31/2019 9
9316,3303.8471 in 1945 6/29/2014 257
9416,9393.9901 in 1873 8/28/2016 144
9517,5584.1361 in 1809 7/31/2016 148
9618,1794.2821 in 1742 6/5/2016 156
9718,8084.4311 in 1684 8/22/2010 456Overdue
9819,4384.5791 in 1635 4/3/2016 165
9920,0754.7291 in 1581 1/21/2018 71
10020,7114.8791 in 1534 5/27/2018 53
10121,3515.0301 in 1482 3/15/2015 220
10221,9895.1801 in 1444 4/9/2017 112
10322,6305.3311 in 1401 7/1/2007 620Overdue
10423,2665.4811 in 1365 4/7/2013 321Overdue
10523,9035.6311 in 1325 6/24/2018 49
10624,5335.7791 in 1296 4/14/2019 7
10725,1625.9271 in 1268 6/14/2015 207
10825,7826.0741 in 1238 9/10/2017 90
10926,3986.2191 in 1206 10/28/2018 31
11027,0036.3611 in 1172 6/19/2016 154
11127,6026.5021 in 1155 7/28/2013 305Overdue
11228,1876.6401 in 1123 1/20/2019 19
11328,7636.7761 in 1104 6/10/2018 51
11429,3236.9081 in 1088 9/21/2014 245Overdue
11529,8727.0371 in 1066 8/19/2018 41
11630,4027.1621 in 1045 5/15/2016 159
11730,9187.2831 in 10211 4/16/2017 111
11831,4147.4001 in 1017 7/17/2016 150
11931,8947.5131 in 99.29 2/25/2018 66
12032,3527.6211 in 97.87 12/3/2017 78
12132,7917.7251 in 96.412 9/2/2018 39
12233,2077.8231 in 95.212 5/13/2018 55
12333,6037.9161 in 94.110 10/14/2012 346Overdue
12433,9748.0031 in 93.112 8/23/2015 197Overdue
12534,3238.0861 in 92.17 12/9/2018 25
12634,6468.1621 in 91.313 5/12/2019 3
12734,9468.2321 in 90.55 3/29/2015 218Overdue
12835,2198.2971 in 89.88 8/20/2017 93
12935,4678.3551 in 89.26 3/11/2018 64
13035,6888.4071 in 88.68 5/14/2017 107
13135,8838.4531 in 88.110 12/30/2018 22
13236,0508.4921 in 87.77 9/23/2018 36
13336,1908.5251 in 87.411 4/15/2018 59
13436,3028.5521 in 87.110 11/25/2018 27
13536,3878.5721 in 86.94 5/18/2014 263Overdue
13636,4438.5851 in 86.88 2/24/2019 14
13736,4718.5921 in 86.79 10/8/2017 86
13836,4718.5921 in 86.710 9/3/2017 91
13936,4438.5851 in 86.84 4/8/2018 60
14036,3878.5721 in 86.910 2/4/2018 69
14136,3028.5521 in 87.17 11/23/2014 236Overdue
14236,1908.5251 in 87.45 3/10/2019 12
14336,0508.4921 in 87.76 12/2/2018 26
14435,8838.4531 in 88.17 8/6/2017 95
14535,6888.4071 in 88.610 5/19/2019 2
14635,4678.3551 in 89.24 3/17/2019 11
14735,2198.2971 in 89.86 6/22/2014 258Overdue
14834,9468.2321 in 90.512 6/3/2018 52
14934,6468.1621 in 91.38 11/22/2015 184Overdue
15034,3238.0861 in 92.16 7/22/2018 45
15133,9748.0031 in 93.18 4/1/2018 61
15233,6037.9161 in 94.114 8/27/2017 92
15333,2077.8231 in 95.211 9/4/2016 143
15432,7917.7251 in 96.43 11/29/2015 183
15532,3527.6211 in 97.87 7/15/2018 46
15631,8947.5131 in 99.27 7/23/2017 97
15731,4147.4001 in 1015 10/16/2016 137
15830,9187.2831 in 1027 11/11/2018 29
15930,4027.1621 in 1044 8/2/2015 200
16029,8727.0371 in 1066 1/18/2015 228Overdue
16129,3236.9081 in 1088 2/17/2019 15
16228,7636.7761 in 1108 4/21/2019 6
16328,1876.6401 in 1128 1/13/2019 20
16427,6026.5021 in 1158 5/20/2018 54
16527,0036.3611 in 1174 11/4/2018 30
16626,3986.2191 in 1206 11/20/2016 132
16725,7826.0741 in 1239 4/6/2014 269Overdue
16825,1625.9271 in 1267 10/14/2018 33
16924,5335.7791 in 1296 6/26/2016 153
17023,9035.6311 in 1328 5/26/2019 1
17123,2665.4811 in 1368 11/12/2017 81
17222,6305.3311 in 1404 11/18/2018 28
17321,9895.1801 in 1446 7/1/2018 48
17421,3515.0301 in 1484 8/16/2015 198
17520,7114.8791 in 1536 3/26/2017 114
17620,0754.7291 in 1584 10/19/2014 241
17719,4384.5791 in 1633 10/17/2010 448Overdue
17818,8084.4311 in 1682 12/1/2013 287
17918,1794.2821 in 1742 3/5/2017 117
18017,5584.1361 in 1806 8/4/2013 304
18116,9393.9901 in 1874 12/8/2013 286
18216,3303.8471 in 1942 10/6/2013 295
18315,7253.7041 in 2016 10/7/2018 34
18415,1313.5641 in 2093 1/13/2013 333
18514,5423.4261 in 2174 8/12/2012 355
18613,9653.2901 in 2265 5/6/2018 56
18713,3953.1551 in 2365 1/8/2017 125
18812,8383.0241 in 2461 9/21/2008 556Overdue
18912,2882.8951 in 2574 9/2/2012 352
19011,7532.7691 in 2693 9/22/2013 297
19111,2262.6451 in 2822 5/17/2015 211
19210,7142.5241 in 2952 2/8/2009 536
19310,2112.4051 in 3102 8/12/2018 42
1949,7242.2911 in 3251 10/28/2007 603
1959,2472.1781 in 3422 2/16/2014 276
1968,7862.0701 in 3602 1/29/2017 122
1978,3351.9631 in 3792 10/1/2017 87
1987,9011.8611 in 4001 11/16/2014 237
1997,4781.7621 in 4230 Never Never
2007,0721.6661 in 4475 2/18/2018 67
2016,6761.5731 in 4740 Never Never
2026,2981.4841 in 5022 11/26/2006 651
2035,9311.3971 in 5332 11/13/2016 133
2045,5811.3151 in 5671 6/8/2014 260
2055,2421.2351 in 6035 7/16/2017 98
2064,9201.1591 in 6431 7/22/2007 617
2074,6091.0861 in 6861 10/26/2014 240
2084,3151.0161 in 7332 8/24/2008 560
2094,0310.9501 in 7852 12/2/2007 598
2103,7640.8871 in 8401 4/1/2006 685
2113,5070.8261 in 9021 1/26/2014 279
2123,2660.7691 in 9681 8/12/2007 614
2133,0340.7151 in 1,0420 Never Never
2142,8180.6641 in 1,1221 11/20/2011 391
2152,6110.6151 in 1,2112 11/9/2008 549
2162,4180.5701 in 1,3080 Never Never
2172,2330.5261 in 1,4160 Never Never
2182,0620.4861 in 1,5341 7/29/2007 616
2191,8980.4471 in 1,6661 2/3/2019 17
2201,7470.4121 in 1,8100 Never Never
2211,6020.3771 in 1,9740 Never Never
2221,4690.3461 in 2,1532 8/9/2015 199
2231,3420.3161 in 2,3570 Never Never
2241,2260.2891 in 2,5800 Never Never
2251,1150.2631 in 2,8362 12/23/2018 23
2261,0140.2391 in 3,1190 Never Never
2279180.2161 in 3,4450 Never Never
2288310.1961 in 3,8061 3/7/2010 480
2297480.1761 in 4,2280 Never Never
2306740.1591 in 4,6920 Never Never
2316030.1421 in 5,2450 Never Never
2325400.1271 in 5,8570 Never Never
2334800.1131 in 6,5890 Never Never
2344270.1011 in 7,4060 Never Never
2353770.0891 in 8,3890 Never Never
2363330.0781 in 9,4970 Never Never
2372910.0691 in 10,8680 Never Never
2382550.0601 in 12,4020 Never Never
2392210.0521 in 14,3100 Never Never
2401920.0451 in 16,4710 Never Never
2411640.0391 in 19,2840 Never Never
2421410.0331 in 22,4290 Never Never
2431190.0281 in 26,5760 Never Never
2441010.0241 in 31,3120 Never Never
245840.0201 in 37,6490 Never Never
246700.0161 in 45,1790 Never Never
247570.0131 in 55,4830 Never Never
248470.0111 in 67,2870 Never Never
249370.0091 in 85,4730 Never Never
250300.0071 in 105,4170 Never Never
251230.0051 in 137,5000 Never Never
252180.0041 in 175,6950 Never Never
253130.0031 in 243,2700 Never Never
254100.0021 in 316,2510 Never Never
25570.0021 in 451,7870 Never Never
25650.0011 in 632,5020 Never Never
25730.0011 in 1,054,1700 Never Never
25820.0001 in 1,581,2550 Never Never
25910.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never
26010.0001 in 3,162,5100 Never Never

Page Last Updated: Sunday, 26 May 2019 11:22 PM